Betting Advice to Make You Money
As many of
my followers know (and by “followers” I mean those that regularly read
my columns
and/or listen to my podcast
— don’t want folks to think I’m building a compound), I have been on a quest to
prove that one can make decent money at the racetrack ($20K or more) on a small
stake ($500 or less) — without relying on rebates — for some time now.
Recently, after a period of reasonable success but infuriating losing streaks, I decided to shelve my more speculative and less consistent angles/methods in favor of higher-percentage techniques. I wrote about this approach in “Thinking Small.”
After the Breeders’ Cup, I began concentrating on two things:
1) Win bets on overlays (horses with Win Factor Report fair odds less than their actual odds).
2) Exacta bets keying my top Win Factor contender with the next three Report contenders (in specific races at specific prices).
So far, this has worked like a charm. I’ve been more consistent for a longer period of time than at any point in my handicapping life, save when I used to spend hours analyzing races manually (prior to the advent of simulcast wagering and the development of my computerized programs).
Since Nov. 7, when I this experiment began, until yesterday (Nov. 28), I have accumulated a 26 percent overall ROI, with a 30 percent ROI on win bets and a five percent ROI on exacta bets. During this time, my bankroll has nearly doubled and I have even played a smattering of standardbred events with equal success.
 |
(Click
on image to enlarge)
|
 |
| (Click on image to enlarge) |
 |
| (Click
on image to enlarge)
Of course,
while I’m encouraged by the early returns, there’s still a lot of time and
challenges ahead of me. However, if — excuse me, when — I succeed, I want to write about the experience (I’m documenting
everything I do) to help other players, because I think the psychology behind
successful investing/gambling is nearly as important as one’s handicapping
acumen.
It will
probably come as no great shock to anyone that I have made far fewer bad bets or
silly mistakes this time ‘round (in the past, I’ve shown a talent for betting the
wrong numbers or getting shut out). Keeping my bets simple is clearly part of
the reason for this — and it is why I believe that players need to understand
their own psyches to succeed as gamblers.
|
So, before
you attack the windows today (preferably, not literally), ask yourself: What is
it that I’m good at? What is it that I’m poor at? And, most importantly, what
is/are the trigger(s) that lead to poor money management when I’m betting on
the races?
Answer those questions and you might just make some money — or at least not lose as much.
The Perfect Negative Show Pool Bet
I’ve often
opined that the best bet in racing is a show bet on a horse other than the
favorite in races featuring a negative show pool — particularly at tracks that
use net
pool pricing.
These situations occur a lot more often than one might think, so it pays to keep one’s eyes peeled. Again, I think it is the best bet in racing. One can still cash in instances where the big favorite finishes in the money, and when the big favorite runs up the track… well, you get show payoffs like the ones above.
Answer those questions and you might just make some money — or at least not lose as much.
The Perfect Negative Show Pool Bet
Now, I
like these bets in almost all instances; however, the very best betting
situations occur when the race favorite is weak or vulnerable. And, generally
speaking, the most vulnerable favorites are confirmed frontrunners… like the
one that I spotted on Nov. 26:
 |
| (Click on image to enlarge) |
 |
| (Click on image to enlarge) |
That day, in the fifth race at Parx Racing, D’Tiger
controlled $22,543 of the $26,523 (85 percent) bet to show. Yet the New York
import had a fatal weakness: not only had he not won from off the pace, but he
had also been recording some pretty mediocre early speed rations (my own
measurement of early energy disbursement).
Given the presence of Notre Grande in the field, I thought
there was a pretty good chance that D’Tiger would have to
rally from off the pace or, at the very least, go a lot faster early — and I sure as heck didn’t think he was 2/5 (his
post-time odds) to do that successfully.
 |
| (Click on image to enlarge) |
Moreover, I felt that if Norte Grande produced an ESR of -10 or less ("brisk" to "demanding" on my scale) — something he had done in three of his eight prior races — D’Tiger
might lose heart altogether and finish out of the money.
As it turned
out, I was right and lucky. Norte
Grande did, in fact, post a sub-minus-10 ESR and D’Tiger made his plight worse by
stumbling at the start.
 | ||
| (Click on image to enlarge) |
I collected $20.20
to show on Norte Grande and another $9.20 to show on Grande Prelude, who I
thought was a safe show bet whether D’Tiger ran his race or not.
These situations occur a lot more often than one might think, so it pays to keep one’s eyes peeled. Again, I think it is the best bet in racing. One can still cash in instances where the big favorite finishes in the money, and when the big favorite runs up the track… well, you get show payoffs like the ones above.
617 comments:
«Oldest ‹Older 601 – 617 of 617Hallo Bosqueee...
Bingung Cari Situs Judi Online Yang Mudah Menang Nya? Banyak Yang PHP?
Jangan Pusing Bos KARTUVIPQQ Ingin Mengajak Anda Bergabung Di Situs Judi Online Terpercaya Bos ^^
KARTUVIPQQ | Salah Satu Situs Yang Sudah Terbukti Kemenangannya Bos Banyak Juga Yang Melakukan WD Besar Di KARTUVIPQQ
Ingin Seperti Member" Kami Bos? Yuk Buruan Gabung Di KARTUVIPQQ ^_^
CARA MUDAH UNTUK BERGABUNG DI KARTUVIPQQ :
* DAFTAR
* DEPOSIT
* BERMAIN
* MENANG
* WITHDRAW
Dapatkan Fasilitas Termewah Di KARTUVIPQQ :
* Min Deposit (15RIBU) & Withdraw Terjangkau (20RIBU)
* Proses Deposit & Withdraw TERCEPAT, TERMUDAH & TERPERCAYA PASTI nya
* Di Layani CS Cantik & Ramah NON STOP! ( 24JAM )
* Sistem Fairplay 100% ( NO ROBOT)
* Tingkat Persentase Kemenangan Yang Besar
* Kartu Anda Akan Lebih Bagus
KARTUVIPQQ Juga Menyediakan BONUS SPECIAL :
* BONUS ROLLINGAN TERBESAR 0.5%
* BONUS REFFERAL SEUMUR HIDUP 20%
Dengan 1 User ID Anda Bisa Menikmati 8GAMES Dari KARTUVIPQQ :
*ADU Q
*POKER
*DOMINO
*CAPSA SUSUN
*BANDAR Q
*BANDAR POKER
*BANDAR SAKONG
*BANDAR 66
DI SUPPORT SEMUA BANK INDONESIA :
* BCA
* BRI
* BNI
* MANDIRI
* DANAMON
* DAN BANK LAINNYA
LINK KARTUVIPQQ :
WWW.KARTUVIPQQ.COM
Buruan Gabung Sekarang Juga Bersama Kami, Dan Dapatkan Kemenangan Yang Berlimpah Di KARTUVIPQQ
CONTACT PERSON:
LINE : kartuvipqq
WHATSAPP : +85510791654
Wechat : kartuvipqq
Welcome to Stardom Resort which Situated "The Land of Royalty" at Jaipur (Rajasthan),Stardom is the dream land for travelers who are intrigued by natural life. Resort strategically located in Jaisinghpura road, Bhankrota, Jaipur (Rajasthan)
Whether you are looking to bring your family closer on an adventure holiday where you push your limits together through teamwork, or you are just looking to unwind through rest and relaxation at a family beach resort, we provide kid friendly holidays for all your needs and desires. Babies, children, teenagers, adults and everything in-between can find activities to enjoy both together as a family, and independently as well.
The Resort has28 keys comprising of Suite, Villas and Deluxe rooms, the resort also has need-based conferencing, banqueting, Swimming Pool to relax and rejuvenate your body or soul.
Enjoy yourpool parties, Corporate Events , Get together , Social Events , Wedding Events at Stardom Resort . Very exclusive place at a very feasible price …
url:https://stardomresortjaipur.in
LEGAL DEKHO SERVICES is a Corporate Consultancy Firm handling all Corporate and legal matters on Company Registration, LLP Registration, Trademark Registration, FASSI Registration, PASARA Registration, Civil, Criminal, Business, Commercial, Corporate, Arbitration , Labor & Service subjects in law, in all Statutory Departments and courts as well as Tribunals. An individualized service by members with decades of experience ensures total satisfaction to the clients.
url:http://legaldekho.co.in
Bawloo Infotech is a premium design agency that focuses on quality, innovation, & speed. We utilized technology to bring results to grow our clients businesses. We pride ourselves in great work ethic, integrity, and end-results. Throughout the years Bawloo Infotech has been able to create stunning, award winning designs in multiple verticals while allowing our clients to obtain an overall better web presence.
url:http://www.bawlooinfotech.com
maaf bosku kami ingin menawarkan bo kami
MSN91 adalah pilihan judi bola yang sangat tepat untuk anda.
Kenapa anda harus memilih MSN91 kami ?
-. Minimal deposit 25.000
-. Proses Deposit dan Withdraw dalam 5menit*
-. Bonus-bonus menarik bagi anda
-. Customer Servis dengan professional melayani anda selama 24Jam
-. Pelanggan dengan senang dan puas adalah prioritas kami.
SEKARANG MSN91 deposit sudah bisa melalui BCA, MANDIRI, BRI, dan BNI.
MSN91 sangat harapkan anda selalu menang dan keberuntungan tiap hari.
Hubungi kami selalu ONLINE 24JAM :
TELEGRAM : @MSN918
WHATS APP : https://cutt.ly/BeA3atp
TIPS DAN TRIK BERMAIN SILAKAN KE http://situspokerqq.club
Bantu share ke member lain
makasih ya bosku
maaf bosku kami ingin menawarkan bo kami
MSN91 adalah pilihan judi bola yang sangat tepat untuk anda.
Kenapa anda harus memilih MSN91 kami ?
-. Minimal deposit 25.000
-. Proses Deposit dan Withdraw dalam 5menit*
-. Bonus-bonus menarik bagi anda
-. Customer Servis dengan professional melayani anda selama 24Jam
-. Pelanggan dengan senang dan puas adalah prioritas kami.
SEKARANG MSN91 deposit sudah bisa melalui BCA, MANDIRI, BRI, dan BNI.
MSN91 sangat harapkan anda selalu menang dan keberuntungan tiap hari.
Hubungi kami selalu ONLINE 24JAM :
TELEGRAM : @MSN918
WHATS APP : https://cutt.ly/BeA3atp
TIPS DAN TRIK BERMAIN SILAKAN KE http://situspokerqq.club
Bantu share ke member lain
makasih ya bosku
maaf bosku kami ingin menawarkan bo kami
MSN91 adalah pilihan judi bola yang sangat tepat untuk anda.
Kenapa anda harus memilih MSN91 kami ?
-. Minimal deposit 25.000
-. Proses Deposit dan Withdraw dalam 5menit*
-. Bonus-bonus menarik bagi anda
-. Customer Servis dengan professional melayani anda selama 24Jam
-. Pelanggan dengan senang dan puas adalah prioritas kami.
SEKARANG MSN91 deposit sudah bisa melalui BCA, MANDIRI, BRI, dan BNI.
MSN91 sangat harapkan anda selalu menang dan keberuntungan tiap hari.
Hubungi kami selalu ONLINE 24JAM :
TELEGRAM : @MSN918
WHATS APP : https://cutt.ly/BeA3atp
TIPS DAN TRIK BERMAIN SILAKAN KE http://situspokerqq.club
Bantu share ke member lain
makasih ya bosku
Thanks for your page! Your share information it helped me alot!
web design services in houston
web design chicago
website design philadelphia
website design phoenix
Daftar Situs Bandarq Online
Daftar Bandarq Online
Bandarq Online
Bandarq
ID Pro PKV Games
ID Pro PKV
ID Pro
IDPro
a very good article for casual time reading
Agen Poker Deposit Ovo
Bandar Ceme
Agen Poker Terpercaya
<a
Halo teman-teman pecinta judi online, Kini DewadominoQQ telah hadir dengan 8 permainan diantaranya adalah, Play poker, Bandar poker, Capsa Susun, Bandar Sakong, Play AduQ, BandarQ, Domino 99, Bandar 99. ayo segera daftarkan dirimu untuk bermain di
www.DewaDominoPoker . com
Dengan minimal deposit hanya Rp 15.000, Anda sudah dapat bermain, Dan menangkan JACKPOT hingga RATUSAN JUTA RUPIAH.
Keungulan bermain di
DewadiminoQQ;
-Permainan yang anda mainkan adalah murni player Vs player, tanpa menggunakan sistem bot.
-Proses Deposit dan Withdraw cepat dan terpercaya
-Dilayani dengan live chat yang sangat ramah untuk membantu anda
-DewadominoQQ menyediakan 5 bank lokal yaitu BNI, BRI, BCA, Danamon, Mandiri.
-Memiliki bonus rollingan sebesar 0,5% setiap periode senin - minggu
-Bonus Reverral : Bonus reverral/bonus promosi sebesar 20% akan diberikan kepada member yang mempromosikan link DewaDominoPoker . com kepada teman-teman, keluarga untuk bermain di www.DewaDominoPoker.com
Tata cara bergabung bermain di www.DewaDominoPoker.com :
-Minimal berusia 18 tahun ke atas.
-Memiliki no. rekening sendiri atau rekening yang valid.
-Nama pengguna/user dibuat oleh pemain itu sendiri.
Ayo segera daftarkan diri Anda untuk bermain di DewadominoQQ, Dan jangan lupa untuk mengajak teman-teman Anda untuk bermain di DewadominoQQ & raACakan sensasi bermain poker tanpa bot bersama kami di www.DewaDominoPoker . com
untuk info contact dan customer service kami, Anda bisa menghubungi kami di :
LiveChat : Klik Disini
YM : dewadominoqq@yahoo.com
Twitter : @dewadominoqq
Packers and Movers in Delhi - Create an inventory of your precious products and utilize it. Thus, You need to learn some wise packaging tips for good packaging of whole your household products like professional packers and movers businesses. Below are a few wise strategies for boxing and packaging of home products that will assist you greatly when you're going to begin packaging for your house relocation.
Packers and Movers in Delhi - Create an inventory of your precious products and utilize it. Thus, You need to learn some wise packaging tips for good packaging of whole your household products like professional packers and movers businesses. Below are a few wise strategies for boxing and packaging of home products that will assist you greatly when you're going to begin packaging for your house relocation.
onoPoker Agen Ceme Bola Casino Joker Deposit Pulsa OVO GoPay
SBObet
IBCbet
Casino 338a
Joker
Tembak Ikan
Untuk Pendaftaran, Silakan Kunjungi :
Agen Ceme Terpercaya
Agen Domino99 Terpercaya
Live Chat onoPoker
Didukung Oleh :
Liputan Becek
Kutampung
Prediksi Bola onoPoker
Situs Agen Ratucapsa adalah Qiu Qiu Online Terbesar DiIndonesia Dengan Permainan Dominoqq. Bandarq, qiu qiu online dengan layanan terbaik & cepat di Indonesia Online
bergabung bersama kami di Situs Agen http://pokerartikel88.blogspot.com
- Menyediakan Bonus Refferal 10% Seumur Hidup
- Bonus Turn Over 0,5%
- Minimal Depo Rp.25.000,-
- Minimal Withdraw Rp.25.000,-
- CUKUP 1 ID UNTUK BERMAIN 9 GAME
- 100% No admin dan No robot
- 100% Player VS Player
- Proses Deposit dan Withdraw Tercepat.
- Bisa deposit dan WD via PULSA
- Kasih tips menang banyak
https://pkvratucapsa.blogspot.com/
Game Online yang telah menggunakan Uang Asli ( Judi online ) pada saat ini juga memang cukup lumayan diminati oleh sekian banyak orang. BANDAR CEME & AGEN POKER ONLINE HITSPOKER sudah memiliki lisensi RESMI.
HITSPOKER sudah terkenal sampai ke pelosok INDONESIA. Kami sangat dipercaya menjadi AGEN BANDAR CEME DAN POKER ONLINE TERBAIK DI Seluruh INDONESIA. Kemenangan Member di HITSPOKER 99%.
Register, Deposit, Mainkan, dan DAPATKAN JACKPOT juga WITHDRAW dengan proses MAKSIMAL hanya 1 MENIT! ( Kami yang selalu MEMBAYAR TUNAI kemenangan member 100% ).
Segera daftarkan akun 1 user ID untuk 7 PERMAINAN, Main di meja HOKI Anda. Minimal Deposit Hanya 20.000 Rupiah, dan juga Withdraw dapat dilakukan hanya dengan Minimal 20.000 Rupiah.
Bonus Cashback sebesar 0,5% dibagikan SETIAP HARI Kamis
Bonus Referral sebesar 20%
Bonus Deposit HARIAN 10%
Bonus NEW MEMBER 10% .
Kami juga menyediakan 6 BANK LOKAL : BCA, BNI, BRI, Mandiri, CIMB NIAGA dan DANAMON.
Kami juga menerima transaksi dari : OVO, PAYPRO, GOJEK. linkaja
UNTUK INFORMASI SELANJUTNYA , Bisa HUBUNGI KAMI DI : https://yea.to/8zketg
TOGEL212
agen togel212
alamat togel212
alternatif togel212
angka jitu hk togel212
angka jitu togel212
angka main hk togel212
aplikasi togel212
TOGEL ONLINE
jayatogel
togel online
togel singapore online
togel online terpercaya
daftar togel online
togel online sgp
jaya togel keluaran hongkong
jaya togel sdy
bandar togel online
situs togel online
togel online org
nomor hongkong togel online
togel online deposit 50000
pengeluaran togel online
aplikasi togel online
online togel
judi togel online
BERKAH365
Berkah 365
liga Berkah365
link alternatif Berkah365
live chat Berkah365
Post a Comment