May bows to an extraordinary menu of harness racing features that takes us
across the borders of states and countries. The older pacing hombres duke it
out in Canada. State-breds battle in divisions in New York and they finalize
champs in New Jersey. The glamour-boy pacers hold sway at Yonkers in the race
no one expected would not include He’s Watching. More colt pacers battle in a
trio of divisional stakes at Mohawk and there are more aged pacers in the
Empire State on Sunday at Tioga, trotters, too.
Soph-colt-and-filly trotter’ events for the week are the contents of our
seasonal blog, the
Hambletonian Trail. Follow our analysis of
the races featuring the eligibles to this year’s August trotting classics at
The Meadowlands. For this weekend’s events, go to the “Trail” blog and peruse
our analysis. Check weekdays where there are not TwinSpires blogs for other
events not covered within the blog deadlines.
Also on weekdays, check out the TwinSpires-Hoosier team’s perks for harness
players. Tuesdays, wager all you want and earn 10 TSC Elite Points per dollar
bet.
Click here for details. Every Thursday
night, there is a 20-percent bonus on hitting the Pick 4 starting at Race 3.
Click here for details. And the ongoing
10-percent Pick-4 bonus every racing night on Pick-4 hits continues through the
meet.
Click here for details.
Follow @FrankCotolo and @TwinSpires on Twitter to get tips on Hoosier
contenders you can use in your tickets during the promo program days. Other
possibilities appear in exclusive horses-to-watch (H2W) list.
Molson Lava
The Molson Pace is a sizzling field of fiery and flashy pacers. A staple of the
Western Fair season in Ontario is a visit from the continent’s top FFA male
pacers for shares in the six-digit purse (this year it is $150,000 Canadian).
This division, of course, allows for annual participation among the aged
side-steppers. Defending champion State Treasurer is back, drawing the half-mile’s coveted
rail position in this Friday, May 30 event.
State Treasurer is amid a great start this season, winning his most recent
three, including a 1:48.3 at Mohawk. Two-time event-winner Foiled Again drew
post 7 in the eight-horse field. Dancin Yankee, who set a 1:47.2 world record
recently at Pocono, drew post while Bettors Edge (post 2), Bandolito (post 3),
Apprentice Hanover (post 4), P H Supercam (post 6) and Captive Audience (post
8) complete the cast.
This race is all about position, speed and even endurance, since a strong early
move to the outside could win it without a fierce duel. There is a case to be
made for each of these, as the talent of the field goes deep, but you will have
to pick a scenario for each to earn being first at the wire after four turns.
The obvious plays include last year’s winner and the fan-favorite Foiled Again
but there could be a decent price on P H Supercam. He is no stranger to the
format or the four turns, having won the “Levy” final against some of these,
including Foiled Again, who had dominated the legs of that long series. We
don’t see speed as a main ingredient for a winner and we like post 6 for a
strategic moving pacer like “PH.”
On the wagering side for the evening at Western Fair, the Early Pick-4 will
feature a $7,500 guaranteed pool with a $10,000 guarantee on the Late Pick-4.
There’s a Super Hi-5 in Race 7, will also feature a $10,000 guaranteed pool.
The ‘Art’ Of Pacing
Standout state-bred All Bets Off drew post 4 in May 30’s $300,000 Art Rooney
Pace Final at Yonkers Raceway. The absence of He’s Watching was not even
predicted by this sharp blog, even though we had last week’s elim winner that
soundly defeated him. He’s Watching was terrible and didn’t make the final. He
is scheduled to go to Mohawk, as explained in the story on the
Somebeachsomewhere elims (below).
All Bets Off, the other “Rooney” elim winner, is trained and co-owned by Ron
Burke, and is a top choice in the final. Stevensville, our wire-to-wire winner
against He’s Watching, goes for co-owner/trainer Ray Schnittker and should go
off a lot less than he did when he won at 9-1.
Thereisapaceforus was scratched after the draw (he got post 1). That moved Maxi
Bon from the “also eligible” list into the race and inside his seven rivals.
That also made Maxi Bon and Gold Rocks, both trained by Tony Alagna, a coupled
entry. Alagna’s third horse, Bondi Hanover, is a separate wagering interest
(having separate ownership than the other pair). The field in post order:
1-Maxi Bon, 2-Bondi Hanover, 3-Gold Rocks, 4-All Bets Off, 5-Some Playa,
6-Stevensville, 7-Unlocked and 8-Ideal Fashion.
There is truly no reason that Stevensville cannot repeat his performance last
week but All Bets Off is not going to allow a pace-commanding performance. Last
week we liked Maxi Bon in the second elim and he was off on a productive mile
before breaking badly enough to finish fifth, which was last. He should have
something important to say about the result of this race and would come as no
surprise to us if he won at a decent price, even if he was the third choice. We
like him in tandem with Stevensville to be at the wire ahead of All Bets Off.
The $124,744 final of the Lismore, for glamour-gal fillies may offer value in
the big beaten favorite that resulted in Rusty Bliss’s $62.50 place offering—we
gave you that one as our second choice to Also Encouraging, the public choice
that finished fourth after a wide trip trying to get the top cost her the final
quarter).
Also Encouraging and It Was Fascination should create the Lismore exacta at the
wire, both making amends and creating a sound exotic by beating the obvious
choice of the final, Southwind Silence.
Canadian Glamour
In major prep mode for the million-plus bucks in the North America Cup elims
(June 7) at Mohawk, glamour-boy pacers battle in three divisions of the
Somebeachsomewhere Stake. Each split has a price tag of $75,000.
In round one, two top division colts, Jk Endofanera and Luck Be Withyou, leave
from the outside posts and take with them the majority of win bets. All things
being equal in their trips, we favor “Luck,” who seems to tower over the entire
field. He may also be a huge favorite, so judge your own sense of value here
because he could be value if “Jk” gets more than his share of the pool.
Split two could wind up the better of the trio for the bettors, as local
favorite Somewhere in L A could take much more money than deserved, leaving
some chunky change for others, primarily Always B Miki. He was dynamic winning
in New Jersey and trainer Joe Holloway always sends his top stock out prepared
to give their all. If the win money is split between “L A” and Burke’s
Somestarsomewhere, “Miki” could be a strong second or third choice.
The last in the triptych is an essential test for He’s Watching. He has to
produce here, else he loses more than the race; he will have to begin
dismounting his pre-ordained throne as the divisions’ best. Certainly a trip to
the “Cup” elims would seem moot if he races anywhere near how he did in the
Rooney elim. Also missing here is National Debt, who has had his own troubles
with miscues in his soph debut.
This looks to us like a perfect field for Jet Airway to fool the bettors and
the foes. He was very good as our 21-1 choice in a Simpson split at the
Meadowlands where he finished second and is improving with every contest. The
price will be right.
Jersey Champs
The New Jersey Sires Stakes championships for sophomores on both gaits is a
feature on May 31 at the Meadowlands (see the trotting ranks at the
Hambletonian Trail blog).
The $100,000 affairs for colt pacers hosts a small field of five and offers a
duel that may ensue through the season, with up-and-coming Doo Wop Hanover and
posturing Western Vintage. The latter has been made an overwhelming favorite
and that may be obvious now that He’s Watching had a less-than-brilliant debut
as a sophomore. “Doo Wop” must prove, without “Vintage” making a gait mistake,
that he is better going eye to eye. Either way, it is a race to watch for
future performances of the other three, rather than bet against either of the
top two.
The fillies’ final brings up a possibility that has a few layers of support.
Highland Rockstar is competitive, though not yet a winner among winners, that
has had a number of excuses against the likes of this group. One huge and
unfair negative that the bettors lay upon him is his driver, veteran Mike
Lachance. Mike’s current win record at the Meadowlands is one for 81, so the
bettors have put the classy veteran to pasture when they should be respecting
his prowess based on his sterling experience, especially in high-pursed
affairs. This makes for a terrific overlay in a field where no one filly has a
distinct advantage, certainly not concerning a driver or breeding. It would be
just like life to find Lachance in the winners’ circle with this enormously
paying filly and a slew of so-called smart handicappers scratching their heads
while you and I collect.
Easy Rollin’
The $160,000 Roll With Joe mile for FFA pacers is Sunday’s big event at Tioga.
If they weren’t in the Molson Pace on Friday, chances are they are in New York
for this 10-horse fiesta. Sweet Lou comes straight off of his Meadowlands jaunt
last week in the Open; he has two wins in five starts this season and has only
been off the board once. State-champ Heston Blue Chip is ready to challenge,
himself two for five and in tune with this group that teeters on the 1:50 mile
mark.
With five wins in 14 starts this season, Dovuto Hanover may be potent here, certainly
at a price. He had a lot of trouble at the Meadowlands, suffering major path
problems, in an Open and then was battered from post 8 last week (at 55-1)
against “Lou.” His pacing, however, is not a product of insipid speed; he is
fast and in the right spot will fire. This could be the right spot.
H2W Legend
Review our choices and follow the wagering at the prescribed track. These are
possible contenders we have judged from reviewing races. The horses’ names are
listed beneath the name of the track after the date they will be racing. The
race in which they are entered (R and race number) follows. If a + is in front
of a horse’s name it means it is appearing on the list for the second (and last
time) because it failed to win the first time it appeared. An “ae” signals the
horse is entered but on the also-eligible list. If a horse is listed twice,
refer to the entries on the night of the race since a horse may enter in more
than one race. Types of wagering on any of the H2W listed horses are based on
your judgment. If you have any questions, email us at TwinSpires.
H2W
Buffalo
5/31/14, +Release The Terror R1; +Rafferty Hanover R5; +Wolf Angus R10
Hoosier
5/29/14, +Ponda Premier R12
Maywood
5/29/14, +Badlands Lady R9
5/30/14, Baksidebar Nlounge R2; +Irish Raider R3; Dunside Art R4; Freshman
Phenonom R8; +Fox Valley George R9; +Sealark Hanover-ae-R11
Meadowlands
5/30/14, +Upfrontsthegold R10
5/31/14, +Hilarious Halo R10
Meadows
5/30/14, Bootswiththefur-ae-R2; +Incredible Dragon R7; Hep R10; Ismrbellatou
R12; Petty Hanover R12; Bessie R13; Martini Twist R14
Plainridge
5/31/14, Nanettes Nordic R6; +Best Of Curragh R7; +Fedigan’s Glory R8; Scarab
Begonia R8
Pocono
5/31/14, +St Lad’s He Man R5
Rosecroft
5/31/14, +Diamond Gambler R4; New Girlfriend R4
Saratoga
5/30/14, Mcattee R3; Swift Slide R12
Scarborough
5/30/14, Cranmeadow Express R1
5/31/14, Cyclone Pass R2; Shoot First R3; +Ladyofcastlebrook-ae- R5;
Wandasbettorchoice R6; +Jitterbug Hanover R7; Electric Mayhem R7
Scioto
5/30/14, +Action-broadway R3
Tioga
5/31/14, Wannabearockstar R8
Yonkers
5/29/14, +Olive Oyle R6
5/30/14, +Mugshot Jess R2; Dragon Ridge R4; +Monkey On My Wheel R6; +Political
Desire R11
Ray Cotolo contributes to each edition.
