Apr 30, 2011

SimonSays Handicapping Challenge

Week 13

Anthony Kelzenberg

Race 9 at Churchill Downs (4/30/11):

BET(S): $60 win, $30 place, $20 show on #9 Born Indy U S A (30/1 ML).

COMMENTS: She has decent races now and then, especially when she can sit second or third, which probably helps her relax. Her style also fits well at this distance on the Churchill turf course. Added bonuses are a class drop, she's second off a short layoff, and her trainer/jockey team hit over 20% together.

Garnet Barnsdale

Race 4 at Woodbine Harness (4/30/11):

BET(S): $0.20 PICK FOUR 2,3,4,5,7,8 with 2,4,9,10 with 2,3,6,7,8 with 1,2,3,6,9
$1 PICK FOUR 2,3,4,5,7,8 with 2,4,9,10 with 2,3,6,7,8 with 2

COMMENTS: Saturday nights have a $100K guarantee on the early Pick 4 and this one looks like it may pay nice.

Race 11 at Woodbine Harness (4/30/11):

BET(S): $100 WIN & PACE on #4
$50 EXACTA BOX 1-4

COMMENTS: #4 Dimes Dividends suffered a brutal parked-out trip from the 10-hole in his most recent start. His 2 previous wins at Flamboro showed that he is in top shape. He may just get a perfect pocket trip behind likely pacesetter and expected heavy favorite #1 Gotcha Covered who is likely to be overbet down to odds-on with the class drop. There is some value here with #4.

Chris Hernandez

Race 8 at Churchill Downs (4/30/11):

BET(S): $10 WIN on #3 Machen

José D. De León Alejandro

Race 9 at Belmont Park (4/30/11):

BET(S): $2 WIN on #6 Christmas For Liam

Race 8 at Churchill Downs (4/30/11):

BET(S): $2 WIN on #6 Dominus

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  3. She has decent races now and then, especially when she can sit second or third, which probably helps her relax. Her style also fits well at this distance on the Churchill turf course. Added bonuses are a class drop, she's second off a short layoff, and her trainer/jockey team hit over 20% together.
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