Stakes Have Stars Spread Out For Action
Let’s look at the swarm of events that may warrant some
valuable betting opportunities, along with our suggested contenders, most
predicted to be overlays at press time.
The Hambletonian
Society and TwinSpires continue to generate extra activity at the Breeders Crown Countdown,
following all eight divisions in the classic events, scheduled to be presented
again this year on a single card at Woodbine. Check the blog often for updates
on great betting opportunities from race analysis’s that don’t appear in the
regular TwinSpires blog. This week, follow the Champlains and Simcoe
conclusions at the blog.
Lucrative Indiana State-Bred Splits
Two- and-three-year-olds that are the best of Indiana this
season each battle in a $200,000 Indiana Sires Stakes (INSS) Final. Let’s look
at each one in order of their appearance on the Sept. 8 program, with comments
for suggested contenders.
Frosh-filly trotters start the festival of INSS blockbusters.
A few of these gals are still maidens and one of them interests us. Princess
Pablano, driven and trained by veteran Rod Allen, is an Allen-family homebred
(her mare is CR Princess Bride). She is lightly raced this year and could be
ready to move from maiden status at a price for the bettor and the best purse
for Allen so far.
It’s tough to see past Ron Burke’s Mr Jesse, though the rail
could cause concern if the frosh-colt trotter has to make two moves. Even so,
the most likely choice, Only Just A Dream, will have to negotiate the 10 hole
and that can just help Mr Jesse.
Soph-filly trotters are next and you should look around the
two six-digit winners this season (Blueridge Abigail and Cincinnati Star)
because they can be beaten. The 10, My Sweet Sheila has been very strong for
Robert Taylor and the post will add some value. Somehow, she should be in the
mix if not upsetting the top two.
Soph-filly pacers hit the track next and we suggest you
consider American Girl. Ernie Gaskin’s student has made a lot of money by
winning only a third of her starts and should go into this pacing on all
cylinders.
Soph-colt pacers could be ruled in this affair by Jammin
Joshua, another Gaskin student. He has developed well over a dozen races and is
in a great spot to maneuver a big mile for bettors and connections.
Frosh-colt pacers mix three products of Always A Virgin,
with, we feel, the advantage going to Raise The Gin. Steve Carter’s colt has
done everything asked of him and could top the season off with a huge increase
in earnings and maybe a speed badge.
Next, the young filly pacers, green two-year-olds that have
earned a great deal, with five maidens included. Dirt Diamond has won three of
five and can turn in some wicked flashes of speed. Those credentials could
compensate for post 9 and a few inside of him with bigger bankrolls.
Finally, soph-colt trotters conclude the six-digit purse
parade. A great deal of support will be handed to the obvious and most likely
winner, Jolenes Pinehonker. Aside from having a hilarious name, Lester Raber’s
colt loves to win and in this context he could be the best.
Classic Canada Continues
Mohawk once again presents the glamour-boy trotters in the
Canadian Trotting Classic, with elims o Sept. 8. The $1-million final takes place
on the Sept. 15 program.
Here are the two elimination fields, each followed by
comments.
Elim 1
1-Possess The Will; 2-Gym Tan Laundry; 3-Modern Family; 4-Appomattox; 5-Knows Nothing; 6-Guccio; 7-Money On My Mind; 7-Highland Yankee.
1-Possess The Will; 2-Gym Tan Laundry; 3-Modern Family; 4-Appomattox; 5-Knows Nothing; 6-Guccio; 7-Money On My Mind; 7-Highland Yankee.
Big money has its target on Knows Nothing, who is an in and
out type but remains a hometown favorite, certainly among these. We like
Guccio, who looks as if his best work will be done in this second half of the
season. As well, he may be able to take advantage of the speedboats that
usually force the fractions in the first half of a race, including the hometown
favorite. Guccio may never be able to keep up with the usual suspects that try
to burn a big mile and not themselves but he is the type to take advantage of
them and make a whole lot of money doing it.
Elim 2
1-Little Brown Fox; 2-Lindys Jersey Boy; 3-Solvato; 4-Sormin Normand; 5-Beer Summit; 6-My Mvp; 7-Prestidigitator; 8-Magic Tonight; 9-Market Share.
1-Little Brown Fox; 2-Lindys Jersey Boy; 3-Solvato; 4-Sormin Normand; 5-Beer Summit; 6-My Mvp; 7-Prestidigitator; 8-Magic Tonight; 9-Market Share.
Little Brown Fox is a major threat from the inside and may
go off greater than his most recent events since Hambo-winner Market Share is
here. However, that one has to negotiate post 9, as well as Stormin Normand
returns to battle familiar foes. “Normand” may be the one out to prove the
most, wanting to be exposed to a major mile for the money and to meet the final
group head on for the million. He should be an overlay here, too. Watch for
that pair, they could pull off a hefty exacta based on their overlay statuses.
Freehold Features
The $50,000 Helen Smith Memorial for New Jersey-bred
soph-filly trotters is the Freehold highlight on Sept. 7, while frosh-colt
pacers head to the gate there on Sept. 8 in the Lou Babic Memorial.
We would love to project a great upset for the “Smith,” but
it is difficult to shy from Aunt Mel, the Erv Miller student who has been
installed the morning-line choice (though 3-1 would be a generous price).
She won her Smith elim following wins in the Zweig for gals
and a major stake at Springfield in Illinois. As the top money-earner from her
class in this division in this field and from the coveted rail on the half-mile
for this event she seems the proverbial mortal lock.
In the $106,700 Lou Babic, Tony Alegna’s red-hot stable
sends out He Rocks The Moon with only the 8 hold to concern him. That is, if
you don’t add to the mix the red-hot stable of Casie Coleman, which sends out
Ideal Carver from post 5. The latter will most likely be the choice and maybe
Alegna’s colt will be bet too heavily, leaving an upset chance from Charger
Blue Chip from post 1. Noel Daley, whose stable may not be as hot as the
aforementioned but is a force to reckon with in all situations, trains him.
Historic Repeats Itself
A few Grand Circuit events left over from the Historic Week
series are featured at Vernon Downs Sept. 7.
The $64,600 Debutante Stake for frosh-filly pacers has only
four on the gate, so it is hard to nail an overlay this early. The same goes
for the open trot Credit Winner, though it carries a $200,000 purse.
The $1919 all-aged Muscle Hill contest has seven on board
and Pembroke Heat Wave would be our suggested contender. She keeps cashing
checks against the best in the business and her recent Tioga Downs loss was a
trip-decider for the winner, Beatgoeson Hanover, in here at post 1. Cedar Dove
will gather most of the money, so go for the upset.
Ray Cotolo
contributed to this edition.
232 comments:
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