Stakes Weekend Winds Up Red Mile Meet
Friday and Saturday at The Red Mile
will be covered in this blog, as will two main frosh features at Maywood Park
on Oct. 5.
Return Of The Freshmen
Friday, the International Stallion
Stakes (INSS) offer nearly $600,000 in purses for freshmen, most coming back
from last week’s Bluegrass Stakes.
The INSS events begin featuring two
sharp fillies off of wins at Lexington. Nikki Beach scored for trainer Tony
Alagna. Homer Hochstetler’s Ritascape had a tougher trip to win her division.
But we will go again with Miss Madi M. She was very sharp getting third last
week at 26-1 and any improvement puts her in upset mode.
I Luv The Nitelife returns in the
second filly pace and it will take some guts to support an upset this week.
Trainer Chris Ryder has her sharp right now and all we can do is lightly
support Want Answers again, putting mild trust in her finishing third last week
against similar at 11-1.
What
some think could be most competitive division filly split pits Novascotia
Hanover against Wherethegirlsare, South Pacific and Canary Island, a quartet of
Somebeachsomewhere products. Going against these leaves only Hit The Curb,
whose earnings are in the trio’s ballpark.
Trotting
colts go their second week in Lexington in four divisions. In the first split,
Caveat Emptor may be overlooked. Last week’s choice in this group had a tough,
wide start and was short. With post 8 and some foes on his inside that beat
him, this could be the best moment to get value on a winning performance.
Fashion
Blizzard has the same type of trip that tripped up “Emptor” and will be gunning
for a wire-to-wire win here. With the public going to him and Punxsutawney, the
third-choice bargain could turn out to be Broadway Prince.
Pine
Credit is the morning-line favorite but we like the chances of outsider
Lauderdale, the Jonas Czernyson student that has greatly improved since
breaking in the Kindergarten. He may change his maiden status here by getting
the top and staying there.
Finally, don’t be afraid of the big
price probably offered by San Donato in the nightcap for colt trotters. His
jump last out may turn a lot of players off but a clean-gaited race with John
Campbell up wins this as he did the Kindergarten on Sept. 13.
Maywood Mahem
Frosh-filly pacers battle on the Chicago front in The Violet
Final and young colts are featured in The Cardinal Final on Oct. 5.
Last week’s arrival to the half-mile Maywood from the mile
Balmoral produced a win in a Violet elim for Special Rose and in the final she
needs to be considered against the obvious giant favorites on her inside. One
of those, Thank You Doc, was beaten by “Rose” and there is no reason to feel
tonight will alter that result, especially since Rose should again be greater
odds than her chances against the aforementioned.
The Cardinal Final’s frosh colts also come off some sharp
elims and here we need to take a shot with the outside horse, Fancy Creek
Elusiv. A decent price is guaranteed because so many players will go for Fox
Valley Action, who was second last week even after breaking at the start.
However, “Elusiv” beat him the time before when conditions were equal. So,
price plus performance can equal a good overlay play.
Power-Pacing
Saturday, Oct. 6’s Grand Circuit card at The Red Mile finds soph pacers vying for over $1.1 million, including the $510,300 Tattersalls Pace, which drew a dozen of the sharpest from the tough colt division.
Last week’s winner,Thinking Out
Loud, who found a race he could win after so many disappointing appearances
after winning The North America Cap, is back with John Campbell to negotiate
post 11 in the second tier of the thick Tattersalls field. In a better spot,
the 12 hole, is A Rocknroll Dance, who can gain instant position from the
second tier and make one bold move, as in the Meadowlands Pace, and win this at
a price his followers have earned over the last few events.
Last week the supplemented Mel Mara
was a longshot winner in one group of Bluegrass colts. There is still pointless
buzz for Bolt The Duer and Sweet Lou has his followers but A Rocknroll Dance
can be played here as an overlay while colts he has beaten for the best money
get too much attention.
The soph-pacing fillies compete in two
$111,000 divisions of the Glen Garnsey Memorial, seven in each.
Romantic Moment will dominate the
wagering in the first split, though she lost to ended Shelliscape last week
(that one is in split two). She can be beaten again, this time by Big Mcdeal,
who was stoutly on the move last week and looks to be able to turn over a
bigger mile here.
Shelliscape will again have
something to pace after in the second division, as she tries to close on speedy
fractions. However, American Jewel loves the Red Mile and returned to top form
here last week and could be worth it if the wagers will be spread out between
the aforementioned, Darena Hanover (who won the Jugette) and always dangerous
Economy Terror.
The INSS for freshman colt pacers
offers four full divisions for a total purse of nearly $350,000.
Former Bluegrass winners, Rockin
Amadeus, Fool Me Once and Twilight Bomber, line up to kick things off in round
one. Fool Me Once should come right back and win.
Odds
On Equuleus was disqualified last week and is out for revenge but Our Dragon
King is in a good spot to beat him without the luck of a dismissal.
Captaintreacherous is back for
trainer Tony Alagna and who wants to wager against him as he borrows his way to
the Breeders Crown against the types he has beaten six of seven times in his
initial season on the track.
The crowd will look strongly at
Apprentice Hanover but we will go again with Sir Richard Z Tam because he may
be the best bargain between the aforementioned and the rugged but usually over-wagered
Johny Rock.
Post for Satuday is 1:00 p.m.
More race analysis’s from The Red Mile will appear at the Breeders Crown Countdown as
soon as Sunday’s races are drawn. Always check the exclusive blog that, along
with the Hambletonian Society and
TwinSpires, covers major activity in that could affect the 2012 series of
champion-making events, again this year on a single card at Woodbine. Keep up
to date on great betting opportunities that don’t appear in the regular
TwinSpires blog.
Ray Cotolo
contributed to this edition.
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