Jan 8, 2013

It's Opening/closing day/race at Lincoln

Punters playing the first race today at Lincoln Race Course (FREE Brisnet.com Ultimate PPs) will look to get their meeting started and ended on the right and left feet, as the $3,500 claiming event for Nebraska breds is the only race at the Lincoln, Nebraska, track.

The one-furlong contest with a $3,900 purse satisfies Nebraska law that requires tracks to conduct at least one live race a year to offer simulcasting.

Omaha Exposition and Racing is conducting the race and is offering win wagering only on the three-horse field with The Straw Man the 7-to-5 morning line favorite. The 11-year-old Canaveral gelding is unraced since April at Fonner but has two workouts this year at the track for owner-trainer Brian Roberts.

The Straw Man's nine-month layoff is the longest of the three entrants, but they've all been on the shelf since at least August 26. Still, the biggest question is probably the one-furlong distance of the race rather than the layoff since they've all posted a workout at Fonner this year.

Because of the distance, my choice is Sonic Bloom, the only "E" type in the race, and as the longest shot at 3-to-1, why not? The Straw Man is an "S" type who has run distance races, so I can't imagine a furlong is his optimal distance. Bluff Center Road is at least an "E/P" type, but the worst race on his page came at four furlongs, and while his E1 pace figures are faster than The Straw Man's, they're typically slower than Sonic Bloom.

A good jockey is essential for gate speed, and though The Straw Man has the biggest "name" in 19% rider Jake Olesiak, Sonic Bloom's rider, Jose Ranilla, is a solid 12% overall with a 15% strike rate on "E" types. Bluff Center Road's jockey, meanwhile, is a lowly 3% overall and an even worse 2% in sprints, which tells me any edge he might have would come in longer races.

Unfortunately, TwinSpires.com is not carrying this prestigious event from Lincoln, but I know a guy who knows some guys in Nebraska, so I'm hoping I can still "get down" on a top pick who also happens to be the longest shot on the morning line.

UPDATE: Sonic Bloom won and paid $3.20. See how easy it is to handicap with Brisnet.com Ultimate PPs?

4 comments:

  1. Complete mockery of the business. JOKE !!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks for sharing.I found a lot of interesting information here. A really good post, very thankful and hopeful that you will write many more posts like this one.
    Kodi APK Download
    Plex APK Download
    Lucky Patcher 2018

    ReplyDelete
  3. I found a lot of interesting information here. A really good post, very thankful popcorn time apk
    snaptube download

    ReplyDelete
  4. MP Board 11th Class Important Question Paper 2023, The Madhya Pradesh Board of Secondary Education (MPBSE) was established in 1965 under The Madhya Pradesh Secondary Education Act,1965. It was established MP 11th Model Paper 2024 with main purpose of development of education in MP state and this board also determine the rule and regulation regarding the education of Higher Secondary level in MP state.

    ReplyDelete