• Profit Targets

    POSTED Feb 6, 2013 By Frank Cotolo

    Some minor stakes-series action continues at the New Meadowlands this weekend. Other than that, we are scouting the overnights around North America for value plays.

    Also, this weekend, TwinSpires once again offers 10-percent bonuses on Pick-4 hits, this week adding Buffalo Raceway on Wednesday nights to Saturday night’s early exotic at Woodbine.

    Check out the details for Woodbine here.

    Checkout the details for Buffalo here.

    Our exclusive horses-to-watch list (H2W) added Buffalo entries a few weeks back and it would worth your time to look for some of those horses listed on this blog in case they find a spot in the Wednesday, Feb. 13 Pick 4. Be aware that there is a blizzard warning in the Buffalo, New York area for this weekend and that could require racing to cancel. The same storm may affect northwest Pennsylvania, so the warning for closure spreads to the Meadows, also on the H2W list below.

    We have added the Woodine Pick-4 events to the H2W below (our top two choices for each of the Woodbine Pick-4 events) so you can be aware of some of our suggested contenders, all of which we hope will help you cash a larger exotic than would result from dead-on public choices.

    Last week our H2W list was on fire. We continue this week aiming for huge profits, which is nothing new for us—profit-making choices are our targets, always.

    Minor Leagues

    The Junior Trendsetter is a conditioned series for soph-colt pacers, giving us a glimpse of the division for the first time this season. Leg one features three divisions ($12,500 a field) on Friday, Feb. 8 at The New Meadowlands.

    In the first split Wilco is a 4-5 morning-line choice, leaving some contenders around him with upset shots. Beachfront was beaten by Wilco twice but had excuses with each mile that may not be in play this week. The Somebeachsomewhere gelding may be good at three and if he begins to show it now this could be the best price you will get on him.

    Next, our attention is drawn to Rock Icon, who was unraced at two and is coming from a grand local debut against similar stock as here. This is a son of Rocknroll Hanover, making him an instant contender regardless of his lack of credentials. The colt deserves a big shot here, especially at the probable price against already proven losers.

    In the nightcap, Fiftyshadesdarker may be a legitimate favorite and still over-priced at that. His thermo-brush last week left him parked but that might not be his position this time around the two turns. The probable favorite, Terror High, who just beat Rock Icon last week, went a similar trip and may be over-bet compared to the former.

    Saturday, Feb. 9’s Exit 16W series starts the card with a trio of $18,000 divisions. This is a series for four-year-old male pacers that will go on to challenge tougher elders as the season ensues. Here against their own age we might see some worthwhile betting action.

    Division one may be a showcase for Papa Ray since he began the season armed. But the outside spot for Yo Cheyenne Rocky may help his odds to be higher than his chances. He’s fast enough to overcome the post and has been tough in four starts.

    Next, Holdingallthecards attempts to stay perfect after dominating four events, three a sweep of a series. Mr Dennis gets another shot at him, though, and may be able to turn the tables here.

    Completing the triptych, seven closely matched males will pace and shuffle for a winner. We like Cee Pee Panic, who we won with a few weeks back. He’s in a great spot to win another for trainer Ron Burke.

    Legend


    Always review the H2W legend, published weekly, to authenticate the choices and follow the wagering at the prescribed track to decide how you will use the information.

    Before the horses’ names is the track, followed on the next paragraph by a date it (or they) will be racing, with the race in which they are entered (R and race number). If a + is in front of a horse’s name, it means that horse is appearing on the list for the second (and last time) because it failed to win the first time it appeared. An “ae” means the horse is on the also-eligible list and needs a scratch to get into the race. Sometimes up to three horses are listed in the same race; it is up to you how to deal with the situation (note that in the past this situation has resulted in exacta and triples).  

    If a horse that has appeared on the list but was scratched or is not racing its second week consecutively, you will see a N/R after its name and will appear on a separate line from dated entries. And if a horse shows up at another track in its second week of being listed, it will display the plus sign as indicated above.  

    There is a margin of error, of course, so we encourage you to keep your own list along with our list to be sure our H2W is free of mistakes.

    All members of the list need to be considered serious contenders in the races noted. Wagering on any of them is based on your own judgment of value, as well as if you wager to win, place, show or in exotics. If you have any questions about the H2W list, send them to us through the TwinSpires blog channel.

    H2W

     
    Buffalo
    2/8/13, Quiet Judy R2; Sharp Lady R5; +Hidden Dragon R10
    Dudley Doright N/R; Fourstarzconfusion N/R; Grayland Becky N/R    

    Cal Expo
    2/8/13, Matty Rose R5; +Girls Lie Too R5; Smiling Major R6; Mister Fra R7; Wildcats Major R7; Windy City Paige R9; +Forever My Love R10; Barona Destiny R15
    2/9/13, Gliding Boheme R1; Lucky Asset R5; Paul The Powerful R5; L S Orchardwinner R7; Skyway Major R8; +Viking Mia R9; Hillcrest Romeo R9; Dukeofhazards R9; Connie’s Lady R10; Bewareofthisaffair R12; +Mighty Kicker R13; Heartland Express R15
    Cat Call N/R; Blue Boy Yankee N/R

    Fraser
    2/8/13, Red Star Bogart R1; Come Around Back R1; Anasazzi Road R1; Fancy Ideal R3; Red Star Vickers R4; +Millbanks Ariel R7; +Cody Cobraski R8; Thieving Magpie R8; +Bobbysslackystar R9; Promise To Lynette R9; +Kg Mattattack R11
    Procrastinationatinpeat N/R; Latino Hall N/R; Rich As Promised N/R 

    Freehold
    2/8/13, +Hello Linda R3; +Sammy L R6
    2/9/13, +Pocketfullapower R4; Move On R5; +GW Gizmo R12; Major Domo R12
    Devine Filly N/R; The Midnight Owl N/R  

    Maywood
    Racing returns Feb. 14

    Meadowlands
    2/8/13, Mystical Victress R1; +Celebrity Bombay R5; Live Jazz R6; +Lucky Roll R8; +Dragon Princess R9
    2/9/13, Astor R4; Oscar Oscar R6; Fiveknuckleshuffle R9; Odin Blue Chip R12
    Delightful Diva N/R; April Sunshine N/R;;

    The Meadows
    2/8/13, Thisoneandonemore R3; They Call Me Moon ae R3; +Bloomington R4; +Ram Jam R4; +Grin-n-scoot R5; Hillcrest Bigdaddy ae R5; +Campo Basso R6; +Haverford Hanover R7; Polo Johnny R7; Striking Lauren R10; +Aj Niko D’oro R10; Just Pretend A R11; Touch Of Steel R11; Pembroke Snapshot R12;
    TK Diva N/R; Charles Ray N/R

    Northfield
    2/6/13, +Hatitha R13
    2/8/13, Billys Joni R13; +Jessies Band R14
    Arts Shadow N/R; Katies Dreamboat N/R; Dawn Of New Money N/R; Beforethenightstarts N/R; Iknowwhatboyslike N/R
     
    Pompano
    2/9/13, KM Sweet Dreams R2; +Peaceful Prince R2; Allamerican Major R4; Competition Cam R4; Premier R4; Artistic Topaz R5; Victory Commection R7; +Ricks Sign R8
    Whiteland Will N/R

    Yonkers
    2/8/13, +Chang Dynasty R5
    Mobile N/R; Macho Lindy N/R; Summer Snow N/R; Hulas Z Tam N/R

    Woodbine Pick 4
    Race 4, In A Craze; PL Earl
    Race 5, Wine Photo; Mr Joe Sixpack
    Race 6, Reibercrombie; Odysseus Bluechip
    Race 7; Anderlecht; Upfront Hoosierboy

     
    Ray Cotolo contributed to this edition.

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