• Free Weekend Win Factor Report Plays

    POSTED Jan 20, 2011
    Aqueduct (01/21/11)
    Race 1 * 8.0 Furlongs * Dirt

    5-All About Alex (3/1)
    Fair Odds: 2-1
    7-Indian Blossom (9/5)
    Fair Odds: 5-2
    2-Spoleto (8/1)
    Fair Odds: 6-1

    COMMENTS: Although I’m concerned about the 47-day “vacation,” ALL ABOUT ALEX has a ton of talent (considering the class of the race, of course) and wins with a repeat of her latest. INDIAN BLOSSOM will likely be favored and certainly fits with, although her recent late speed rations (LSRs) leave something to be desired. SPOLETO might be the quickest early, but her conditioning is suspect. CODY SAMORA is great when she’s allowed to set the pace, horrible when she’s not.

    BET(S): WIN on 5 at odds of 2-1 or greater.

    Aqueduct (01/21/11)
    Race 2 * 8.0 Furlongs * Dirt

    5-Smokin’ Cat (9/5)
    Fair Odds: 8-5
    1-Savannah Bay (10/1)
    Fair Odds: 5-1
    3-Captain Stone (2/1)
    Fair Odds: 5-2

    BET(S): WIN on 5 at odds of 8-5 or greater and/or WIN on 1 at odds of 5-1 or greater.

    Aqueduct (01/21/11)
    Race 3 * 8.3 Furlongs * Dirt

    2-High Stakes Player (6/1)
    Fair Odds: 4-1
    7-Rigby (5/2)
    Fair Odds: 8-5
    4-Warrant Ofc. Cook (4/1)
    Fair Odds: 6-1

    COMMENTS: The conditions of this race clearly favor four-year-olds with more than two lifetime wins, which is true of both HIGH STAKES PLAYER and RIGBY. I’ll give the nod to the former based solely on price.

    BET(S): WIN/PLACE on 2 at odds of 4-1 or greater.

    Aqueduct (01/21/11)
    Race 4 * 6.0 Furlongs * Dirt

    1-Unique Ally (6/1)
    Fair Odds: 7-2
    2-Idol Image (5/1)
    Fair Odds: 6-1
    5-Fuzzy’s Story (2/5)
    Fair Odds: 8-5

    BET(S): SHOW on 1 & 2.

    Aqueduct (01/21/11)
    Race 8 * 8.3 Furlongs * Dirt

    4-Saginaw (5/2)
    Fair Odds: 5-2
    2-Spa City Fever (5/1)
    Fair Odds: 9-2
    6-Driven By Success (4/5)
    Fair Odds: 5-2

    BET(S): WIN/SHOW on 4 at odds of 5-2 or greater and/or WIN/SHOW on 2 at odds of 9-2 or greater.

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