Border-To-Border Battles
POSTED May 23, 2012
By
Frank Cotolo
Two big events in the Great White North highlight the
upcoming weekend and neither of them takes place in the usual venue. Recently
opened Mohawk Raceway holds the undercard, so to speak, for the big stakes
action at Western Fair and Georgian Downs.
At Western Fair on Friday, May 25, the $300,000 Molson Pace
gathers some of our older pacing heroes, while at Georgian Downs on Saturday,
May 26, the $600,000 Upper Canada Cup Final is a giant purse for Ontario-sired
sophomore pacers. The cards on both of these evenings are stellar.
The Meadowlands hosts soph colts and fillies in New Jersey
Sires Stakes action again this Saturday as state-breds in those divisions eye
the millions on the line in future weeks.
We never give up at
Cal-Expo,
where TwinSpires-Cal-Expo’s exclusive no-takeout Pick 4 includes races 11
through 14. A detailed report is included below.
Molson Pace
Eight of the top older pacers on
the continent take on the tough turns and fast traffic at Western Fair in the
$300,000 Molson Pace Final on May 25.
Foiled Again makes his fourth appearance in this event’s
final. He and Atochia are the likely favorites in a talented field that could
result in any number of upsets.
We see a bargain with Meg Crone’s St Elmo Hero. He has been
coming around in form and with the right moves he may be able to get an
advantage. He can close and will have to in order to stomp down these fiery
studs. Las week he came from post 3 and worked well enough to get here, where
he draws the rail. It would be a surprise if he were not in the race from start
to finish and no surprise if he commanded the pace and got the best trip to win
wire to wire.
Also watch for some bargain odds on Richie Silverman’s
Razzle Dazzle, a very talented colt on the half-mile. He tried to close in his
elimination but couldn’t win. If he starts closing earlier against blistering
midway fractions, he may win easily. John Campbell is in the bike, his choice
over Clear Vision, who upset Atochia in an elimination.
Saturday is the $600,000 Upper Canada Cup at Georgian Downs.
Mel Mara is the likely favorite, having impressed us all with a 1:49.3 win in
only his second start as a sophomore.
An probable outsider, Huxley, may be the horse that can
sneak up on this bunch of province-bred pacers. He was shuffled back in his
elimination and closed late to get a berth in the final. If he can do that
again, he’ll be the major bomber.
Sophs Sizzling
At the Meadowlands on Saturday, New Jersey Sires Stakes
(NJSS) soph colts and fillies go in round two of the series.
We are sticking with last week’s choice, Blackjack Princess,
in the first filly split. She finished third in leg one after going wide to the
lead in an early speed-burning move. If she can save some ground to Rockin
Belle, who should be trying to wire the field, she may have a chance to upset.
Next, again, we will take Ideal In Vegas. She was sharp to
the half and crowded once she was challenged, finishing fourth as the second
choice. Her odds should be better than 2-1 here.
In the first NJSS colt division, Bullet Bob has the rail and
he should leave for position against some speedy types that could smoke their
chances by the half.
In split two there could be a decent price on I Fought Dalaw
from post 10. He looks like he may improve every bit as much as we forecasted
and a sweep of this series is not a stretch of the imagination. Watch the board
and make a judgment as to how much that outside post is worth to you.
Cal Exotic
Race 11 through Race 14 make up this week’s no-takeout Pick 4. Let’s look at
some likely contenders that could make it a worthy hit.
Leg 1
(1) Tammy’s War Box was a mild choice last week and going well until broken
equipment spoiled the mile. There is not much here to fight, so maybe we can
get away with an easy single.
Leg 2
(7) Dancing Barry may not fool bettors but it is hard to determine value under
these circumstances. This is a non-winners-of-two-races event and since you
have to rely on one of these you should make it the one on the improve.
Leg 3
(6) Im The Money was gaining late at 7-1, racing better than those odds while
finishing third. (8) Whendreamscometrue could wind up with a great trip from
post 8 and redeem himself for losing as the choice last week.
Leg 4
(3) Bo Knows Power won a dynamic mile last week, with a lot of early and late
strength. It is difficult to think he will bounce here but if he does he could
get stymied by (8) Schemes. That one had a tough outside go of it while being
well supported at 5-1 and finishing third.
Ray Cotolo contributed to
this edition.
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