Action Aplenty In The Lower Ranks
With about five
weeks left in 2012, the stakes schedule is lean and awkward. It’s lean simply
because there are a scant few races left that qualify as stakes. It’s awkward
because all racehorses will have a birthday on Jan. 1, though technically there
are horses performing that have already graduated into the next year.
Winter will display
the newest older divisions as designated when the New Year launches and those
groups will dominate through the cold months as the two- and three-year-olds
develop for debuts in warmer weather.
Bettors should not
dismay. The munificence of overnight racing easily takes over the spotlight and
there is plenty of it on all sized raceways. As this year ends, then, we will
do what we have done over the years. For one, we will be opening our personal
books and publishing, in these blogs, our Horses to Watch list (H2W) and
monitoring those horses as the deep freeze persists in the Midwest and East.
Autumn Stakes
The Autumn Stakes at Woodbine have conditions but make the
stakes grade based on their total purses. On Friday, Nov. 23, two elimination
divisions ($25,000 each) are on tap for soph-filly pacers that must be
Ontario-sired and have earned-money restrictions. The final is next week.
In the first chapter it’s difficult to separate the top
choices in the small field but you could get a bargain from Drunk And Dramatic.
Coming in from Rideau-Carleton, the filly could bring her form along and
disregard what is a step up in class. Trainer Phil Doyle has brought her here
with the best intentions and she may have what it takes to go well with this
bunch and get a good spot in the final.
In the second elim, Bill Budd’s student, Aubsession, has an
excuse for the Nov. 12 loss and was scratched the week after. The rest should
put her in perfect shape to be slightly overlooked, while her class and form
should stand up to this group.
On Saturday, Nov. 24, a pair of $25,000 Autumn Stakes elims
for soph-colt pacers are the featured events at Woodbine.
In the first episode, Rick Zeron takes the mount on
Machinist, who fits in this series like a glove. There is no telling where the
public will stuff all the dough in the win pools here but this one may make a
real race out of this elim.
True To Mach is in a great spot to show his inherited speed
and may take the other seven around all the way. But for some trouble along the
way this season, he winds up in this series and could be looking at a terrific
four-year-old season, though starting now.
Matron Pace Boys
On Nov. 25 Dover Downs features two Matron Stakes elims with
glamour-boy pacers having had their shots at the Progress Pace last Sunday.
Two big favorites top the first elim, with only six horses
going to post. There is only one chance to get any money out of this race and
that would be for Major Bombay to take well to the five-eighths oval and either
steal the race atop or find a tight place to travel as the two choices duel
themselves to oblivion.
In the other elim, the late-season surge of Heston Blue Chip
will again offer no decent payoff and he is the kind of colt you can always
play against. We like Mel Mara at a decent price against the stark choice. Mel
Mara also got started late this season and since his win at The Red Mile in
October he has had decent excuses while always in the mix. He can be the
legitimate upset choice here and deserves attention.
Watching Horses
Our H2W list is now open to the public. We offer TwinSpires players some overnighters with the kind of potential we look to find, usually and hopefully accompanied by decent prices.
Let’s go over the specs again for those who were not here
last season and whoever may have forgotten.
The H2W list offers horses you may play up to twice if they
don’t win the week after appearing on our list and you may wish to play them
only if they are a reasonable price; it’s your call on the value. Sometimes a
pair of H2W entries will appear in the same race. In the past, this has
produced a number of exactas and trifectas; these plays, too, are your call.
But the selections are potent, based on our experienced
spotters’ evaluations of recent trips. We will report on all the results as
each horse on the list races. The legend is simple. We list the track atop the
horse’s name, the date it (or they) will be racing and the race where it is (or
they are) entered.
Balmoral
11/24, JJ Shark R10; Lil Roy R12
11/25, All Blues R6
11/24, JJ Shark R10; Lil Roy R12
11/25, All Blues R6
Batavia
11/23, Anastasia Willie R2; Right Back At You R3; Vintage Fenom R6
11/24, Best Bet Yet R9
11/23, Anastasia Willie R2; Right Back At You R3; Vintage Fenom R6
11/24, Best Bet Yet R9
Cal Expo
11/23, Cruisin Inmybeamer R9; Oompa Loompa R13; Delightful’s Shark R16
11/23, Cruisin Inmybeamer R9; Oompa Loompa R13; Delightful’s Shark R16
Lebanon
11/23, Clem’s Pride R2; Request To Win R4; Western Mandy R6; Machine R11; Jen Finn and Hatsoff For Gracie R12
11/23, Clem’s Pride R2; Request To Win R4; Western Mandy R6; Machine R11; Jen Finn and Hatsoff For Gracie R12
Ray Cotolo
contributed to this edition.
14 comments:
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