When Speed Figures Matter... And When They Don't
What changes Beyer and his team made one can only guess, but Beyer hit at the heart of the problem later in his discussion with Paulick.
And therein lies the problem: Often, races on turf or all-weather surfaces come down to a single burst of acceleration — usually in the stretch — rather than sustained speed throughout the course of the race. Beyer and crew likely “fixed” this problem by assigning greater values to each fifth of a second and adjusting for abnormally slow paces — but it didn’t work.
Number: 13,815Winners: 3,890Win Rate: 28.2%Return: $22,835.40ROI: -17.35%
Number: 218Winners: 49Win Rate: 22.5%Return: $332.50ROI: -23.74%
Number: 468Winners: 158Win Rate: 33.8%Return: $917.30ROI: -2.00%
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