Breaking Down the Brisnet Prime Power Rating
It’s no
secret that, for many moons now, I have been trying to beat the game with
mechanical methods of play. In large part, because I simply don’t have time to
handicap like I did 5-6 years ago… nor do I enjoy the process like I used to.
It is also
no secret that I have been largely unsuccessful in this endeavor.
Don’t get me wrong: I’ve found some great systems and angles — ones that,
through testing, I am confident will continue to offer solid ROIs for months
and years to come. But, alas, they all suffer from “Tony Romo Disease” — they don’t
show up often enough to produce consistent, meaningful returns.
Still, I
love the idea of a mechanical method that can, at the very least, help guide
one’s wagering decisions. So, with that in mind, I decided to slice and dice
the Brisnet Prime Power Rating and see if I could find any helpful wagering angles.
 |
(Click on image to enlarge)
|
First,
using a database of random races run from July 2012 to February 2013 at racetracks
across the country, I examined the horse with the top (highest) Prime Power
rating in the field. (In the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances, the
Prime Power rating and field rank is found right before the horse’s lifetime
record — see California Chrome above.)
Number:
11,953
Winners:
3,972
Win Rate:
33.2%
$2 Return: $1.75
ROI: -15.09%
IV: 2.48
Not bad. These numbers are similar to what one would expect
from the post-time favorite, which gives us a good starting point. Now let’s
see what happens when the top Prime Power horse goes to post as a morning-line
overlay (odds greater than or equal to the morning line) or a morning-line
underlay (odds less than the morning line):
OVERLAYS
Number: 2,186
Winners: 428
Win Rate: 19.6%
$2 Return: $1.64
ROI: -17.81%
IV: 1.49
UNDERLAYS
Number: 9,767
Winners: 3,544
Win Rate: 36.3%
$2 Return: $1.71
ROI: -14.48%
IV: 2.70
While
these numbers may surprise some readers, who assume that higher prices
naturally mean higher profits, they are, I have found, very indicative of what
happens when one looks for overlay opportunities with “obvious” contenders.
Caveat
emptor applies at the racetrack too.
A horse
that looks like a legitimate 2-1 shot does not necessarily offer “value” at
20-1. Rather than rushing to the window to empty one’s 401(k) on such horses,
players should ask themselves a simple question: Why? Why is a horse with so
many positive attributes (remember, the Prime Power rating is a comprehensive assessment of ability) being
dismissed in the wagering? What is the crowd considering that the Prime Power
rating is not?
Granted, some
of these horses are, in fact, genuinely overlooked. I’ve witnessed numerous
animals that I thought were fairly-priced at 2-1 or less pay double digits — but
that is the exception, not the rule.
With this
in mind, it should come as no surprise that horses with the top Prime Power
rating in a race actually perform better when that rating is lower, rather than
higher:
* Top prime power rating of 100 or greater.
* Top prime power rating of 100 or greater.
Number: 11,294
Winners: 3,752
Win Rate: 33.2%
$2 Return: $1.69
ROI: -15.36%
IV: 2.49
* Top
prime power rating of less than 100.
Number: 659
Winners: 220
Win Rate: 33.4%
$2 Return: $1.79
ROI: -10.55%
IV: 2.42
Moreover,
horses with the top Prime Power rating that finished poorly last time out
(fifth or worse) return a profit — further proof that factors esteemed by the public, i.e. a good last race, are best avoided when looking for overlays:
* Top
prime power rating of less than 100.
* Finished fifth or worse in last race.
Number: 225
Winners: 74
Win Rate: 32.9%
$2 Return: $2.03
ROI: +1.69%
IV: 2.36
Of course,
there is nothing to say that these numbers will continue to hold, but I hope
they illustrate both the pros and cons of a mechanical approach.
On the
plus side, using the Brisnet Prime Power rating is quick and easy and, in some
instances, profitable. On the negative side, all mechanical approaches suffer
from one major drawback: they can only measure what was… not what is or what
will be.
Nonetheless,
handicappers willing to put in the time to validate or invalidate a mechanical
rating might very well profit from the experience.
 |
(Click on image to enlarge)
|
NOTE: Rue
Saint Honore had a race-best 95.6 Prime Power rating and finished 7th
in her last race on July 29, 2012.
284 comments:
«Oldest ‹Older 201 – 284 of 284If wohome soundbar not working , visite us to troubleshoot the issue.
Visite to take all information about xbox 360 family passcode .
If you want to learn about how to reset coolife luggage lock, visite here.
Reset your telegram account in an easy way.
As always, the information you deliver is gold. Thank you So much! I truly appreciate the work you do. Jewellerystuff
Earrings for girls
Thanks for sharing this nice blog. And thanks for the information.
jili สมัครสมาชิก
I like it very much . It is too much informative for me . I have learnt alot of things from there .
igoal
Our Top branding company in chandigarh helps growth-minded businesses like yours generate more traffic and more sales leads. Let the professionals at Pinaak tailor and manage a marketing campaign that meets your unique goals — whether you’re targeting a local, national or global market.
The Woke India provide latest top stories, today headlines from politics, business, technology, fashion. Read Latest News Here.
hindi news
freight forwarders companies in delhi
DECTRANS LOGISTICS is one of the most reliable freight forwarding companies in India.
We follow the right and correct techniques and technology to provide Freight Forwarding Service to our customers. Being a top-notch freight forwarder in Delhi, we are capable of executing these services with carriers of all types, from sea freighters and air freighters. To move the product with the most economical route, we offer the best pricing.top freight forwarders companies in india
For Rockspace wifi extender setup, make sure your extender is plugged into the power outlet. Connect your PC to the extender’s network and enter the default web address re.rockspace.local in the web browser. Login to the Rockspace wifi extender setup and follow the on-screen instructions to configure your device.
Google Nest Camera
is one of the most reliable and prominent security cameras on the market. If you have recently got a new Nest camera for your home or office, then you will have to configure the settings. You can either download the Nest camera or directly head towards the home.nest.com to configure your device.
Nest Camera Login
This is crucial. Where can you get IT services? It's as simple as giving the task to someone else. The first step is to look up their website, their portfolios and then decide who you would like to work with. I followed these steps and came across an excellent IT company. It's Aquatec Innovative Private Limited. They offer nearly every service. I'll mention a few of the services below.
Web Development Company
Shopify Development Services
Hire PHP Developer
Laravel Development Services
I have a lot of knowledge in the IT industry as I spent more than 8 years in this field. In addition, I was employed in numerous businesses. They provide all services that belong to an IT-related company. However, I would strongly suggest to you all "Aquatec Innovative Private Limited" as they help make IT happen. They provide all of the services. There are a few that I will include below
Hire Laravel Developers
SEO Services
Hire WordPress Developer
WordPress Development Services
Read our article and learn about soclean reset filter change .
If you can’t access mywifiext.net local login admin page and you are troubled with this issue. Try here to mention tricks and tips to fix this issue.
Thanks for sharing use full artilce . need any help please contact- Tech
Such an informative post. Thanks for sharing. Here is the link to get the best cleaning services from us.
Commercial Janitorial Services
If you want good quality plants online then you can buy these indoor plants in dehradun online by visiting our website. buy plants online in dehradun
Much thanks to you for posting this amazing article. Your knowledge is awsome.
long text messages
text blasting services
The Amazon Echo updates the firmware all by itself, if connected to an unstoppable home Wi-Fi network. The update takes place during your sleep hours, and you open up to the newest version without even knowing.
The wali bullet dummy fake camera helps to surveillance the house and office. And also, record pictures and videos. We can also use the outdoor camera in an indoor way.
If you haven’t connected the Google or Facebook account with the Pinterest account, you can perform the below step-by-step instruction to reset the Password.
If your Tp-link Omada access point internet speed is too slow , then you can follow the settings steps to change the Wi-Fi mode.
Durch den Wechsel zum Devolo dLAN duo+ können Sie im Handumdrehen ein Netzwerk einrichten. Verbinden Sie sich auch mit Ihrem Smart TV und spielen Sie, und genießen Sie Video-Streaming und Online-Spiele in HD-Qualität auf mehreren Geräten gleichzeitig.
Once you’ve made the wise decision and purchased a brother printer, the next and the main step is the brother printer setup which is preferably done on a wireless network. After successful connection, the machine’s LCD displays connected and you are good to go. For further information, our team will be pleased to help you.
The Joowin Wi-Fi range extender provides you with maximum theoretical speeds of up to 1200 Mbps to all your connected devices.
Don't know how to set up a tplinkrepeater ? We are here to help you. Just go through the website and complete your tplinkrepeater login setup.
For the setup of the Synology NAS device, you need to complete every procedure that also includes DSM OS. The step defines here is how synology quickconnect setup .
By using the 2.4GHz and 5GHz band frequency network delivers high-speed and stable network connections. It also contains a powerful cloud-based security system to secure its network.
If the wires are not properly plugged into the device properly then it creates cable connections common issues with the device. Also, make sure the wires are effectively connected to the system of the router.
dlinkap.local.
When we will reset the skills points in the game Ark survival evolved , then after that we will get all these points back. If you want to reset skill points in the game Ark survival evolved , visite us to get the process.
Wyze 1080p hd comes with an in-built speaker allowing 2-way audio enabling you to speak to sudden guests in your absence. While working at the office, you get notified of any smoke alarm or suspicious sound.
Die Installation von devolo WLAN-Boostern ist kinderleicht. Die Konfiguration und seine Größe machen es bequemer, das Gerät einfach zu installieren. Auch wenn Sie irgendwelche Probleme damit haben, besuchen Sie uns einfach.
devolo dlan 1200+
You have ultimate blog writing skills. And if you are unable to login into https://mywifisetp.com/ don’t worry read our website blogs.
Top 15 Bridal Artist in Delhi
Perfect Bridal look for your big day with the best Bridal Makeup artist on BandBaajaBarat.com.
Looking for Bridal Makeup artists
check out professional Bridal Makeup artists listed at BandBaajaBarat.com.
Top 45 Bridal Wear in Delhi
BandBaajaBarat.com provides a verified List of best Bridal Lehenga Shop, stores & markets for Bridal Lehenga shopping in India.
Buy latest & designer bridal lehengas at best prices.
Check collection, prices & review
The RAID controller acts as a level of abstraction between the operating system and the physical disks where the partitions of the disks are presented as logical drives.
Je größer die Bandbreite, desto mehr Datenverkehr kann der Extender bewältigen. Beispielsweise wird das N600 in der Lage sein, einer größeren Anzahl von Geräten gleichzeitig eine höhere Geschwindigkeit zu liefern.
Visit our website for more information for diet plan.
can i reverse diabetes with diet
if you want to know about Netgear extender default password.Visit our website for more informaton
It’s important to know the centurylink how to change wifi password procedure. There are two ways for this process, one is via the web browser and the other is through the CenturyLink app. You just need to log into your app, and then from the settings, you can configure the network credentials. Ensure to set a complex and strong password.
When you are facing issues with your Brother printer, you can reset it. To reset brother printer, you need to access the control panel of the printer. From the settings and then to the ‘Initial Setup’ you can access the reset feature. There are multiple types of reset functions available, you can choose any function.
ow can you ensure that the extender is connected to the right network and functioning correctly? In this paragraph, we will explore these questions and provide guidance on how to set up a new WiFi extender using www.mywifiext.net.
Thanks for sharing helpful content.
We make it fast, easy, and affordable to send SMS, Email, and Voice campaigns and engage in two-way conversations with your customers in real-time without implementing any code.
linksys wifi extender login
First of all, reboot your Linksys WiFi extender to fix any technical hiccups if there are any that are stopping you from logging in. You simply need to turn off your extender and remove it from the wall socket. After about 5 minutes, turn on the power supply
If Netgear router firmware update failed for you using the Nighthawk router app, you can get Netgear firmware update with the help of web interface by accessing routerlogin.net. You can also contact our proficient experts to troubleshoot the problem of Netgear firmware update for you.
In this article, we are going to discuss the blink green light. The reason being some users face the blinking green light after completing the Netgear EX3700 setup.
Nowadays users of Netgear routers face issues related to routerlogin.net default web address. Users are not able to access routerlogin.net due to some possible reasons. If you are also one of those people who suffer from the same type of problem and want to tackle it, then you have come to the right place. Here we are going to tell you about the troubleshooting steps so that you can easily access the router login page. First, we start with the reasons that drag you to face routerlogin.net refused to connect. By knowing the reason you easily solve it.
Thanks you so much. Great work all around, keep sharing more informational blog like this.
We want you to commence the troubleshooting process by rebooting or power cycling the Netgear WiFi range extender once or maybe twice. This simple process has the ability to fix some minor to major technical bugs with the device. So, without further delay, power off the Netgear extender by turning off its power button. Unplug it from the wall socket. read on
https://wpc16.net/netgear-genie-keeps-appearing-on-browser-lets-fix-it/
such a nice and usefull information. thank you for sharing this with us. Are you facing issues while logging into your Amped wireless range extender? And, due to this error, you are unable to setup ampedwireless extender? Also, updating Amped extender’s firmware has become impossible for you because of the issue? Need not to worry! this guide will help you to get rid of this problem
Is your Comfast wireless range extender keep on connecting and disconnecting? Fret not! This guide has covered some topmost solutions that will help you fix the issue. Keep on reading further to know more about it.
TYSM ! Such an amazing work, keep sharing more informative blog post.
Nowadays users of Victony extender come across an issue related to the internet. Users said that Victony WiFi extender worked but no internet. So, if you are also suffering from the same kind of issue and want to tackle this, then you have come to the right place. Here, we are going to discuss the reasons related to this issue and also give some fruitful troubleshooting tips
Thanks for this valuable post. Keep sharing more amazing content like this.
In case you are one of those users who are just not content with the performance of their Amped wireless range extenders, then it is recommended that you upgrade the firmware of your networking device to its latest version using the setup.ampedwireless.com web address.
Wyze Camera Login allows users to access their home security cameras remotely through the Wyze app. Users can view live video feeds, receive alerts for motion and sound detection, and customize camera settings. The login process requires a username and password, or users can use their Google or Facebook account to sign in.
Calgary real estate
In this you will get latest updates
Scalewave Marketing
In this you will get latest updates
Thanks for taking the time to write this post. I found it to be very helpful and enjoyed reading your post. In this article, you will not only learn about those mistakes but also the ways to amend them. Click the link Amped wireless extender login for read.
A Netgear Router Reset involves restoring the device to its default settings, erasing all user configurations and login information. This can be done by pressing and holding the reset button for at least 10 seconds until the LED lights blink. After resetting, users need to reconfigure their network settings and passwords.
Check out the instructions mentioned below and learn how to do Orbi firmware update via the mobile application:
Does SimpliSafe work with Alexa
Yes, SimpliSafe works with Alexa. You can connect your SimpliSafe security system to Alexa using the Alexa app and enable the SimpliSafe skill. Once connected, you can use voice commands to arm and disarm your security system, check the status of your sensors, and more.
Falls Sie zu den Benutzern gehören, die beim Versuch, fritzbox login zu nutzen, Probleme haben, dann ist dies die richtige Anleitung für Sie. Hier finden Sie alle Fehlerbehebungs-Hacks, die Sie für die Anmeldung an Ihrem fritzbox 7490 login Router über die Anmeldung 192.168.178.1 benötigen. Nachdem dies gesagt ist, sollten Sie sich sofort mit dem Lesen befassen.
Ich habe deinen Blog sehr gerne gelesen. Wenn Sie mehr über Arcor erfahren möchten, besuchen Sie diesen Blog arcor mail login
fritz.repeater
If your SimpliSafe camera not connecting to WiFi, try the following troubleshooting steps: 1. Ensure your camera is within range of your WiFi router. 2. Restart both the camera and router. 3. Verify the correct WiFi credentials are entered. 4. Contact SimpliSafe support for further assistance if the issue persists.
SimpliSafe camera not connecting to WiFi
If your SimpliSafe camera is not connecting to your WiFi, check the camera's proximity to the router, ensure your WiFi network is functioning, power cycle the camera and router, reset the camera, and reconfigure WiFi settings via the SimpliSafe app. Contact SimpliSafe support if needed.
Geeni Camera Setup, download the Geeni app, create an account, connect the camera to a power source, and follow the in-app instructions to complete the setup process. Monitor your space remotely and enjoy the convenience of smart home security with Geeni cameras.
Hoy en día, los android usuarios buscan la mejor calidad de imagen, opciones de búsqueda y navegación, y también una amplia capacidad de filtrado, lo que hace que la plataforma sea altamente compatible para su uso.
Amplia biblioteca: La plataforma de Pelisflix brinda a sus usuarios la mejor colección de películas y programas clásicos, e incluso puedes encontrar las últimas películas y series del momento disponibles en este canal. Sus capacidades de filtrado permiten a los usuarios buscar de manera efectiva website en la lista de colecciones, ya sea que deseen ver películas de acción, suspenso, romance, comedia, terror, etc., todas actualizadas en la biblioteca. Puedes elegir fácilmente entre diferentes opciones y encontrar contenido acorde a tu estado de ánimo o interés.
Streaming en alta definición: Una website de las principales características que todos los usuarios anhelan es una calidad de contenido tan buena en términos de calidad de imagen y resolución, que la visualización sea nítida, ya sea que estés viendo el programa en un dispositivo móvil o en una pantalla más grande.
Der integrierte Kalender von freemail.wiki hilft Ihnen dabei, Ihre Termine und Veranstaltungen zu verwalten und organisiert zu bleiben.
https://marketmillion.com/most-common-tips-to-fix-wireless-n-repeater-red-light-issue/
You must set up your Reyee router correctly to make the most of it. To set up the router, you must log into the web interface. For the Reyee Router Login, you must have the default IP address, username, and password of the router. Through the IP address, you can access the login page and log in using the default login credentials. You can find this information on the router only.
reckless driving virginia class Thanks for sharing the article, its gives useful information. Keep sharing more updates.
Netgear http //ap.setup is known as the default web address for 192.168 10.1 wifi repeater setup. Using this web address, you can easily log in to your repeater.
You can easily perform dekco camera not working and alkivision camera not working issues using the Installation Assistant.
Unable to complete your process reset wohome sound bar and reset LG soundbar las350b? Let our highly-experienced technicians help you out.
Follow the tips mentioned on our website and learn how to resolve the nexigo camera setup and GW security camera setup issue you're currently facing.
If you are looking for how to reset coolife luggage lock, reset WhatsApp settings and reset majority soundbar then contact us.
Verizon Router Reset is easy! Learn how to perform a quick and hassle-free reset to troubleshoot network issues or improve performance. Follow our step-by-step guide to ensure a smooth reset process and get your internet connection back on track.
Learn How to Reset Eufy Camera in minutes. Our easy-to-follow guide will help you troubleshoot and restore your camera to factory settings, ensuring optimal performance and security for your home surveillance needs.
Post a Comment