• SimonSays Handicapping Challenge

    POSTED Feb 25, 2011
    Week 5



    Anthony Kelzenberg

    Gulfstream Park (02/26/11)
    Race 10 * 9.0 Furlongs * Dirt

    1-SOLDAT possesses good speed, an inside post, fitness, a win over the track and a trainer that wants to win.

    BET(S): $100 to WIN on 1.

    For the fun of it, Anthony has also put together a $216 ticket (before scratches — if any) for those chasing the $203,977 Classix carryover at Oaklawn Park on Friday (2/25). This ticket will NOT be included in Anthony’s Challenge stats.

    Race 3: 4,12,2,1
    Race 4: 6,10,1
    Race 5: 6,1,4
    Race 6: 10,2,7
    Race 7: 4
    Race 8: 8

    José D. De León Alejandro

    All plays are for Saturday (02/26/11):

    Sunland Park
    Race 10 * 1-1/16 Miles * Dirt

    4-It’s My Party
    3-Special Kid
    6-Fusa Code

    COMMENTS: SPECIAL KID and FUSA CODE seem to be the class of the field based on the groups they have been facing. However, the former came out of a maiden win and the latter is still a maiden. Therefore, IT'S MY PARTY is the pick. His best speed figure is the best in here; only 2 BRIS points below the par. Also, trainer Chris Hartman is the man in Sunland Park — very effective and a great combo with the jockey. This is a consistent colt with affinity for the track.

    BET(S): $10 WIN on 4

    Turf Paradise
    Race 8 * 1-1/16 Miles * Dirt

    1-Indian Winter
    8-The Great Caper

    COMMENTS: INDIAN WINTER had a legitimate chance in the San Vicente from a handicapping standpoint, therefore, he is the best bet on the Turf Paradise card. He has the best figures and great pedigree for the distance. Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer is a great shipper and very effective with first-time routers and with horses competing in non-graded stakes. THE GREAT CAPER is dangerous at the price. It switches to a higher % trainer who has been very hot in the last 14 days. The Great Caper’s latest workout was good and he could be ready to fire.

    BET(S): $20 WIN on 1 and $10 PLACE on 8. $2 Exacta Box 1,8 with 1,3,7,8.

    Santa Anita Park
    Race 7 * 1 Mile * Turf

    5-Bran Jammas
    2-Evening Jewel
    7-Unzip Me

    COMMENTS: From a handicapping standpoint, EVENING JEWEL and UNZIP ME are the best in here — the class of the field. However, I will take a chance with Bran Jammas at a price. I liked her last time, when she was off slowly from the gate and then saved ground. In that race, she repeated her best speed figure (91, Evening Jewel's best is 94 on the lawn). This is her third start off of a layoff (her trainer has a 10% ROI with this angle) and she should be ready to record a lifetime-best BRIS figure. She has a sharp workout for this one, showing that the trip to Finger Lakes did not hurt and she switches to Garret Gomez.

    BET(S): $10 WIN on 5.

    Gulfstream Park
    Race 8 * 1 Mile * Dirt

    4-Oh Carole
    9-Dancinginherdreams

    COMMENTS: I really think Dancinginherdreams is the best filly out there. She is something special and looks very fit for this one coming off a bullet work. She is expected to improve in her second start following a layoff. However, from a handicapping standpoint, Oh Carole is a super value play. She ran the same day (in the 2nd race) as the Forward Gal (the last race of most of the best fillies here). The fractions for the 2nd race that day were :22.1, :45 and 1:09.2 and the final time was 1:15.3. The fractions for the Forward Gal were :22.1, :44.3, 1:09.1 and the final time was 1:22.4. The BRIS figure for Oh Carole was 103 and for Pomeroys Pistol it was 95. In my book, this is VALUE. She is undefeated and eligible to improve with a patient and intelligent jockey.

    BET(S): $10 WIN on 4

    Gulfstream Park
    Race 9 * 7 Furlongs * Dirt

    7-Leave of Absence
    3-Travelin Man

    COMMENTS: Travelin Man could be something special, at least sprinting. His speed figure in his debut was amazing. However, I will stay in the bandwagon of Leave of Absence in his 3rd off the layoff and 1st time blinkers. He comes off of a bullet drill and Maragh sticks with him. His price will be awesome. We have a lot of speed here and my pick may enjoy a nice stalking trip outside the speed. Before the Spectacular Bid Stakes, Derek Simon considered Leave of Absence “one of the few” in that field that “could have a say on the Triple Crown trail.” The race produced a long shot and he was second in a bad handicapping race. He returned in the Holy Bull, but was squeezed back early and never recovered. The blinkers will be the difference here.

    BET(S): $10 WIN on 7

    Gulfstream Park
    Race 10 * 1-1/8 Miles * Dirt

    7-To Honor and Serve

    COMMENTS: To Honor and Serve tops my early list of preferred colts that hope to be Derby bound. He is going to crush this field.

    BET(S): $50 WIN on 7

    Jon Luman

    I'm going to try to take advantage of the extra Saturday competition by going to the exacta.

    All selections at Gulfstream Park (2/26/11):

    Race 1
    $2 EXACTA BOX 4,5,6,9.

    Race 2
    $2 EXACTA BOX 1,6,7,9.

    Race 3
    $2 EXACTA BOX 2,3,5,6.

    Race 4
    $0.10 Superfecta Box 2,4,5,7,12.

    Race 5
    $2 EXACTA BOX 2,3,8,10.

    Race 6
    $2 EXACTA BOX 1,2,3,10.

    Race 7
    $2 EXACTA BOX 1,6,9,13.

    Race 8
    $2 EXACTA BOX 2,4,5,9.

    Race 9
    $2 EXACTA BOX 1,2,3,10.

    Rationale: If 10-Royal Currier, looks sharp on Saturday, I'll be tempted for a win bet here. With the outside post, he might be able to cruise to a position without fighting for it.

    Race 10
    $2 EXACTA BOX 1,2,7,8.

    Rationale: If I were betting to win, I'd be inclined to back 7-To Honor and Serve; he has the best rating here, and could romp if not pushed early.

    Race 11
    $2 EXACTA BOX 8,9,13,14.

    Garnet Barnsdale

    Here are my pick-4 plays for Friday and Saturday with some brief comments regarding strategy.

    Plays for Woodbine Harness (02/25/11):

    Race 4
    $1 PICK FOUR 1,4,5,9 with 9 with ALL with 1 ($40) & $0.20 PICK FOUR ALL with 9 with ALL with 1 ($20).

    COMMENTS: A co-worker of mine owns the 9-horse in race 5 (Dakota Noc) and was supremely confident regarding his chances today. The #1 in race 7 (Goodbadandugly N) had a tough first-over tightener after missing 5 weeks — looks good in here.

    Race 10
    $1 PICK FOUR 2,5,6 with 9 with all with 6,7 ($42).

    COMMENTS: The 9-horse in the 11th backed up slightly on a night where closers were winning EVERYTHING. Double J guns him out here. 6,7 in 13th dropping big-time and look best.

    Plays for Fraser Downs (02/25/11):

    Race 6
    $10 PICK FOUR 5 with 2,3,7 with 4 with 1,2,4 ($90).

    COMMENTS: If you have access to PPs for Fraser, check out the #5 in the 6th — improved SEVEN seconds in three weeks off a claim by Eddie Hensley.

    Plays for Woodbine Harness (02/26/11):

    Race 4
    $1 PICK FOUR 1,6,9,10 with 3,4,5,6,7 with 6,7,10 with 9 ($60).

    COMMENTS: #9 in race 7 (Celebrity Cowboy) looks much the best with the class drop; hoping to hook him up with a price or two.

    Race 10
    $0.20 PICK FOUR 8 with ALL with 1,3,5,6,8 with 5,6,7,8 ($40).

    COMMENTS: 8-Winter Blues makes third start for the Montini Barn without much to beat; looking for bombs in the other legs.

    $40 EXACTA 8 with 1,7 & $5 TRIFECTA 8 with 1,7 with 1,2,7 ($100)
  • 24 comments:

    Norton Setup said...

    It is a very interesting challenge by Simon, and the method of bets is nice and clear.
    Note to all: If you want to protect your personal data from data breaches then use Norton Setup antivirus for better security.

    Unknown said...

    A Microsoft Office product key has 25 characters alphanumeric key that should look something like this “XXXXX-XXXXX-XXXXX-XXXXX-XXXXX”. You can check for the key in your Product CD/DVD box or in the email that you used to buy your product online on any store. If you have just bought the key and you have no idea how to get the product, you can https://m-soffice.net/

    norton.com/setup said...

    I really happy found this website eventually. Really informative and inoperative, Thanks for the post and effort! Please keep sharing more such blog.

    norton.com/setup

    norton.com/setup

    norton.com/setup

    office.com/setup

    roadrunner email

    mcafee.com/activate

    aol mail

    mark watson said...

    Really great article, Glad to read the article. It is very informative for us. Thanks for posting.

    norton.com/setup
    mcafee.com/activate

    Taylor Bara said...

    What about book review? https://eduessayhelper.org/blog/book-review check it!

    Frozen said...


    mcafee activate product key registered trademarks, company names, product names and brand names are the property of their respective owners, and www.mcafee.com/activate disclaims any ownership in such third-party marks. The use of any third party trademarks, logos, or brand names is for informational purposes only, and does not imply an endorsement by mfmcafee.com or vice versa or that such trademark owner has authorized mfmcafee.com to promote its products or services.


    www.office.com/setup is an independent support and service provider for the mostsecure remote technical services for all Office products. Our independent support services offer an instant support for all software related errors in the devices, laptops, desktops and peripherals. We have no link or affiliation with any of the brand or third-party company as we independently offer support service for all the product errors you face while using the Office. If your product is under warranty, then you may also avail our support services for free from manufacturer’s official website www.office.com/setup.

    mcafee antivirus If your product is under warranty, then you may also avail our support services for free from manufacturer’s official website www.norton.com/setup.

    Carl Smith said...

    Well i am a regular reader of new blogs and i found this one is also such a nice one... keep it up
    mcafee.com/activate | mcafee.com/activate | norton.com/setup

    Carl Smith said...

    You cannot imagine simply how much time I had spent for this information! Thanks!
    office.com/setup |
    norton.com/setup |
    mcafee.com/activate

    Norton.com/setup said...

    Really great article, Glad to read the article. It is very informative for us. Thanks for posting.Norton™ provides industry-leading antivirus and security software
    for your PC, Mca, and mobile devices Visit @: - McAfee.com/activate | Norton.com/myaccount | norton.com/setup

    nuenorton said...

    Get all Steps for installation and download, activate MS office setup. Enter your Office product key on www.office.com/setup.
    http://office-comofficecom.com/

    nuenorton said...

    After visiting office.com/setup login to microsoft account to take steps sticking together of covenant of office setup, Any complexity in office.com/setup our accomplished will calm for office install.
    http://officecomoffiice.com/

    Norton.com/setup said...

    Really great article, Glad to read the article. It is very informative for us. Thanks for posting.Norton™ provides industry-leading antivirus and security software
    for your PC, Mca, and mobile devices Visit @: - McAfee.com/activate | Norton.com/myaccount | norton.com/setup

    officecom-officeoffice said...

    I'm looking for some good blog sites for Office.com/setup. I was searching for search engines and found your blog site. Keep doing it .To install MS Office, make certain that you have a fine internet connection.
    http://officecom-officeoffice.com

    officecom-officeoffice said...

    Log in to your Microsoft account using the login accreditations and after that type a veritable Office.com/setup key.
    http://office-comofficeoffice.com/

    officecom-officeoffice said...

    You can furthermore download the same product in the middle of insinuation to the subject of new devices by selecting Send a Download Link Norton.com/setup. After the successful activation of your product.
    http://nor-norton.com/setup/

    Edward Lewis said...

    Very informative post, your post unique. Thanks for sharing.
    norton.com/setup
    norton.com/setup
    office.com/setup
    mcafee.com/activate
    norton.com/setup

    office.com/setup said...

    Norton provides security from all kinds of threats, malware & other security related issues. thanks
    norton.com/setup | norton.com/myaccount | www.norton.com/setup | norton.com/nu16 | norton.com/setup


    mark watson said...

    Thanks for the informative post that you have shared here.
    mcafee.com/activate

    webrootcomsafe said...

    webroot.com/safe is excellent for Windows PC/Laptop, MAC, Android devices. You can use webroot key code which is on your retail card and get webroot to install easily on your devices. For the Installation of the product , go to URL : webroot.com/safe and then put the code...

    Deam jones said...

    All rights reserved. Symantec, the Symantec Logo, the Checkmark Logo, Norton, Norton by Symantec, LifeLock, and the LockMan Logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of Symantec Corporation or its affiliates in the United States and other countries.
    norton.com/setup
    norton.com/setup
    norton.com/setup
    norton.com/setup
    norton.com/setup
    norton.com/setup

    office setup said...

    Office setup is a brand that needs no introduction whether you operate as a working professional in the corporate world, or a school student or operate through a remote
    workstation, there is no way for you to not have heard the name. Get your hands on office.com/setup by searching www.office.com/setup on your browser.
    www.office.com/setup
    office setup

    office setup said...


    office setup is the software setup file with this setup file you can install on your PC and some of the supported device to make use of office setup. Not only the
    office.com/setup but all the software for all time has the setup file, and it is very significant, without the setup file the software turn ineffective
    office setup
    www.office.com/setup

    office setup said...

    Get the easiest way of setup and install Norton Setup with Product Key from norton.com/setup. Norton proves to be one important aspects for all theinternet users to act as a shield against the increasing number of viruses, worms, spyware, and Trojan horses.
    norton setup

    Customer Service Helpline Number USA said...

    You can download Office.com/setup online for getting the advantages of word, excel and other utilities which are very useful for documentation and for business purposes. We provide you online help for every kind of issues and help of Office.

    Office.com/setup
    Webroot.com/safe

    Post a Comment