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Jon Siegel and Joel Cunningham recap the Gotham Stakes for Triple Crown Insider.
My take: Hansen showed that he can absolutely take control of a race and finish strongly. The complete confidence Ramon Dominguez showed early despite racing wide into the turn and having to track a fast pace was encouraging from a development standpoint.
I wasn't a big fan of the "Hansen needs to rate" meme that populated discussion of the Gotham and the Derby picture before the race, but obviously his Gotham trip was preferable to engaging King And Crusader. I like that Dominguez let My Adonis dictate when to "send" Hansen rather than having to chase King and Crusader.
The only cause for pause from this race that I see going forward is that Hansen was in the clear the whole way around the track. I don't see this as a negative because you want a horse who lets his rider take control of the race and put him in a position to win at all points of call, but it's definitely worth noting as clean trips are never a guarantee.
On the other hand, the best way to get a clean trip is to be the fastest horse at each point in the race, and it looks as if Maker and Dominguez have found a good balance on how to ration that speed.
Long-term prognosis: I moved Hansen up to eighth on my top ten Derby rankings but based on the action he took in pool 2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager, I can't imagine he'll be offering much value over the next 8 1/2 weeks. Currently, I see him as a big threat to win the regional Derbys that are so popular throughout the summer and fall. There's a lot of money to be made by winning the Ohio, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Indiana, and Oklahoma Derbys.
Welcome to the TwinSpires Blog. Our contributors will be continually updating posts to offer commentary, insight, advice and expert opinions on horse racing and wagering. The goal is to help you win more and become a better all around horse player.
Contributors
Derek Simon
TwinSpires' horse racing author, handicapper, and podcast host, Derek Simon of Denver, Colo. offers his insightful, humorous and sometimes controversial take on the horse racing industry. He even publishes the ROI on the picks he gives out.
Frank Cotolo
TwinSpires' harness racing expert, Frank Cotolo follows all of the big North American circuits throughout the year, providing the best value picks and latest news from the sulky.
Ed DeRosa
The Director of Marketing for Bloodstock Research Information Services (BRIS) and a lifelong Thoroughbred racing enthusiast and astute handicapper, Ed joined Churchill Downs Inc. following nine years as a writer and editor with Thoroughbred Times.
Peter Thomas Fornatale
A writer and editor who has been following horse racing for fifteen years. Peter has written books for the Daily Racing Form Press; Crown; and Simon and Schuster; among other publishers, and regular features in The Horseplayer Magazine.
Jill Byrne
A television racing analyst for Churchill Downs, Jill has earned acclaim and a loyal audience throughout Thoroughbred racing.
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