• Cream Rises in Final BC Preps

    POSTED Oct 11, 2012
    Note: Click HERE to get your FREE Win Factor Reports for selected tracks this weekend.

    The last of the major Breeders’ Cup preps took place last weekend and they elicited both yawns and gasps. Let’s take a look at some of the winners and also-rans:

    GRADE I FRIZETTE STAKES
     

    (Click on image to enlarge)
    COMMENTS: Dreaming Of Julia solidified her status as one of the favorites for the BC Juvenile Fillies with a hard-fought score in the Grade I Frizette. On the negative side, her late speed ration (LSR) went south when she was forced to expend more energy to stay in touch with My Happy Face in the early stages.

    GRADE I CHAMPAGNE STAKES

    (Click on image to enlarge)

    COMMENTS: While I love the -2 LSR that Shanghai Bobby recorded in easily winning the Grade I Champagne Stakes at Belmont Park Saturday, I don’t like the fact that the pace was so slow (-1 early speed ration) in that race, especially in light of the numbers that Power Broker earned in the Grade I FrontRunner Stakes at the BC host track (Santa Anita).

    GRADE I JAMAICA HANDICAP

    (Click on image to enlarge)

    COMMENTS:  As I noted on my Oct. 10 podcast, I think handicappers can draw a line through Dullahan’s race in the Grade I Jamaica, which was won by 28-1 longshot King David with 23-1 shot King Kreesa second (not surprisingly, the exacta paid a king’s ransom). Simply put, the pace in the Jamaica was sundial slow, resulting in an absurd +9 ESR. A late-running horse like Dullahan never had a chance.

    GRADE II HAWTHORNE GOLD CUP

    (Click on image to enlarge)

    COMMENTS:  Pool Play is winless in eight lifetime starts on turf; he has won five of 30 starts on all-weather surfaces, including a Grade III score in the Durham Cup three years ago. Yet he is a perfect 2-for-2 on the dirt, with a Grade II win and a Grade I score — both at monster odds. What’s more, his speed and pace figures were strong in each of those events. And what kind of surface will the BC Classic be run over this year? Yeah, I thought so.

    GRADE 2 INDIANA OAKS

    (Click on image to enlarge)

    COMMENTS:  There’s a lot to like about Grace Hall’s 5 ¾-length romp in the Grade II Indiana Oaks at Hoosier Park on Saturday. Not only did “Grace” run fast, but she also recorded a -1 LSR and a positive Pace Profile (59 degrees). She looks like a top contender to win the Ladies Classic, especially since Royal Delta’s pace numbers in the Beldame were only ho-hum.

    GRADE 2 THOROUGHBRED CLUB OF AMERICA STAKES

    (Click on image to enlarge)

    COMMENTS:  Although I didn’t like her comeback race, there is little to knock about Groupie Doll’s effort in the TCA Stakes on Saturday. The -2 LSR she earned that afternoon says it all.

    GRADE I SHADWELL TURF MILE

    (Click on image to enlarge)

    COMMENTS:  The numbers tell the story — this is a very special horse. And it’s going to take a very good animal to beat him in the BC Mile.



  • No comments:

    Post a Comment