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  • Breeders Cup 2012

    POSTED Nov 1, 2012 By Derek Simon
    If ever there was a case study as to why value wagering is important, the Breeders’ Cup is it. Played out in the classrooms of Belmont Park, Santa Anita, Churchill Downs and other venues, the Breeders’ Cup races demonstrate why Vince Lombardi would have made a terrible gambler. Winning isn’t the only thing — price matters.

    Hence, I implore handicappers to focus on finding viable contenders rather than “winners” on Nov. 2-3 at Santa Anita. In fact, by eliminating horses that can’t — or probably won’t — win and insisting on reasonable odds on the ones that can, the Breeders’ Cup can be a veritable ATM machine for value-oriented bettors.

    Consider this: Since 1999, playing my Win Factor Report (WFR) morning-line overlays has produced a 73.14% ROI, with nine (of 13) winning years.

    (Click on image to enlarge)
    The rules are simple and are detailed in my Win Factor Reports — which are offered as part of the Ultimate Breeders' Cup Handicapping Package at Brisnet.com.

    As for my thoughts on the BC Classic specifically, as well as some great stats on Lasix and the effect the ban of that drug in juvenile races might have, check out the video below:



    Weekend Win Factor Reports

    Breeders’ Cup (Friday & Saturday)

    Selected Angle/Method Plays

    (Click on image to enlarge)

    (Click on image to enlarge)

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Welcome to the TwinSpires Blog. Our contributors will be continually updating posts to offer commentary, insight, advice and expert opinions on horse racing and wagering. The goal is to help you win more and become a better all around horse player.

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Contributors

Derek Simon

TwinSpires' horse racing author, handicapper, and podcast host, Derek Simon of Denver, Colo. offers his insightful, humorous and sometimes controversial take on the horse racing industry. He even publishes the ROI on the picks he gives out.

Frank Cotolo

TwinSpires' harness racing expert, Frank Cotolo follows all of the big North American circuits throughout the year, providing the best value picks and latest news from the sulky.

Ed DeRosa

The Director of Marketing for Bloodstock Research Information Services (BRIS) and a lifelong Thoroughbred racing enthusiast and astute handicapper, Ed joined Churchill Downs Inc. following nine years as a writer and editor with Thoroughbred Times.

Peter Thomas Fornatale

A writer and editor who has been following horse racing for fifteen years. Peter has written books for the Daily Racing Form Press; Crown; and Simon and Schuster; among other publishers, and regular features in The Horseplayer Magazine.

Jill Byrne

A television racing analyst for Churchill Downs, Jill has earned acclaim and a loyal audience throughout Thoroughbred racing.

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