Showing posts with label colts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label colts. Show all posts
  • Pocono’s Powerhouse Features

    POSTED Jun 19, 2013

    Pocono Downs shines with features on Sun Stakes Saturday, June 22,with eliminations for finals at the Pennsylvania oval next week, including a big event on the Hambletonian Trail which you can read about on the excluscive blog.

    Soph-colt pacers go in elims for the Max Hempt and the fillies ride for spots in the sister event, the James Lynch. Older pacers, a great bunch of stalwarts, battle in Ben Franklin elims and the soph trotters on the Hambo Trail set up the fields for the Earl Beale, Jr.

    Our exclusive harness horses to watch (H2W) list from tracks around North America isn’t quite as bountiful as it was during the winter but those on the list need be taken seriously in their various outings.

    TwinSpires offers special bonuses for Hoosier Park throughout the harness meet. Check out the Hoosier details here.

    Pacers To The ‘Max’

    Next week’s Max Hempt Memorial for glamour-boy pacers at Pocono will try to shuffle the deck of division contenders while, most likely, still have to deal with Captaintreacherous (photo above). In the third of three elims this June 22, the “Captain” takes on foes that have failed to loom dangerous so far. Rockin Amadeus, who beat Captain with a soft trip in the Breeders Crown at two, has returned without force and from post 8 seems less a threat than any others in this field. The morning line on Captain is 2-1? Take a deep breath, hope for such a miracle and wager.

    In the first elim Johny Rock is bound to make more noise than he did trying for the bigger bucks and Lonewolf Currier is certainly sharp now but Emeritus Maximus is the most likely value contender. He just won at Pocono and deserves a shot stepping up against a few foes he has beaten earlier, when they were hammering out their soph starts.

    In the second elim, Tony Alagna’s Wake Up Peter, who was touted up the kazoo against Captain in the North America Cup, still hasn’t lived up to all the hype. In the “Cup” he got Team Alagna third money on top of first money (with Captain). But here you have a shot at a big price, since Ultimate Beachboy will go off at odds far larger than his chances. With driver George Napolitano, a Pocono mainstay, replaced by Andy McCarthy, added to the “Peter” principal, “Beachboy” has a good shot at making the final with a win here. He is coming off of a great race at Philadelphia and in the perfect place at Pocono (post 5) to produce a major crush.

    The top three finishers from each elimination advance to the $500,000 final.

     ‘Lynch’ Mob

    With the two probable choices on the outside, odds for Jerseylicious may be at a bargain level as a low-priced overlay. She certainly seems to be ready to pop a big mile this time around in the first James Lynch elim.

    In elim two it is harder than in the Fan Hanover to pass I Luv The Nitelife. She defined awesome in that affair and comes here with fire in her belly. Even the local success of Somwhereovrarainbow doesn’t seem to be much of a scare.

    The top four finishers from each elim, plus the fastest fifth-place finisher, advance to the $300,000 final.

    Big ‘Ben’

    The older pacing guys are at it again, this time eliminating for next week’s Ben Franklin final. There are three elims, so a herd of big guys have joined in the battle, with the top three finishers in each elim meeting for the $500,000 final.

    In elim one it would be foolish to dismiss Golden Receiver, though his recent two efforts are dull, at best. He returns to the scene of his marvelous win in May and there is no reason to think he won’t male major noise. But near his morning line, 7-2, he is truly golden, especially with Betterthancheddar having to once again take the long route around more than two turns.

    Round two is tough, with cases for at least four to take the cake. Suffice it to say that the odds should make up your mind but here are the three that should make it to the final—Razzle Dazzle, Fred And Ginger and Heston Blue Chip. That’s right, we toss out Sweet Lou here. Of those three, you may want to back “Fred” again, as his last race was marred by a stressful trip and he is still in tip top form and he may get the bargain position in the betting of that trio.

    Now everyone loves Pet Rock after his win last week. And everyone still admires Bolt The Duer and Foiled Again is still the richest of them all. But we are going to find value and back Hurrikane Kingcole. He is Bolt The Duer’s best friend because he sets up that one’s miles often, providing suck-up cover. But here the “Hurrikane” may not tire as easily. In fact, he may get some cover if “Foiled” is beginning to worry about his season (he hasn’t won since April).

    H2W Legend

    Review our choices and follow the wagering at the prescribed track to decide how you will use the information. The list has shortened as the stakes season ensues but still offers the best possible contenders we have judged from reviewing races.

    The horses’ names are listed beneath the name of the track after the date they will be racing. The race in which they are entered (R and race number) follows. If a + is in front of a horse’s name it means that horse is appearing on the list for the second (and last time) because it failed to win the first time it appeared.

    An “ae” signals the horse is entered but on the also-eligible list (so it might not get into the race). Multi-horses may be listed in the same race.  Horses from previous lists that are not racing this week will no longer appear until they are confirmed in a race.

    Wagering on any of the H2W listed horses is based on your own judgment. Your handicapping skills should include decisions to wager to win, place, show or in exotics. If you have any questions about the H2W list, send them to us through the TwinSpires blog channel.   

    H2W 

    Buffalo
    6/22/13, Cheyenne Cam R1; Win A New Day R5; Gerald N Sam R9; Fantasypan R10; Up Front Lady Gray R11; Creating A Dream R12; +So Over R13

    Maywood
    6/21/13, Too Tall Tamarac R2; Really Lucky R4; Five Cougars A R8; Mystical Walter R9; Bluebird Muffler R14

    Northfield
    6/22/13, Casimir Luckynutz R1; Elvis Returns R2; Timer R3; Lost Photo R5; Mj’s Victory R10; Majestic Duke R11; Nisty’s Dignity R13; His Eminence R14   

    Pompano
    6/22/13,+Bolero Topgun R10; +Camp Counselor R10  

    Running Aces
    6/22/13, +Dolly Howard R1; Place At The Beach R2; +Ben N Al R3; Parthenon R4; High Bet Hanover R5; Furious Five R5; Ty Top R8; Hammers Cam R9

    Saratoga
    6/22/13, Hazel Nut R2; Jds Memory R2; Vodkas Terror R3; Might Art ae R6; Pop Z Pop R7; Ideal Wizard R8; Daydreamin Lynx R8; Money Twitch A R9

    Scarborough
    6/21/13, +Keystone Howie R 9; 
    6/22/13, +Scootin Keefe ae R7; Lislea Bonita R7

    Scioto
    6/21/13, Ee Bay ae R11
    6/22/13, +Lucky Lime R5; Show Topper R6; +Stand Tall R13

    Ray Cotolo contributed to this edition.
  • Another Watch, Wager And Win Weekend

    POSTED Dec 5, 2012
    A few straggling stakes, only one national, are featured this upcoming weekend, though mostly we are focusing on our horses-to-watch list (H2W), including some this week from Dec. 7 and Dec. 8 at Northlands Park. The Alberta track hosts some of its local, annual features those days so we have been preparing for a chance to profit from the entire programs with our H2W list. 

    Look Out Cleveland


    The “flying turns” of Northfield Park host a few of the glamour-boy pacers in a strong race that always appears as an afterthought considering its date. This Dec. 8 is the date for the $130,000 Cleveland Classic, a race that makes little difference in the division’s champs but can be a good place to nail a longshot. 

    There were 38 horses eligible long before the draw and only six dropped into the box. The small, compact field brings together four of the season’s headliners. Anyone following the stakes season knows Thinking Out Loud, Pet Rock, Bolt The Duer and A Rocknroll Dance are the featured quartet. But the other two deserve attention, since either could provide upsets. 

    Rockin Finish is 12-1 on the morning line in the sextet and the only horse in thye field to have a race over the Ohio track. It was a race he won in October. Like “Dance,” he is a son of Rocknroll Hanover. The Virgil Morgan-trained colt raced his fastest at Woodbine. 

    Ron Burke’s Mortal Zin is another son of “Rocknroll.” The colt has eight victories under his belt and comes with a lifetime mark of 1:51.1 taken at Harrah’s Philadelphia. Mortal Zin’s morning line is 15-1. 

    There will be little value outside of the longshots unless Thinking Out Loud takes an abundance of win money. Then Pet Rock could be worth a shot and A Rocknroll Dance could win at the longest odds he has carried since before his throat surgery. 

    Deep Freeze Pacing


    On any given day in December in Alberta, it is usually sub-zero weather, at least before and after the Chinook winds take down the temperature. At Northlands Park in the province’s capital of Edmonton, filly and colt pacers withstand the disparity in degrees as they contest the track’s biggest purse events. 

    Friday, Dec. 7 the fillies are featured in the $75,000 Northlands Filly Pace Final after a pair of eliminations qualified the field. The outstanding favorite will be Phone Terror. Her elim win was straight forward, a wire-to-wire effort. In that race, third-choice Prairie Illusion, from Alberta’s prince of horsemen Keith Clark, was forced wide but made up 5 lengths on the outside.

    This week from post 2 “Illusion” poses a huge threat to “Terror,” while the other elim winner, Credit Card Junkie, has to deal with post 8 and a probable rotten trip. The other key contributor to the exotics should be Honor Roll, who also survived a tough journey in her elim.

    On Saturday, another $75Gs are offered to the soph-colt pacers in the Western Pacing Derby Final. In the elim won by this affair’s second morning-line choice, Cowboy Caper, that race’s 40-1 shot soared late to gain almost 8 lengths and finish third. Outlaw Highvoltage certainly has a shot to upset here, especially with top-choice Steve O and two-time winner Playbook on the outside. This is a classy little colt that has been productive in Alberta Sires Stakes and can use last week’s late-charging speed in other ways to win.

    Watching Horses


    Our H2W list has already provided TwinSpires players winners at decent prices. The H2W list continues to offer horses that are potent contenders, based on our experienced spotters’ evaluations of recent trips.  

    The legend is simple. We list the track atop the horse’s name, the date it (or they) will be racing and the race where it is (or they are) entered. If a + is in front of a horse’s name, it means that horse is appearing on the list for the second or third time. An ae means the horse is on the also-eligible list and needs a scratch to get into the race.

    Batavia
    12/7, Bun Jovie R1; +Keystone Bernard R7; Pebble Run R7; Warrawee Nimby R11;
    12/8, Virtual Escape R1; Brody Hanover R12

    Cal Expo
    12/7, Giles LS Hanover R3; +Vantage R5; Sleigh Bell R6; +Charmer R7; +JC’s Lucky Dreamer R9; Cinnamon R9; +Dreaming Of Amy ae R10
    12/8, +Franco Smoothie N; I’m The Reason R13; +La Cantera R16; Tangram R16

    Fraser
    12/7, +Kthanxbai R3; + Just Cruise On R4; Mach Maiden Heaven R6; Queens Heritaj R8; + Tahuya Rub A Dub R8; Country Hideaway R9; Lilkent R10; Aces Double Suited R10; Alotta Crackers R11

    Lebanon
    12/7, +Buckeye Beauty R6; Lady Alicia R7; Southwind Thistle R8; Kilowatts Fantasy R10; Nola B R12 

    Northlands
    12/7 Total Rhythm R3; Red Star Tiger R3
    12/8, Succulent R4; Im A Wildcat R6; Flak Jacket R10; Outlaw Beacon ae R11; The Panductor R12

    Pompano
    12/8, Angle Of Attack R6; +Fox Ridge Banker R9

    Saratoga
    12/7, JJ Regard R3+Southern Strength R6; Rock This World ae R8; +Cash Poor R12; Dangerismybusiness R12

     
    Ray Cotolo contributed to this edition.