• SimonSays Handicapping Challenge

    POSTED Feb 18, 2011
    Week 4






    Anthony Kelzenberg

    Selections from Rosehill (Australia) on 2/18/11:

    Race 1B

    5-ABOUND gets a 4-pound weight shift (which can matter because the finish is up a grade) and she might be able to turn the tables on main rival 1-HELMET, who got away with murder on the front end and put up a below average speed figure for the level.
    BET(S): 10 units to WIN on 5.

    Race 2B
    9-EXPLOITABLE DOUBT has a great record and is competitive on speed figures. 4-BELTANE has won his last two races nicely.

    BET(S): 10 units to WIN on 9. 4-unit EXACTA BOX 4-9.

    Race 3B

    9-KILLIAN is a good animal that is lightly weighted and may have some improvement in him.

    BET(S): 10 units to WIN on 9.

    Selections from Flemington (Australia) on 2/18/11:

    Race 3A
    Flemington is the track where the Melbourne Cup is run. More importantly, it has a "straight course" (no turn) that plays very nicely to early speed AND classy closers if the pace is fair. Mid-pack runners are generally doomed because they can't get a clean run in the race.

    15-KWASSA KWASSA (30/1) has run well "down the straight" and has sprinter speed. He's definitely a wire-to-wire candidate. 9-I'M DISCRETE (4/1) and 13-PREVENTABLE (12/1) will get first run in what largely looks to be a paceless race. Time to box the speed horses in the exacta and hope something good happens.

    BET(S): 15 units to WIN on 15. 8 units to WIN on 13. 2-unit EXACTA BOX 9,13,15.

    Race 6A
    7-BLACK CAVIAR is the fastest sprinter in the world and 2-GRAND DUELS is in top form. He could have won his last by more lengths but his rider saved something for this race.

    BET(S): 24-unit EXACTA 7-2 and 6-unit EXACTA 2-7.

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    Aqueduct (2/19/11)
    Race 3 * 6F * Dirt

    4-Brahman

    COMMENTS: Todd Pletcher, class drop, blinkers-on and second start in the cycle. Just what the doctor ordered!

    BETS: $20 to WIN on 4.

    Aqueduct (2/19/11)
    Race 5 * 6 Furlongs * Dirt

    2-Im a Mosaic Rocker

    COMMENTS: He is a horse-for-the-course at a big price; not too far from the main contenders here.

    BETS: $5 across the board (WIN, PLACE & SHOW) on 2.

    Gulfstream Park (2/19/11)
    Race 6 * 6.5 Furlongs * Dirt

    6-Saigon Story
    12-Simbamangu
    10-Escort
    1-Turnofthecat

    COMMENTS: SAIGON STORY is looking very well in the mornings and Zito fires better bullets after the debut malefice. SIMBAMANGU enjoys a better post position than in his last race. He had tons of problems that time and still fired a good race. ESCORT has a great connections and it is not too far from the best here. TURNOFTHECAT is again inside, but the talent is there.

    BETS: $5 to WIN on 6. $1 EXACTA BOX 6,12 with 1,6,10,12.

    Gulfstream Park (2/19/11)
    Race 7 * 1-1/16 Miles * Turf

    4-Performing

    COMMENTS: Hopefully, she is not going to be too wide in this one; dropping to a more comfortable spot.

    BETS: $5 to WIN & PLACE on 4.

    Gulfstream Park (2/19/11)
    Race 10 * 1-3/8 Miles * Turf

    4-Free Fighter
    6-Musketier
    12-Al Khali
    7-Prince Will I Am

    COMMENTS: At his big potential price, FREE FIGHTER has the best PF figure of the race and his BRIS figures are among the best. He is training like a monster ready to fire and, running his best, he is right here with the best. MUSKETIER is the horse to beat along with AL KHALI, both the class of the field. PRINCE WILL I AM may become a real deal this year while maturing even more.

    BETS: $5 across the board (WIN, PLACE & SHOW) on 4. $0.10 SUPERFECTA BOX on 4,6,7,10,12.

    Fair Grounds (2/19/11)
    Race 5 * 6 Furlongs * Dirt

    1-Moontune Missy

    COMMENTS: MOONTUNE MISSY has a very hot jockey (in the last 2 weeks) aboard and it is trained by a very hot trainer (also, in the last 2 weeks). Amoss is very effective with blinkers for the 1st time, running a horse for the first time under his training and shipping. Her figures are right there among the top. Rail post is winning at 21% clip.

    BETS: $20 WIN on 1.

    Fair Grounds (2/19/11)
    Race 8 * 1-1/16 Miles * Dirt

    2-Demarcation

    COMMENTS: Good price for a horse that comes from a key race in a very good effort. His figures are among the top here. He enjoys this course and rail post is winning at 29% clip. The jockey is on fire!

    BETS: $20 WIN on 2.

    Fair Grounds (2/19/11)
    Race 9 * 1-1/8 Miles * Turf

    7-Joinem
    10-Loup Breton

    COMMENTS: JOINEM is a talent in development. This is his 3rd start of the cycle in a course he enjoy with a prospective pace he will also enjoy. He is training much better for this one evidencing his improvement.

    BETS: $10 WIN & PLACE on 7. $1 EXACTA BOX 7,10 with 1,5,6,7,10,11.

    Santa Anita Park (2/19/11)
    Race 3 * 1-1/2 Miles * Turf

    4-Juniper Pass

    COMMENTS: I just have a feeling he can be a major player here. He is improving and the conditions will be favoring a longshot!

    BETS: $5 across the board (WIN, PLACE & SHOW) on 4.

    Jon Luman

    All selections at Gulfstream Park (2/19/11):

    Race 1
    $20 to WIN on 5-Sharper Lisa.
    Reasoning: Still love the able longshot.

    Race 2
    $20 to WIN on 7-Cancerbero.
    Reasoning: Should have the kick late.

    Race 3
    $20 to WIN on 2-Platinum Futures.
    Reasoning: Love the odds, hoping for some positive early speed control.

    Race 4
    $20 to WIN on 10-Pray for Action.
    Reasoning: Good bet at the odds. Should have an early speed advantage to overcome post.

    Race 5
    $20 to WIN on 2-Zhivago.
    Reasoning: This one has had the most practice at this distance.

    Race 6
    $20 WIN on 1-Turnofthecat.
    Reasoning: Lowest rating; I like less early speed at this distance.

    Race 7
    $20 WIN on 10-To the Point.
    Reasoning: A tough race to call, a calvary charge from the quarter pole if #7 doesn't steal it with a wire job. I like #10 to have a little more run in the stretch.

    Race 8
    $20 WIN on 5-Billy Smart.
    Reasoning: Okay, I'm going for another speedball on the lawn. I find the odds irresistible even though #6 shows great balance here.

    Race 9
    $20 WIN on 6-Catch a Thief.
    Reasoning: I think #6 will stay out of the battle for the lead and take advantage of it.

    Race 10
    $20 WIN on 1-Pool Play.
    Reasoning: Give me slow for turf marathons. #1 has also had some practice at longer distance.

    Race 11
    $20 WIN on 6-Prado Dash.
    Reasoning: I like the balance of early and late run, and the odds.


    Equinetic

    Bet $80 win, $40 place and $20 show (or any other graduated amount one feels comfortable with) on all qualified selections. Only those choices going to post at odds of 6-1 or greater should be played.

    Selections from Gulfstream Park (2/20/11):

    Race 4
    7-Middle of the Nite

    Race 7
    4-Our Champion

    Race 9
    7-Why Tonto

    Race 11
    10-Shakeira

    Selections from Oaklawn Park (2/20/11):

    Race 7
    3-Storming Suzy

    Race 8
    2-Stout Hope

    Race 9
    1-Cosmo Girl

    Race 10
    11-Sharp Angle
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    Spotless - Your One-Stop Solution for Cleaning and Clearance Services

    Looking for a reliable cleaning and clearance service provider in Dublin? Look no further than Spotless! With a wide range of services tailored to meet your specific needs, Spotless is dedicated to making your home or office clean, organized, and clutter-free. Below, we highlight some of the key services offered by Spotless.

    Factories & Warehouses Clearance - Keep your industrial spaces clean and safe with comprehensive clearance services for factories and warehouses.

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    Power Washing - Enhance your property's curb appeal with power washing services that remove dirt, grime, and algae from exterior surfaces.

    House Clearance - Choose Spotless for general house clearance services that cover all your needs, from decluttering to organizing and beyond.

    Trust Spotless to keep your home or office in top shape with their wide range of cleaning and clearance services.

    JOINT MEDICAL HOlDINGS said...

    Durban is a city in the KwaZulu-Natal province of South Africa, and there are several hospitals that offer maternity services in the area. The best maternity hospital in Durban may depend on various factors, including the mother's needs, preferences, and medical condition.
    Some of the top maternity hospitals in Durban include Life Entabeni Hospital, City Hospital, and St. Augustine's Hospital. These hospitals have well-equipped labor and delivery rooms, neonatal intensive care units, and experienced medical staff who can provide comprehensivde care to both mothers and newborns.
    It is advisable to consult with your doctor or midwife to determine which hospital will best meet your needs and preferences when it comes to maternity care.

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    At AIG Hospitals, Gachibowli the team of orthopedics surgeons are trained and they are expert in knee replacement surgery Hyderabad. Our expert orthopedics surgeons employ the latest techniques and technology to improve care for people with musculoskeletal problems. Orthopedic surgeons at AIG Hospitals, Gachibowli specialise in the diagnosis and treatment of disorders of the bones, joints, ligaments, tendons, muscles and nerves (musculoskeletal system). Subspecialties within the Orthopedics department include Joint replacements, shoulder, elbow and hand surgery, sports injury, trauma, spine, foot and ankle injury.

    Indian Takeout Express said...

    If you are looking for a place to go and make some tasty and delicious Indian food, then the Indian Takeout Express in Umatilla FL is the best place for you. It's a family owned business, which has been serving meals to customers from near and far for over a decade now. With its wide collection of authentic Indian dishes and desserts made with traditional recipes, it promises an unforgettable eating experience. It serves regional Indian cuisine so that its diners can discover the rich diversity of flavors and origins of Indian food.

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    JOINT MEDICAL HOlDINGS said...

    The ears, nose, and throat are vital sensory organs that deserve specialized care when facing any disruptions or disorders. The Best ENT Specialists in Durban plays a crucial role in diagnosing, treating, and managing conditions affecting these systems, ensuring optimal functioning and overall well-being. By seeking their expertise, you can address concerns related to hearing, breathing, and speaking, allowing you to enjoy a better quality of life. So, prioritize your ear, nose, and throat health and consult an ENT specialist if the need arises. Remember, your senses are worth protecting and preserving.

    Indian Takeout Express said...

    Are you in the mood for an amazing and delicious veggie samosa? Look no further than Indian Takeout Express in Umatilla FL! Our talented chefs are ready to satisfy your craving with their delectable, mouth-watering samosas made from fresh, locally grown vegetables. Our samosas are so tasty that once you bite into one, you'll never want to go anywhere else. From our selection of vegetarian options to our unique and creative combinations, you're sure to find something that will tantalize your tastebuds.

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