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  • What odds for I'll Have Another?

    POSTED Jun 5, 2012 By Unknown
    Big Brown at 3-to-10 ($2.60) and Smarty Jones at 7-to-20 ($2.70) have skewed my thinking on what I'll Have Another's post time odds will be.

    The former looked invincible following his wins in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes while the latter was one of the most popular horses in a generation. They were also both favored in their previous classic wins.

    That is not in play with I'll Have Another, who was the ninth choice in the Derby and second choice in the Preakness. In fact, he has never been favored in any of his seven career starts.

    Funny Cide was an even money favorite when third to the superior Empire Maker, who paid $6.00 that day in what I have often called "the overlay of the century." Empire Maker was favored in that year's Derby and skipped the Preakness after finishing second to Funny Cide, who won the Preakness as the favorite.

    War Emblem was 5-to-4 when eighth in the 2002 Derby. Like Funny Cide, he won the Preakness as the favorite after being a much bigger price in the Derby. Charismatic was 8-to-5 when third in the 1999 Belmont. He was an even bigger price than all of the aforementioned Derby winners when he wore the roses and wasn't favored in the Preakness either.

    Real Quiet was 4-to-5 when narrowly missing to Victory Gallop, who had been favored in the Preakness but was 9-to-2 in the Belmont. Silver Charm was 21-to-20 (a touch over even money) when second to Touch Gold.

    Immediately after the Preakness I initially thought that I'll Have Another would be in the 1-to-2 or 3-to-5 range because of all the souvenir win tickets that will be acquired on him, but his two-race win parlay of $136.92 ranks sixth (ahead of just War Emblem's $163.40 and Charismatic's $607.24) among the last eight dual classic winners to attempt a Triple Crown sweep (see chart at bottom).

    I do think the rarity of the Triple Crown among race fans (anyone younger than 34 hasn't been alive for one let alone how old you'd have to be to remember one) adds to the zest for $2 win tickets, and Smarty Jones' $3.30 place price certainly shows people buy in bulk (he'd have paid $2.70 to win, "that's OK"), but the fervor to bet on I'll Have Another just isn't there especially considering the top two threats in this race--Union Rags and Dullahan--took more money than he did in the Derby and still have their supporters.

    So, I cheated a little bit when making this line. I can't imagine ever seeing a "9-to-10" morning line, but that's what I put I'll Have Another at. He'll be "4-to-5" on the board, but my math works a lot easier if I acknowledge him at 9-to-10, which is $3.80 to win. If I made I'll Have Another 4-to-5 straight (.8-to-1) then I thought both Dullahan and Union Rags would be 6-to-1, and I don't see that happening. Even with this line I'm worried I have the longshots too high. I could see Street Life at 12-to-1 and Optimizer at 20-to-1 and the rest no higher than 30-to-1, but then we're talking 3-to-2 on I'll Have Another and that ain't happenin'.

    So 9-to-10 it is on I'll Have Another, and if Dullahan is 5-to-1 then I'm betting him on the nose, but more on those strategies later in the week.

    • betting
    • Big Brown
    • Charismatic
    • Dullahan
    • Funny Cide
    • I'll Have Another
    • morning line
    • odds
    • Real Quiet
    • Silver Charm
    • Smarty Jones
    • Triple Crown
    • twinspires
    • Union Rags
    • wagering
    • War Emblem
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    April 11, 2022 at 11:26 PM
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    Plex itself is never illegal — if it were, it wouldn’t be a trusted partner with its content providers. You, however, are very capable of illegality, and you have sentience and agency. Thus, when the powers of plex.tv/link are combined with your capacity for malfeasance, Plex can become an unwitting accomplice.And it’s unclear just how legal and enforceable some of these disclaimers are.

    April 12, 2022 at 11:04 PM
    mikasa smith said...

    Though it might seem like the two apps are attempting to market to the same audience, the truth is that disney plus.com/begin enter code and DisneyNow will likely continue to coexist with each other.Though much of Disney’s kid-friendly programming is available on Disney Plus for any paying subscriber, the ability to access Disney Channel content on your iPad with DisneyNow is a perk given to paying cable subscribers. The launch of Disney Plus allows Disney to target those customers who have cut the cord, in addition to younger customers who are unlikely to have a cable subscription in lieu of services like Netflix, Amazon Prime, and Hulu.The easiest way to think about the two apps is to consider HBO’s current app lineup in 2019.(For this example, let’s ignore HBO’s upcoming third streaming tier, HBO Max.) DisneyNow and Disney Plus work the same way, with DisneyNow being the parallel to HBO Go, and Disney Plus working very similarly to HBO Now.

    April 12, 2022 at 11:04 PM
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    technicalhelper1105 said...


    Roadrunner Email and roadrunner email settings which was renamed as TWC email and now known as Spectrum Webmail. Here are the means by which you can get to roadrunner webmail login. This page encourages you to create another account, log in to your current account, and Roadrunner email settings . Later in 2016, TWC was procured by Charter communication and re-marked to now called Spectrum Net. The roadrunners are as yet being used and new email given by spectrum is currently known as spectrum webmail

    June 10, 2022 at 1:15 AM
    what song is this said...

    You have done the right thing.

    July 3, 2022 at 12:20 AM
    Camlie Brown said...
    This comment has been removed by the author.
    July 6, 2022 at 6:21 AM
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Welcome to the TwinSpires Blog. Our contributors will be continually updating posts to offer commentary, insight, advice and expert opinions on horse racing and wagering. The goal is to help you win more and become a better all around horse player.

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Contributors

Derek Simon

TwinSpires' horse racing author, handicapper, and podcast host, Derek Simon of Denver, Colo. offers his insightful, humorous and sometimes controversial take on the horse racing industry. He even publishes the ROI on the picks he gives out.

Frank Cotolo

TwinSpires' harness racing expert, Frank Cotolo follows all of the big North American circuits throughout the year, providing the best value picks and latest news from the sulky.

Ed DeRosa

The Director of Marketing for Bloodstock Research Information Services (BRIS) and a lifelong Thoroughbred racing enthusiast and astute handicapper, Ed joined Churchill Downs Inc. following nine years as a writer and editor with Thoroughbred Times.

Peter Thomas Fornatale

A writer and editor who has been following horse racing for fifteen years. Peter has written books for the Daily Racing Form Press; Crown; and Simon and Schuster; among other publishers, and regular features in The Horseplayer Magazine.

Jill Byrne

A television racing analyst for Churchill Downs, Jill has earned acclaim and a loyal audience throughout Thoroughbred racing.

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