What odds for I'll Have Another?
The former looked invincible following his wins in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes while the latter was one of the most popular horses in a generation. They were also both favored in their previous classic wins.
That is not in play with I'll Have Another, who was the ninth choice in the Derby and second choice in the Preakness. In fact, he has never been favored in any of his seven career starts.
Funny Cide was an even money favorite when third to the superior Empire Maker, who paid $6.00 that day in what I have often called "the overlay of the century." Empire Maker was favored in that year's Derby and skipped the Preakness after finishing second to Funny Cide, who won the Preakness as the favorite.
War Emblem was 5-to-4 when eighth in the 2002 Derby. Like Funny Cide, he won the Preakness as the favorite after being a much bigger price in the Derby. Charismatic was 8-to-5 when third in the 1999 Belmont. He was an even bigger price than all of the aforementioned Derby winners when he wore the roses and wasn't favored in the Preakness either.
Real Quiet was 4-to-5 when narrowly missing to Victory Gallop, who had been favored in the Preakness but was 9-to-2 in the Belmont. Silver Charm was 21-to-20 (a touch over even money) when second to Touch Gold.
Immediately after the Preakness I initially thought that I'll Have Another would be in the 1-to-2 or 3-to-5 range because of all the souvenir win tickets that will be acquired on him, but his two-race win parlay of $136.92 ranks sixth (ahead of just War Emblem's $163.40 and Charismatic's $607.24) among the last eight dual classic winners to attempt a Triple Crown sweep (see chart at bottom).
I do think the rarity of the Triple Crown among race fans (anyone younger than 34 hasn't been alive for one let alone how old you'd have to be to remember one) adds to the zest for $2 win tickets, and Smarty Jones' $3.30 place price certainly shows people buy in bulk (he'd have paid $2.70 to win, "that's OK"), but the fervor to bet on I'll Have Another just isn't there especially considering the top two threats in this race--Union Rags and Dullahan--took more money than he did in the Derby and still have their supporters.
So, I cheated a little bit when making this line. I can't imagine ever seeing a "9-to-10" morning line, but that's what I put I'll Have Another at. He'll be "4-to-5" on the board, but my math works a lot easier if I acknowledge him at 9-to-10, which is $3.80 to win. If I made I'll Have Another 4-to-5 straight (.8-to-1) then I thought both Dullahan and Union Rags would be 6-to-1, and I don't see that happening. Even with this line I'm worried I have the longshots too high. I could see Street Life at 12-to-1 and Optimizer at 20-to-1 and the rest no higher than 30-to-1, but then we're talking 3-to-2 on I'll Have Another and that ain't happenin'.
So 9-to-10 it is on I'll Have Another, and if Dullahan is 5-to-1 then I'm betting him on the nose, but more on those strategies later in the week.
215 comments:
«Oldest ‹Older 201 – 215 of 215"Your post clarified a confusing topic for me. Thanks for the clarity!" Conducir sin Licencia en NJ
GRC Systems is leading modular office furniture in pune, modular office furniture manufacturers in pune. you can visit here for modular furniture companies in pune
Great article! I found the information here really helpful and informative. Thanks for sharing!Registro Violencia Doméstica Nueva Jersey
If you want to become a certified yoga teacher, then feel free to join our Yoga Academy in Goa and Rishikesh
300 Hour Yoga Teacher training in Goa
100 Hour Yoga Teacher Training in Rishikesh
300 Hour Yoga Teacher Training in Rishikesh
Thank you very much for this good information. It is very useful for us.fairfax divorce lawyer, virginia reckless driving attorney cost.
โปรโมชั่น pg slot มากมาย เล่นง่ายจ่ายจริง แตกจริง ต้อง pg slot เท่านั้น! เล่นสล็อต พีจีสล็อต เว็บไซต์ตรงผู้ให้บริการเกมสล็อตออนไลน์ชั้นหนึ่ง ทกลอง เล่น ฟรี พร้อมโบนัส
Your writing style is captivating, and I found myself nodding along as I read. It's evident that you have a deep understanding content, and your passion shines through in every word. Visit here to my website securly.
https://aprotec.uchile.cl/p/logros.html?sc=1718182304347#c6716858100337711233
Fascinating breakdown of Big Brown’s odds and performance! It's always intriguing to revisit these iconic moments in horse racing history. If you are looking for ISO Certification In Saudi Arabia Contact us.
The The Zupee app is an online gaming platform that allows users to play skill-based games and earn real money. is an online gaming platform that allows users to play skill-based games and earn real money.
The Zupee app is an online gaming platform that allows users to play skill-based games and earn real moneyzupee
The Zupee app is an online gaming platform that allows users to play skill-based games and earn real money. https://apksajid.com/
QuickBooks Desktop 2022 Discontinued
QuickBooks Desktop 2022 Discontinued
QuickBooks Desktop 2022 Discontinued
QuickBooks Desktop 2022 Discontinued
QuickBooks Desktop 2022 Discontinued
QuickBooks Desktop 2022 Discontinued
QuickBooks Desktop 2022 Discontinued
QuickBooks Desktop 2022 Discontinued
Group eCards bring people together to celebrate special moments. They’re quick to create, fun to customize, and perfect for team or group greetings.
Funny Farewell Cards are the perfect way to turn emotional goodbyes into joyful moments. Adding humor helps everyone celebrate the transition with a smile.
Post a Comment