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  • Free Fair Grounds Plays

    POSTED Jan 22, 2011 By Derek Simon
    Fair Grounds (01/22/11)
    Race 1 * 6.0 Furlongs * Dirt

    4-Early Return (8/5)
    Fair Odds: 9-5
    1-Sweetsouthernmoon (5/1)
    Fair Odds: 6-1
    7-Mambo Galliano (7/5)
    Fair Odds: 5-2

    COMMENTS: This doesn’t look like a great betting race, barring something crazy, although I do think the top two morning line favorites should probably be reversed. EARLY RETURN has great tactical speed and trainer Stephen Margolis is sticking with a familiar and successful work pattern coming into today’s race; rates the edge. SWEETSOUTHERNMOON has a 12-3-5-3 ledger in his races on the dirt and should be closing late. MAMBO GALLIANO loves Fair Grounds and fits very well here, but I’m a bit troubled by the 58-day respite after his win in the Thanksgiving Handicap.

    BET(S): WIN on 4 at odds of 9-5 or greater.

    Fair Grounds (01/22/11)
    Race 3 * 6.0 Furlongs * Dirt

    3-Dance Caller (5/2)
    Fair Odds: 8-5
    4-Heavenly Chorus (7/2)
    Fair Odds: 7-2
    6-Be Me (9/2)
    Fair Odds: 6-1

    COMMENTS: Pace makes this race. DANCE CALLER has won five of six starts when leading after the first call, which seems almost assured in this event, provided jockey Shane Sellers is on the ball. HEAVENLY CHORUS ran great in his 2011 debut, but was claimed from master conditioner Steve Assmussen and faces tougher today. BE ME is in good form.

    BET(S): WIN on 3 at odds of 8-5 or greater.
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Welcome to the TwinSpires Blog. Our contributors will be continually updating posts to offer commentary, insight, advice and expert opinions on horse racing and wagering. The goal is to help you win more and become a better all around horse player.

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Contributors

Derek Simon

TwinSpires' horse racing author, handicapper, and podcast host, Derek Simon of Denver, Colo. offers his insightful, humorous and sometimes controversial take on the horse racing industry. He even publishes the ROI on the picks he gives out.

Frank Cotolo

TwinSpires' harness racing expert, Frank Cotolo follows all of the big North American circuits throughout the year, providing the best value picks and latest news from the sulky.

Ed DeRosa

The Director of Marketing for Bloodstock Research Information Services (BRIS) and a lifelong Thoroughbred racing enthusiast and astute handicapper, Ed joined Churchill Downs Inc. following nine years as a writer and editor with Thoroughbred Times.

Peter Thomas Fornatale

A writer and editor who has been following horse racing for fifteen years. Peter has written books for the Daily Racing Form Press; Crown; and Simon and Schuster; among other publishers, and regular features in The Horseplayer Magazine.

Jill Byrne

A television racing analyst for Churchill Downs, Jill has earned acclaim and a loyal audience throughout Thoroughbred racing.

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