Derek Simon's Weekend Plays
SATURDAY (09/24/11)
(Click on image to enlarge)COMMENTS: LILY’S HOPE faced the likes of BC Juvenile Fillies winner Awesome Feather as a two-year-old before dropping steadily in class at age three. However, her latest effort — an easy win against $7,500 non-winners of two lifetime — indicates her form may be on the upswing once again. Not only that, but she shows improving pace figures as well; a solid top choice. I like the fact that TEMPESTA TEMPO was claimed back by trainer Edward Allard for owner Theodore Robinson, but I don’t like the break of 105 days since the four-year-old filly’s last start — and the workouts don’t inspire confidence either. Still, the daughter of Parker’s Storm Cat does have some ability. In a fairly paceless race, RAVEN BEAUTY could make her presence felt on the front end.
BET(S): WIN on 6 at odds of 6-5 or greater.
SUNDAY (09/25/11)
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COMMENTS: This is an ideal dutch win situation, preferably with 64% of the total amount wagered staked on D GS APOLOGIZE and the remaining 36% on CLIC K.
BET(S): WIN on 7 at odds of 8-5 or greater and/or WIN on 8 at odds of 7-2 or greater.
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COMMENTS: STACKED UP is a Win Factor Report “Key Selection.”
BET(S): WIN on 7 at odds of 1-1 or greater. EXACTA 7 with 4,5,6 (optional).
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BET(S): PLACE on 5 at odds of 3-5 or greater.
Derek Simon’s Free Selection StatisticsRaces (Selections): 51 (54)
Wins: 19
Rate: 37.3%
Return: $142.10
ROI: +31.57%
(This year's published selections through 09/21/11.)
Note: Play is restricted to any horse(s) that meet my fair odds requirements (when listed). Multiple qualifying contenders will be bet separately, however, multiple bets will be adjusted to equal a single wager and the payoffs averaged. For example a winning WIN/PLACE wager paying $6.20 on top and $4.30 underneath would count as a single bet paying $5.25 (the average of $6.20 and $4.30).
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