• Derek Simon's Weekend Plays

    POSTED Sep 24, 2011
    SATURDAY (09/24/11)


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    COMMENTS: LILY’S HOPE faced the likes of BC Juvenile Fillies winner Awesome Feather as a two-year-old before dropping steadily in class at age three. However, her latest effort — an easy win against $7,500 non-winners of two lifetime — indicates her form may be on the upswing once again. Not only that, but she shows improving pace figures as well; a solid top choice. I like the fact that TEMPESTA TEMPO was claimed back by trainer Edward Allard for owner Theodore Robinson, but I don’t like the break of 105 days since the four-year-old filly’s last start — and the workouts don’t inspire confidence either. Still, the daughter of Parker’s Storm Cat does have some ability. In a fairly paceless race, RAVEN BEAUTY could make her presence felt on the front end.

    BET(S): WIN on 6 at odds of 6-5 or greater.

    SUNDAY (09/25/11)



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    COMMENTS: This is an ideal dutch win situation, preferably with 64% of the total amount wagered staked on D GS APOLOGIZE and the remaining 36% on CLIC K.

    BET(S):
    WIN on 7 at odds of 8-5 or greater and/or WIN on 8 at odds of 7-2 or greater.

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    COMMENTS: STACKED UP is a Win Factor Report “Key Selection.”

    BET(S): WIN on 7 at odds of 1-1 or greater. EXACTA 7 with 4,5,6 (optional).


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    BET(S): PLACE on 5 at odds of 3-5 or greater.

    Derek Simon’s Free Selection Statistics

    Races (Selections): 51 (54)
    Wins: 19
    Rate: 37.3%
    Return: $142.10
    ROI: +31.57%

    (This year's published selections through 09/21/11.)

    Note: Play is restricted to any horse(s) that meet my fair odds requirements (when listed). Multiple qualifying contenders will be bet separately, however, multiple bets will be adjusted to equal a single wager and the payoffs averaged. For example a winning WIN/PLACE wager paying $6.20 on top and $4.30 underneath would count as a single bet paying $5.25 (the average of $6.20 and $4.30).
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