• Belmont by Brisnet numbers & my letters

    POSTED May 31, 2012
    Jon Siegel leads the latest edition of Triple Crown Insider acknowledging that I'll Have Another is the fastest horse in the race, and that is the case no matter what numbers you use to gauge these horses' performances.


    But handicapping a horse race isn't only about figuring out who has run fastest, it's about figuring out who will run fastest in this race.

    One of the best handicappers I know, Scott Carson, is great at projecting performances. I don't get quite as specific as he does when plotting a race, but I do use the rudimentary approach of figuring the chances a horse A) improves, B) maintains, or C) goes backward. A+ would be an explosive move, and a C- would be a huge step back.

    I'll Have Another is the easiest of Belmont winners with either an "A+" or "A" performance as defined above. Even a "B" performance means someone would have to improve, and only Dullahan or Paynter could win with their "A" if I'll Have Another fires a "B". Horses like Union Rags and Street Life, meanwhile, would need an "A+".

    The best chance for anyone other than I'll Have Another winning is if the dual classic winner runs a "C". His "off" race from either the Derby or Preakness probably still hits the board and might even win, but that would likely mean some others didn't fire as well.

    One reason I like Optimizer a little bit is he seems to always fire a "B", i.e. maintains his form rather consistently. That's not nearly fast enough normally, and as a top choice I wouldn't like him, but there's enough of a chance that he moves forward with the added distance to prefer him underneath at 20-to-1 than Union Rags, Paynter, or Street Life at lower prices.

    Still, I expect my main strategy (as a personal player, not for the TwinSpires.com Player's Pool) to be to single I'll Have Another in multi-race wagers, bet Dullahan to win, and play a straight I'll Have Another-Dullahan exacta with Optimizer thrown in to some of the gimmicks.

  • 416 comments:

    «Oldest   ‹Older   401 – 416 of 416
    Shuma Khan said...

    Today you will get Girls Phone Numbers and Whatsapp Numbers, Whatsapp Groups for free

    Tramadol Drug Store said...

    : Tramadolshop is the best place to order online tramadol 50mg. Because here you can buy medicine without doctor prescription under his/her supervision. To read more info visit here : https://www.tramadolshop.com/product/tramadol-50mg/

    Unknown said...

    Excellent and nice post. This is such a great resource that you are providing and you give it away for free. I love seeing that understands the value. I'm glad to have found this post as its such an interesting one! I have also something very interesting for you. Pt. Chetan Shastri Ji is a well-known and strongly insightful astrologer, who is known to have powers like none other. He is an astrology specialist and without a doubt the most trustworthy, honorable and one of the main astrologers present in India. Visit our website page- Chetan Shastri Ji

    Astrology Services said...

    Excellent and nice post. This is such a great resource that you are providing and you give it away for free. I have also something very interesting for you. Visit our website page- Best Indian Astrologer
    Astrologer Pankaj Shastri ji, a world-renowned vashikaran specialist. Sometimes we are unable to understand the problems we are dealing with, Life becomes tough, if not impossible, when there is no money. Pankaj Shastri ji will fix your difficulties and perform Vashikaran using his non-harmful methods. Vashikaran can be performed on a friend, partner, boss, family member, or anybody else. Best Indian Astrologer

    Unknown said...

    A funeral repast is a meal that usually takes place after a funeral and during which all the relatives of the deceased and the mourning men and women gather for a prayer so that the soul of the deceased can rest in peace. or to eat together and share the sadness engendered by the loss.

    ritu singh said...

    This is very useful software for you and me. No errors were found during the check.
    You can use it. I hope you like it.
    Store Front Graphics

    powerballsitecom said...

    Nice very lovely post thanks for posting this!
    온라인카지노사이트

    powerballsitecom said...

    I have learn this put up and if I may just I desire to suggest you some attention-grabbing issues or tips.
    토토사이트

    powerballsitecom said...

    now i know how to make it and what are the proper way to handle it.
    온라인카지노

    powerballsitecom said...

    I was pretty pleased to find this web site. I need to to thank you for your time for this fantastic read!! I definitely loved every bit of it and I have you book marked to look at new stuff on your blog.
    파워볼

    custom packaging boxes said...

    happy birthday brother At New Happy Birthday Wishes you will Find the Perfect Happy Birthday Quote for brother.

    Customer Service said...
    This comment has been removed by the author.
    Anonymous said...

    It's been a while since we've seen a paper card. Gone are the days of picking up your mail and opening Group Cards from friends, family, and loved ones. Cards have now gone digital! We're all familiar with how to send an email or text message but what about sending greeting cards? Sending online cards is simple; you can use any device at any time as long as you have internet access! Forget about going to the store for greeting cards, searching through Goodbye Cards.

    jeetuss23 said...

    I am sharing to you to Take information for healthy food information | how to make healthy food

    TelU CampusLife said...

    "How do the Brisnet numbers for the recent races at Belmont Park correlate with your personal assessments or preferences, as indicated by 'my letters'?" greeting : Telkom University

    davidwarner said...

    Promote your videos organically through social media, email newsletters, and collaborations with other creators. Building a genuine and loyal audience takes time, but it's the only sustainable way to grow your channel and achieve long-term success on YouTube.

    «Oldest ‹Older   401 – 416 of 416   Newer› Newest»

    Post a Comment