Playing the Pick Three
Back in March, I wrote about how one could lessen this risk and locate potential value legs in a horizontal sequence. Using my Win Factor line (although any type of grading technique would do), “I found that if my top two contenders had a combined morning line odds ranking of 10 or greater or if my top three contenders had a total morning line odds ranking of 15 or greater, the race generally presented great pick-3 or even daily double possibilities.”
Of course, we all know that there can be a big difference between practice and theory, so I decided to put my money where my mouth is this weekend and test my pick-3 theories on real, live races… with real (though fortunately not live) money.
Look at his past performances and see if you can tell why.
I also liked the final leg of the sequence, where Sarge’s, Ashtyn Too and Beat Your Bluff had a cumulative odds ranking of 17.
I admit when it came time to bet, I kind of wimped out and decided to use (the bad) "Doctor" just in case I had misjudged the early pressure he would face. I also threw in 6-Follow the Rhythm, who had good pace figures, in the ninth; and I tossed in 8-Sleepless Knight in the eighth for the same reason.
Best of Breeding