In my opinion, the most fascinating thing about sports has nothing to do with the competition or the venue. Sure, those who were in the stands
when Babe Ruth allegedly “called his shot” witnessed a historic moment.
The lucky fans that watched Wilt Chamberlain pour in 100
points in an NBA game against the New York Knicks (why am I not surprised the Knicks were involved?) on
March 2, 1962, saw a basketball legend at his very best.
But the thrill of sports — at least to me
— is not watching a Hall-of-Famer go off on a guy with a career scoring average
of 7.2 points per game (PPG), like Darrall Imhoff, who started at center for
the Knicks that historic night. To me, the thrill of sports is
debating the answer to a simple question: “what if?”
Sid Luckman
What if Chamberlain played a one-on-one game of hoops
with Michael Jordan? What if Ruth was stared down by Clayton Kershaw with the
bases loaded and two outs in the bottom of the ninth inning? What if Sid
Luckman, the man who pioneered the position of quarterback, faced off with
Peyton Manning, the guy who tied Luckman (and others) with seven touchdown
passes in a single game? NOTE: A Manning-Luckman showdown would have particular
appeal to me because Luckman also played defensive back. (No word on whether he
gave Sammy Baugh the choke sign or called
Charley Malone a “mediocre receiver”
after the Chicago Bears pounded the Washington Redskins 73-0 in the 1940 NFL
title game).
My point here is that the history of sports is what makes
them so compelling. After all, without the context that history provides, there
can be no greatness. Scoring 100 points in an NBA game is only noteworthy
because no one — except Chamberlain — has ever done it.
It was with this in mind that I decided to peruse my
database of Kentucky Derby results and present what I believe are the top three
greatest performances in Derby history.
Now, anybody who has delved into the history of sports
knows that it is not easy to determine greatness by statistics alone.
Things change.
For example, during the 1961-62 season, in which
Chamberlain averaged 50.4 PPG, the typical NBA team took 107.7 shots per
contest. By the time Jordan was leading the Chicago Bulls to their last title
in 1998, teams were attempting just 79.7 shots per game.
Likewise, the racing strip at Churchill Downs, the site
of the Kentucky Derby, has changed over the years — making straight time
comparisons fruitless. However, as many regular readers know, I have developed
my own pace figures, which measure relative
speed, so I will be relying heavily on them to make my assessments.
Hence, a quick tutorial is in order:
Early Speed Ration (ESR): A measurement of a horse’s
early energy expenditure in relation to the total race requirements. The lower
the figure, the greater the horse’s early exertion in that event.
-15= Demanding.
-10= Brisk.
-5= Moderate.
0= Soft.
Late Speed Ration (LSR): A measurement of a horse’s late
energy expenditure in relation to the total race requirements. The higher the
figure, the greater the horse’s late exertion in that event. Because late speed
is calculated at a time when a horse is being asked for his/her maximum effort,
LSRs can be a great indication of form as well.
0= Excellent.
-5= Good.
-10= Fair.
-15= Poor.
Pace Profile: A simple comparison between a horse’s LSR
and the ESR of the race in which it was earned. Positive profiles are greatly
desired.
Note: ESRs and LSRs
recorded on turf or all-weather surfaces tend to vary by 5-10 points from those
garnered on dirt tracks.
5. NORTHERN DANCER
(1964)
In addition to being one of the most influential sires in
history, Northern Dancer was a heckuva racehorse. The zero late speed ration he
earned in the 1964 Run for the Roses ranks eighth all time and his 2:00
clocking wasn’t surpassed until Secretariat in 1973.
4. MAJESTIC PRINCE
(1969)
Although Majestic Prince’s +1 LSR was fourth-best in
Derby history, he is probably best known for a race he didn’t win — the Belmont
Stakes.
Fearing that “Prince” was injured after he bore out in the stretch of
the Preakness, the colt’s trainer Johnny Longden initially decided not to ship
to New York. However, after much public pressure — some coming from the horse’s
owner Frank McMahon — Longden relented and Majestic Prince finished a
badly-beaten second to eventual three-year-old champ Arts and Letters.
Majestic Prince never raced again.
3. OLD ROSEBUD
(1914)
Old Rosebud’s zero LSR ranks as the fifth-highest in Kentucky
Derby history and the best ever for a wire-to-wire winner of America’s most
prestigious horse race. What’s more his final time of 2:03 2/5 set a Derby
record that would stand for 16 years.
2. WHIRLAWAY
(1941)
Whirlaway had great timing. Not only did he possess a
potent late kick, but he knew when to raise his game — which he did on the
first Saturday in May of 1941. Not only did Whirlaway win the Derby by eight
lengths that day, he also recorded a +1 LSR and set a new track record
(2:01-2/5) that wasn’t broken until 1957.
1. SECRETARIAT
(1973)
No horse — past, present and probably future — ever had
the kind of spring that Secretariat had in 1973. After getting upset by stable mate
Angle Light in the Wood Memorial, “Big Red” produced a series of efforts that culminated
with a Triple Crown, an Eclipse award for Horse of the Year and a new title: legend.
Secretariat’s 1:59-2/5 clocking remains a Kentucky Derby
record and his +3 LSR is tied with His Eminence (1901) for the best ever.
Explore the legendary Kentucky Derby champions who made history at the iconic horse racing event. Discover their stories and achievements on our website.
Welcome to the TwinSpires Blog. Our contributors will be continually updating posts to offer commentary, insight, advice and expert opinions on horse racing and wagering. The goal is to help you win more and become a better all around horse player.
TwinSpires' horse racing author, handicapper, and podcast host, Derek Simon of Denver, Colo. offers his insightful, humorous and sometimes controversial take on the horse racing industry. He even publishes the ROI on the picks he gives out.
TwinSpires' harness racing expert, Frank Cotolo follows all of the big North
American circuits throughout the year, providing the best value picks and
latest news from the sulky.
The Director of Marketing for Bloodstock Research Information Services (BRIS) and a lifelong Thoroughbred racing enthusiast and astute handicapper, Ed joined Churchill Downs Inc. following nine years as a writer and editor with Thoroughbred Times.
A writer and editor who has been following horse racing for fifteen years. Peter has written books for the Daily Racing Form Press; Crown; and Simon and Schuster; among other publishers, and regular features in The Horseplayer Magazine.
1 comment:
Explore the legendary Kentucky Derby champions who made history at the iconic horse racing event. Discover their stories and achievements on our website.
Post a Comment