Showing posts with label SimonSays Handicapping Challenge. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SimonSays Handicapping Challenge. Show all posts
  • Cotolo’s Harness-Weekend Review, 5-9-11

    POSTED May 8, 2011
    The harness action is in flower, all right, as May kicked off the Meadowlands’ return and the Grand Circuit’s start. We have been putting together some decent, profitable weekends and now we get to pick and choose our plays among the plentiful, keeping powerful trip notes all around.

    The launching of the Hambletonian Trail blog was successful and we urge you to follow the stakes there, where the pertinent inside information will be posted for the three-year-old colt-and-filly trotters of 2011 headed for the August classics. There is a lot of money to be made in the numerous preps that weekly take place through July.

    For the early results of how we scored on the initial weekend of the “Trail” journey, go to the blog. Put it on your favorites, along with the Hambletonian Society website, where exclusive results of important Trail races are reviewed.

    Meanwhile, our big success over the weekend came at a usual haunting ground for us, Cal Expo. We missed hitting the no-takeout Pick 4 but managed to score two winners in one race along with a pair of exactas.

    Our Pick-4 ticket used Lucky Peterson (16-1) and Itza Free For All (11-1) in the second leg. A dead heat brought both to the winners’ circle, the former paying $17.20 and the latter paying $12.80. The tie hurt the individual prices, of course, but both of those mutuels were still worth it.

    The exactas with the pair paid $58 and $45.10. In the scheme of things, playing our highest priced horses from our Pick-4 combos has kept us well ahead of the game. We hit one $700-plus Pick 4 so far but we have also chosen horses worth as much as $100 to win in the mix. This is why we prompt you to play individual choices as mentioned in our Pick-4 ticket analyses.

    At the Meadowlands we were not sharp enough to stay with Bettor Sweet, a pacer we endorsed many times last season. In the Graduate elimination, “Sweet” won strongly over a good free-for-all group at 9-1.

    Our pair of choices made the final for next week, though. We Will See (fifth) and Lisagain (seventh), will both be in the $246,000 mile May 14, along with Atochia, Won The West, Dial Or Nodial, Hypnotic Blue Chip, Foiled Again, Giddy Up Lucky and Western Shore. That is no walk in the park for Sweet.

    In the other Meadowlands feature, the “Cutler” prep, Celebrity Hercules was disappointing, even though he was 30-1. Consider that Lucky Jim was eliminated from the start with a break and champion Enough Talk could not hold off challengers in the stretch and you have a situation worth following in this division. Our old friend Corleone Kosmos, for instance, was second in the race at 26-1. And the mare, Buck I St Pat, looked terrible with this group of males, many whom she beat soundly last season. We’ll report on the final in Thursday’s edition.

    Harness News

    The glamour-boy pacers have hit the track and we will be following them through the 2011 season. At Chester Downs, Pennsylvania Sires Stakes presented a lot of action for the division.

    In splits worth more than $52,000 each, we were impressed by two colts: Lucky Sniper and All Summer Long.

    Put On A Show, the champion sophomore pacing filly from last year, won’t be back until at least September, according to trainer Chris Ryder.

    “She has been swimming and put on the walker every day,” Ryder said about the mare’s progress since her March 12 surgery. “We hope to be jogging her next month. I’m not going to push her to have her ready for any major races.”

    Ryder said that the late-season opportunities for her were promising, including this year’s Breeders Crown, which we will cover from Woodbine.

    (Cartoon by Thom Pye)
  • ‘Levy’ Concludes; Femmes Fight On Two Fronts

    POSTED Apr 27, 2011
    At Yonkers the George Morton Levy Memorial Final and the Bluechip Matchmaker Final are featured as April bows. Soph-filly pacers highlight the Courageous Lady at Northfield and soph-colt pacers strut in Woodbine’s Ontario Spring Stakes Final.

    It’s the last week in the free-for-all harness-handicapping-product offer for “Levy” players, available by clicking here. We hope you took advantage of these tools. Keep watching for more free offers to learn about the Brisnet handicapping products.

    Another visit to the no-takeout late Pick 4 at Cal Expo is in order as we continue to target the best outsiders with the smallest, smartest ticket available anywhere.
      

    Yonkers Features


    In Saturday, April 30’s $495,000 George Morton Levy Memorial Pacing Series Final, the field, with declared drivers and morning-line odds, is as follows: 1-This is Wyatt (Eric Goodell, 3-1 ), 2-Southern Allie (Dave Miller, 6-5); 3-Blatantly Good (Jason Bartlett, 5-1), 4-Gallant Yankee (Tim Tetrick, 5-1), 5-Real Nice (George Brennan, 6-1); 6-Foiled Again (Yannick Gingras, 6-5), 7-Foreign Officer (Tetrick also listed, 3-1); 8-Giddy Up Lucky (Goodell also listed, 12-1).

    This is Wyatt and Foreign Officer are coupled due to common ownership, while Southern Allie and Foiled Again race coupled due common owner and trainer (Ron Burke).

    Everyone will go for Foiled Again (photo) looking to win this race three years in a row. He took two weeks off from the series’ legs and is poised to pace a big mile. If one horse here has a good shot at fair odds against the defending champ it will be Gallant Yankee. He has been on the board in all but one Levy leg. He is hope for an upset, so watch the odds.

    In the Levy Consolation, it is tough to tell who will be the favorite. But the one that will be in it, hopefully at a good price, is Mr Massimo, who after his strong win last week showed how well he has adjusted to this track.   

    On the same program, Yonkers presents the $301,000 Bluechip Matchmaker Final for pacing mares, with declared drivers and morning-line odds, is as follows: 1-Ginger And Fred (Gingras, 8-5); 2-Save My Shark (Jim Pantaleano, 6-1); 3-Hula's Z Tam (Pat Lachance, 6-1); 4-Tomorrowpan (Dan Dube, 4-1); 5-Breakheart Pass (Tetrick, 10-1); 6-All Spirit (Brennan, 5-1), 7-Giveittoemstaight (Brennan also listed, 12-1); 8-Symphony in Motion (Dube also listed, 15-1)

    Ginger And Fred and Breakheart Pass, both trained by Burke, race uncoupled due to bona fide separate ownership.

    In the Matchmaker, Ginger And Fred will be seeking another championship (she won this race last year). She will be tough to beat but she is beatable. The one that could likely win this is All Spirit. She has gotten some good trips and she may get the best one when all the bucks are on the line.

     

    In the Matchmaker Consolation, Chancey Lady (photo) will be the likely favorite here as she has done the best in the legs. But one that has struggled all throughout the series is Shangai Lil. She always gets a first over trip and this week she might get a rail trip and make up for the misfortunes.


    ‘Spring’ Ahead


    In the Ontario Spring Stakes Final, Bare Necessity will be the likely favorite; he is undefeated so far this year. But last week, Legends Luck had a hard trip and was interfered when it came time to drive hard.

    He still closed for third at huge odds, but because of the interference, there was a refund. He is green, true, but he has every reason to improve and flashes enough potential to stop the favorite’s winning streak and take a place in the division.

    This is the kind of colt you like to catch early, before he plunges into the public’s favor. He should offer good odds in this, his second stakes appearance (the elim was his first).  

    ‘Lady’ Splits


    There is a pair of divisions in Northfield’s Courageous Lady on Saturday, April 30.

    Ron Burke’s Some Girls Do is the overwhelming choice in the first chapter. Something will have to go very wrong for this gal, from post 2, to lose. Her prohibitive odds will also eat at all exotics, so a pass may be in the works.

    Division two is more competitive on paper. Stash The Cash may have an edge over the two horses bound to get most of the money. With Aaron Merriman aboard, “Stash” has raced already this year, while the two touted gals, I Kill Time and Southwest make their season’s debut.

    Cal Exotic

    Saturday night, April 30, another no-takeout Pick 4, now with a higher guaranteed pool, goes at the California oval from Race 11 through Race 14. This week, leg two, Race 12, is a trot.

    Race 11
    (1) Bo Knows Power was in a recent ticket, tanked, and came back to win next out as a strong favorite, racing big. (6) Long Last Look should not be tossed out because of his recent loss. You cannot count this guy out ever. (7) Powergaiterdotcom was off his game last out but is still a threat.


    Race 12
    (4) Cherry Tree Nicole is a solid single here, having just missed in a strong effort last out.


    Race 13
    (4) Thatsmyson closed wickedly and won, a style that fits this field. (7) Heartland Express is dangerous off of a show finish with some left in the tank.


    Race 14
    (4) One Hot Tamale took a race after we trusted him to be in a Pick-4 combo and that was a huge win. (5) Well Heeled is way better than last week’s performance, letting an 18-1 shot beat him .


    If you want to use all of these, the 167/3/37/45 ticket cost $12.

    Watch List Action

    On Friday at Woodbine, we are considering seven horses. In Race 1 Striker Ray (3); Race 2 Dance Until Dawn (4) and Michelleanas Angel (9); Race 3 Stood Alone (4); Race 4 Lets Rock N Roll (1); Race 8 Palazzo Princess (7) and Race 11 Virtuous Western (1).

    On Saturday at Woodbine, we are considering four horses. In Race 4 Campasser (4) and R Lil King (7); Race 7 Rock Me Amastroes (2) and Race 8 Ericskarri (2).

    (Ray Cotolo assisted in this edition.)
  • SimonSays Handicapping Challenge

    POSTED Apr 8, 2011
    Week 11



    Anthony Kelzenberg

    Keenland (4/9/11)

    Race 9: $100 to WIN on 3-WYOMIA
    $10 EXACTA BOX 3 & 6.

    Garnet Barnsdale

    Woodbine Harness (4/8/11)

    Race 4: $0.20 PICK FOUR 1,2,5,7,8 / 3,5,6,8-10 / 1,2,5,7,10 / 6,7 ($60 total). Pasted right from my betting account, so pay attention!

    Keenland (4/9/11)

    Race 10: It appears that for a 7F race, there is a TON of speed signed on and a handful of horses that run one way — on top. The track appears to be favoring speed opening day, even more reason for the jocks to vie and battle for the front. I am boxing 6 stalker/closer types thinking this race is going to fall apart at the head of the lane.

    BET(S): $2 TRIFECTA BOX 2,5,6,8,11,12
    $4 EXACTA BOX 2,5,6,8,11,12

    Chris Hernandez

    Santa Anita (4/9/11)

    Race 10 (Santa Anita Derby): $10 WIN on 4-SILVER MEDALLION

    José D. De León Alejandro

    Hawthorne (4/9/11)

    Race 7 (Illinois Derby): $2 WIN on 6-SOUR

    Aqueduct (4/9/11)

    Race 9 (Carter Handicap): $2 WIN on 7-APRIORITY