• Breeders' Cup bonanza

    POSTED Nov 4, 2011
    All you need to know about why the Breeders' Cup is a great event not only for the horses and their connections but also the bettors can be found in the results of the first five races on Championship Friday when horses paid $5, $7, $7.80, $13.20, and $2.80 to produce a $3,258.40 pick five, which is more than five times the parlay!

    On these big days I think too many people over think how to string together their projected winners. The payoff on the pick five was such an overlay that clearly other payouts were underlays. That means people who were trying to take a shot against Secret Circle (or any of the other horses) most likely did not receive value for that opinion (in this case they obviously didn't because they lost, but it's important not to be results orientated when talking general handicapping topics).

    It can be unfashionable to pick favorites, but it's on big race days that the most logical horses offer value, so don't be afraid to take a stand, but the key there is to take a stand. Either you think a horse like Secret Circle is going to win or you don't. After him, the rest of the field was evenly matched. Adding horses doubles, triples, etc. the cost of the ticket and takes value away from your core opinion.

    For views on the Breeders' Cup races from top Brisnet.com handicappers (including me!), visit the Breeders' Cup Special Reports page on the handicapping tab of TwinSpires.com!
    note: Not all products are a part of the Ultimate Breeders' Cup Handicapping Package. Standard retail charges apply to products that are not a part of the package.

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