Showing posts with label pick five. Show all posts
Showing posts with label pick five. Show all posts

  • Gulfstream Thursday February 14

    POSTED Feb 14, 2013 By Unknown
    The Rainbow^6 carries on at Gulfstream, and so, too, does my attempt to hit a Pick 4 at this meeting.

     Did OK yesterday if you ignore the fact that both my "had to win" singles lost. Definitely a loser on the day, but a couple spot exacta plays kept me from pitching a shutout.

     If there were a Pick 5 carryover I'd probably take a swing, but as is I think the Pick 4 is tough enough, so I'll just target that with an all "A" play.

     Good luck to those getting involved!

  • Gulfstream Wednesday February 13

    POSTED Feb 13, 2013 By Unknown
    There is a $2.1-million Rainbow^6 carryover, but I'm passing on that bet in favor of the Pick 5 and late Pick 4 hinging on the winning performances of singles in races 6 and 10.

    Yes, both Core Inflation in race 6 and Diamondesque in race 10 are likely to be win pool underlays, but I think I'm creative enough in other legs to squeeze some value out of these likely winners.

    Good luck to those playing today.

  • Carryover action at Turf Paradise

    POSTED Jan 15, 2013 By Unknown
    I can't exactly call Turf Paradise one of my favorite tracks to play, as I rarely check into it on a weekend day of racing, but it's definitely a track I like to play, as its Pick 5 carryovers into Monday or Tuesday help scratch my itch during an otherwise down time of the handicapping for most players.

     I've actually been laying low most of this year with only a few spot plays dotting my wagering in the New Year. Between a Vegas trip at the end of this month and looking at my results for 2012, I wanted to focus my bankroll on poker a preserve a decent nut for spring racing (read: Keeneland).

     That's not to say I'll ignore opportunities, though, and a $26k+ carryover into a Pick 5 certainly piques my interest. It's a navigable but not-what-I-would-call easy sequence that would cost $38,400 to buy, but I'm looking to invest about 1% of that.

     There are three horses I see as the most likely winners of the five races: #7 Flawless Jewel in leg 1 (race 5), #2 Vikkilee in leg 2 (race 6), and #10 Set'n Ready in leg 4 (race 8). I'm going to play so that at least two of the three have to win.

     Here's the ABC grid to riches; post time is 4:22 p.m. EST

  • Breeders' Cup bonanza

    POSTED Nov 4, 2011 By Unknown
    All you need to know about why the Breeders' Cup is a great event not only for the horses and their connections but also the bettors can be found in the results of the first five races on Championship Friday when horses paid $5, $7, $7.80, $13.20, and $2.80 to produce a $3,258.40 pick five, which is more than five times the parlay!

    On these big days I think too many people over think how to string together their projected winners. The payoff on the pick five was such an overlay that clearly other payouts were underlays. That means people who were trying to take a shot against Secret Circle (or any of the other horses) most likely did not receive value for that opinion (in this case they obviously didn't because they lost, but it's important not to be results orientated when talking general handicapping topics).

    It can be unfashionable to pick favorites, but it's on big race days that the most logical horses offer value, so don't be afraid to take a stand, but the key there is to take a stand. Either you think a horse like Secret Circle is going to win or you don't. After him, the rest of the field was evenly matched. Adding horses doubles, triples, etc. the cost of the ticket and takes value away from your core opinion.

    For views on the Breeders' Cup races from top Brisnet.com handicappers (including me!), visit the Breeders' Cup Special Reports page on the handicapping tab of TwinSpires.com!
    note: Not all products are a part of the Ultimate Breeders' Cup Handicapping Package. Standard retail charges apply to products that are not a part of the package.