Betting Against the ‘Best’
With the electrifying win by Winter Memories in the Grade II Lake George Stakes at Saratoga and Frankel’s romp in the Group I Sussex Stakes at Goodwood (England) yesterday, I once again heard the predictable awestruck utterances by horserace handicappers and fans.According to a number of Facebook and forum posts, the former is now the best turf horse — of any age or sex — in America, while the latter is… well, the best ever. Writing for the online edition of the Daily Mail, Alan Fraser noted that “Muhammad Ali now has a four-legged challenger for the title of The Greatest.”
“It was as if seconds had handed winning jockey Tom Queally a magnum gun and Richard Hughes, on the vanquished Canford Cliffs, an ice cream,” Fraser said of Frankel, who is now a perfect 7-for-7 in his career.
Uh, OK.
Look, I can relate to the thrill of watching great horses do great things — Winter Memories exploded in the stretch after being checked turning for home, while Frankel’s five-length margin of victory in the Sussex was the largest since Brigadier Gerard in 1971 — but is all this hype really warranted? From a fan’s perspective, I say sure, why not? Party like it’s 1999. But bettors beware. Stories of firearms and frozen treats can mean only one of two things: 1) Skimpy prices; or 2) You live in Memphis, Tenn. and you’re not about to see your kids miss out on dessert.
The reality is Frankel bested three rivals on Wednesday after running unopposed for the majority of the race. In fact, according to British horseracing authority Dan Munn, the opening half-mile was timed in a pedestrian 52.69 seconds. True, much of that journey was uphill, but that still equates to an early speed ration (ESR) in the +20 range, which is about 16 lengths slower than the ESR late-closing Winter Memories recorded in the Lake George.
Goodwood Racecourse
What’s more, Frankel’s final time for the one-mile trek was 1:37.45, which is slower than each of the last two runnings of the Sussex. Of course, given such a dawdling pace, this is hardly surprising. However, keep in mind that, for his victory, Frankel was awarded a 142 Timeform (a measurement of a horse’s ability originated by Phil Bull). That ranks fourth in the 63-year history of those storied UK ratings, below only Sea Bird (145), Tudor Minstrel (144) and the aforementioned Brigadier Gerard (144).
(Click on image to enlarge)
Is Frankel good? Yes. Is he great? Yeah, probably. Is he the fourth-best horse in British racing history? I don’t know about that — and certainly his performance in the Sussex didn’t sway me one way or the other.
Likewise, I’m just as cautious in regard to Winter Memories. Obviously, she’s got a ton of talent — her pace figures are outstanding and she showed in the Lake George that she can accelerate on a dime — but the bettors have been hip to that fact since she made her career debut. She’s been favored (often heavily) in every lifetime start and her dominating win on Wednesday isn’t likely to boost her odds anytime soon.
(Click on image to enlarge)
Plus, there are other good three-year-old fillies, like Hungry Island (see below), out there — not to mention all of the sophomore males and older horses waiting in the wings.
Is Winter Memories a really, really good young female turf router? Yes. Is she the best turf router in the country? I sure as heck wouldn’t bet on it.
(Click on image to enlarge)
(Click on image to enlarge)
FREE Weekend Win Factor Plays
Click HERE for Saturday's free selections.
For further race analysis and suggested plays, be sure to listen to this week’s “TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast with Derek Simon” on Friday (live at 1 p.m. Eastern on BlogTalk Radio or archived on iTunes and other podcast directories shortly thereafter).
85 comments:
Thanks for sharing.I found a lot of interesting information here. A really good post, very thankful and hopeful that you will write many more posts like this one.
kodi.software
plex.software
luckypatcher.pro
You will be the best with a help of this essay writing service https://college-homework-help.org/blog/research-paper. You can make an order just in a few clicks.
that is really a great blog. keep sharing like this.
Thanks for this blog, I really enjoyed reading your post.
Avast Phone Number Tech Support
Norton Customer Service phone number
dell printer technical support phone number
phone number for malwarebytes
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
norton com setup enter product key
norton.comsetup
renew norton
Hey! Lovely post. I am a big fan of your work. I really like your website. Undoubtedly QuickBooks is one of the most appealing accounting software. You can easily use and install this software for your business. You can even get best technical help at
QuickBooks Customer Service 1-800-329-0391.
Visit here : https://www.qbsupportcustomerservice.com/
Thanks for this blog, I really enjoyed reading your post
McAfee customer service phone number
Norton Antivirus Support phone Number
bitdefender antivirus phone number
mozilla firefox technical support phone number
avast antivirus support phone number
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
Guest Posting Sites
Guest Blogging Sites
Guest Posting Services
Guest Posting Sites
Nice blog. I would like to share it with my friends. I hope you will continue your works like this.Keep up the excellent work. You have a magical talent of holding readers mind.we also provide Quickbooks support.
if you need any type of help please contact us.
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
How SEO helpful for the Business?
Thanks for this blog, I really enjoyed reading your post.
Top Web Design Company in Chicago
Top Web Design Company in Chicago
Top Web Design Company in Chicago
Top Web Design Company in Chicago
Top Web Design Company in Chicago
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
Make Money Online with these Legitimate Ways
www trendmicro com bestbuy
www trendmicro com bestbuy
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
Avast Phone Number
AVG Antivirus phone number
Mcafee Customer Service
bitdefender customer service phone number
hp printer support number
https://beamstart.com/profile/288701/Paul_Ortiz/r/288701
http://www.artofsaving.com/paul-ortiz-profile-20973
https://help.expresstracking.org/user/technicalsquad
https://www.ranker.com/profile-of/technicalsquad
https://www.codecademy.com/profiles/technicalsquad
https://www.asus.com/zentalk/home.php?mod=space&uid=1647505
https://www.pathpedia.com/Forum/viewprofile.aspx?UserID=14578
http://studios.dangeross.com/forum/profile.php?mode=viewprofile&u=13590
http://www.my-trinity.com/forum/member.php?u=30167
https://creator.wonderhowto.com/technicalsquad/
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
hp printer support number
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
Guest Posting Site
Guest Posting Site
Guest Posting Site
Guest Posting Site
Guest Posting Site
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
Guest Blogging Sites
Guest Blogging Services
Guest Posting Sites
Guest Blogging Services
Guest Blogging Sites
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
medium
Thanks for sharing such a nice blog. I like it.
mystrikingly
norton com setup
norton product key
norton activation keys
www mcafee com activate
mcafee enter code
avg activation key
avg antivirus key
Thanks for sharing such a nice Blog.I like it.
Off-Page SEO Techniques 2019 to Drive Traffic to Your Site
Norton Activation
McAfee activate product key
Activation code for avg
Webroot activation
Really great article, Glad to read the article.
AVG activate
Norton product key activation
McAfee activate product key
hp envy 5020 paper jam
how to turn off avast
Microsoft edge support number
magento development services
Wordpress Developer
hire SharePoint developers
trend micro product activation
avg activate
AVG Activation Code
renew trend micro
avast key download
trendmicro.com/setup
avast antivirus activation key
Mcafee Slowing Down my PC.
How to Cancel Norton?
how to cancel mcafee automatic renewal
turn off auto renew bitdefender
malwarebytes unable to connect the service
error 400 not found gmail
how to deactivate mcafee temporarily
error code 0xf1 epson 3640
hp printer setup
pogo games not loading firefox
norton 360 error 8504 104
norton antivirus error 8504
how to cancel avast subscription
bitdefender windows 10 error
How to fix Norton security live update failed to complete
How To Stop McAfee Subscription on a Windows PC?
Activate avg license number
Norton activate
Malwarebytes real time protection won t turn on
Hp envy 5020 paper jam
malwarebytes not working
norton error 8504 104
norton utilities
microsoft edge remove malware
malwarebytes turn off update notification
printer keeps saying paper jam
A sport that people do not have a lot at stake for the West.
vegusเว็บพนันเครดิตฟรี
Group buy seo tools india
Best seo group buy tools
Group seo tools buy
Group seo tools
Seo group buy
Group buy seo tools
Group buy seo tools india
ahrefs group buy
seo group buy ahrefs
group buy ahref
best group buy seo tools
best seo tools group buy
how to connect canon printer to phone
brother printer wifi setup
canon mx922 printer ink
canon printer setup
connect canon pixma to wifi
Thanks for sharing such nice blog i really happy to read your blog
Delta airlines change flight seats policy
Allegiant Airlines Cancellation Policy
united airlines reservations
frontier airlines reservation
allegiant airlines reservations
spirit airlines reservations
nested ticketing
spirit airlines official site
canon mg3000 series wireless setup
canon imageclass lbp6230dw wireless setup
canon ip110 setup
brother printer wifi setup
Security Protection for your Device while Traveling
Suitable Antivirus for Windows 10 OS
Thank you for sharing such nice information.
Top Reasons Why You Must Install Antivirus on a New Device
How McAfee Deep Security System Function?
Thank you for sharing such nice information.
McAfee Antivirus
Norton 360 secure
McAfee Antivirus
McAfee Antivirus
Norton Antivirus
Norton 360 Online
McAfee Antivirus
Thank you for sharing such nice information.
Norton Antivirus
McAfee Antivirus
Norton Antivirus
Norton Antivirus
McAfee Antivirus
Norton Antivirus
Norton Antivirus
Norton Antivirus
cancel norton antivirus
cancel norton subscription
renew norton with code
norton subscription renewal
norton internet security stopped working
norton won t open
Thank you for sharing such nice information.
Canon Printer
Canon Printer
Canon Printer
Canon Printer
Canon Printer
Canon Printer
Awesome information, thanks for sharing.
Regards
fontlibrary | mapmywalk | expo | steinberg | doodleordie | worldbeyblade | math
how to setup canon printer
Thanks, this is a great list. I’m now following around half the folks I’ve commented on – so for me this has been a double win – the comment and the further reading material that helps me and my blog!
enter microsoft office product key
seo group buy | best seo group buy tools |
seo group buy india
https://mootools.net/forge/profile/searchitcom
https://ignitiondeck.com/id/dashboard/?backer_profile=59638
https://www.misterpoll.com/users/565888
https://forums.prosportsdaily.com/member.php?679035-searchitcom
https://www.asus.com/zentalk/home.php?mod=space&uid=1763020&do=profile
https://creator.wonderhowto.com/searchitcom/
http://www.artofsaving.com/paula-webb-profile-30923
https://help.expresstracking.org/user/searchitcom
https://www.codecademy.com/profiles/searchitcom
http://www.heromachine.com/forums/users/searchitcom
business astrology by date of birth
will i get a government job astrology free
hp printer assistant software
malwarebytes error code 20025
canon mx922 support code b200
Great Post, Thank you for sharing this post really this is fantastic and very useful. Well if you get the time you must read more Best Case Study Writer
Your blog is great!!! Good content!! I would recommend this to my friends. But are you looking for online casino site? Click the link below: 스포츠토토.top
Hello there! Nice article!!! But anyways here’s one of the trusted online baccarat site we can offer you so many promo and event everyday!! Good luck!!! 파워볼사이트닷컴
Thank you for sharing your truth! I have so much more that I would like to say but I don't think its necessary. Just visit my site: 파워볼365인포
Great article, This post helps me alot Thank you. Anyways I have this site recommendation for you, Just follow the given link here: 스포츠토토365
Reading this info So i am glad to convey that I have a very just right uncanny feeling I found out exactly what I needed. See more about sportstoto: 토토픽프로
Thank you a lot for sharing this with all folks you really recognize what you are talking approximately! I will Bookmark this for sure. 토토사이트365
Daebak!! this was an extremely good post. Taking the time and actual effort to produce a top notch article… But what can I say… Just check my website and see more 먹튀검증가이드
I truly appreciate this post. I've been looking everywhere for this! Thank goodness I found it on Bing. Be part of toto365 community! Check this out: 토토사이트
Thanks for another wonderful article. Where else could anybody get that kind of information in such a perfect approach of writing? Bet & Win click and visit: 파워볼사이트
Interpages
Guest Blogger
Guest Blogging Site
Guest Posting Site
Guest Blogging Website
Nice Blog. Thanks for sharing.
Top marketing college for mba in dehradun
I like what you guys are usually up too. This kind of clever work and coverage! Keep up the very good works guys I’ve incorporated you guys to blogroll.
Interpages
Guest Blogger
Guest Blogging Site
Guest Blogging Website
Guest Posting Site
Nice Blog. Thanks for sharing.
Top Residential School in Dehradun
MyBlogger Club
Guest Posting Site
Best Guest Blogging Site
Guest Blogger
Guest Blogging Site
beardhood onion shampoo price, beardhood onion shampoo online, Buy beardhood onion shampoo online in india, Buy beardhood beard growth oil , beardhood beard growth oil cost, beardhood beard growth oil price, beardhood beard growth oil online, Buy beardhood beard growth oil online in india, Buy beardhood hair wax , beardhood hair wax cost, beardhood hair wax price, beardhood hair wax online, Buy beardhood hair wax online in india, Buy beardhood beard softener , beardhood beard softener cost, beardhood beard softener price,
sport shop,sporting goods,sports items,sports shop near me now,sports equipment shop near me,nearest sports store,sports store near me,nearby sports shop,sporting,sports accessories,sports center near me,sports equipment,sports near me,sports gear,sports online shopping,sports goods shop near me,sports websites,sports equipment stores,online sports store,online sports shops
ppe kit list,
ppe gloves,
protective coverall,
ppe safety equipment,
ppe coverall,
ppe box,
medical ppe kit,
ppe price,
ppe equipment list,
safety ppe list,
ppe suppliers,
ppe helmet,
personal protective gear,
antivirus support number,antivirus support phone number,antivirus tech support number, antivirus tech support phone number,antivirus customer support phone number,antivirus customer support number,antivirus customer service phone number, Antivirus technical support number,Antivirus technical support phone number,top rated antivirus, best buy antivirus,cheap antivirus,best rated antivirus,antivirus deals,antivirus sales,buy antivirus
norton.com setupnorton supportnorton customer servicenorton customer servicenorton phone numbernorton antivirus phone numbernorton setupnorton 360 supportnorton number
home appliances showroom near me
house appliances
kitchen appliances online store
kitchen appliances shop near me
latest kitchen appliances
list of kitchen appliances for new house
all home appliances
best kitchen appliance brand
built in kitchen appliances
chess price
chess board cost
wooden chess board price
chess set price
buy chess set
chess board price list
buy chess online
buy chess board
chess cost
Your janam kundali by date of birth and time holds all key planetary information that helps you to know the plans that fate has for you! Our highly experienced astrologers are known to suggest incredibly powerful remedies to their clients that bring unparalleled prosperity & bliss in their lives!
Future Point is that the best astrology website for online Astrology predictions. Talk to Astrologer on call and obtain answers to all or any your worries by seeing the longer term life through Astrology Kundli Predictions from the simplest Astrologers from India. Get best future predictions associated with Marriage, love life, Career or Health over call, chat, query or report.
Interpages
Guest Blogger
Guest Blogging Site
Guest Blogging Website
Guest Posting Site
How to stop Malwarebytes Pop Ups on PC or Mac
Disable Avast Antivirus in Windows 10 - Complete Guide
How to easily fix Windows Update error: Code 0x80070422 in Windows 10
Post a Comment