TwinSpires.com Blog

  • Will I’ll Have Another Win the Triple Crown?

    POSTED Jun 6, 2012 By Derek Simon

    I’ll Have Another’s Triple Crown quest has become downright Shakespearean: it is to be or not to be. Of course, the racing fan side of me — my left side as it turns out — desperately wants to see history made in Elmont, NY on Saturday. Yet, the value bettor side of me is screaming for an upset.

    Let’s be clear: I’ll Have Another will be an underlay this weekend. Given the inevitable souvenir ticket purchases — you can even buy them online — he almost has to be. Plus, as we’ve seen in years past, when a Triple Crown is on the line, rational betting often takes a leave of absence.

    There have been 30 horses that came to the Big Apple in search of eternal glory — almost all of them were bet like they’d already achieved it. The last winner of the Kentucky Derby and Preakness not to be favored in the Belmont Stakes was Assault in 1946… and he wound up winning the Triple Crown. Still, as the chart below reflects, a $2 win bet on all of the Triple Crown hopefuls in the Belmont has produced an ROI of -41.5 percent, including a -78.42 percent ROI over the past 50 years.

    (Click on image to enlarge)
    Will I’ll Have Another stop the bleeding? My heart says yes, my head says no.

    For a detailed analysis of the Test of Champions, including my suggested wagers, check out the video below (and remember to get your Ultimate Belmont Stakes Handicapping Package, which includes my special Belmont Betting Guide, at Brisnet.com):


    Free Pace Profile Report

    Click HERE for a free Pace Profile Report for races 6-11 from Belmont Park on Saturday, June 9, 2012.
    • #Belmont
    • 2012 Belmont Stakes
    • Belmont Stakes video
    • betting
    • Derek Simon
    • Dullahan
    • free picks
    • handicapping
    • I'll Have Another
    • NYRA
    • paynter
    • race analysis
    • Triple Crown
    • twinspires
    • Union Rags
  • 77 comments:

    Anonymous said...

    FYI, the race is the BELMONT Stakes in Belmont, NY, you need to correct your copy here.

    June 6, 2012 at 7:18 PM
    Derek Simon said...

    You would think so, wouldn't you? But, no, Belmont Park is located in Elmont, NY.

    June 6, 2012 at 7:25 PM
    Anonymous said...

    U look so much better on podcast Derek :) And yes, Belmont is in Elmont, correct nothing! SB

    June 7, 2012 at 7:00 AM
    Derek Simon said...

    Ha, ha. You should see me in total darkness -- I look even better!

    June 7, 2012 at 8:00 AM
    Unknown said...

    Not on the grounds that I'm veggie lover (I'm not) but rather on the grounds that fiscally you can remove a reasonable piece of your sustenance spending lessening the measure of meat you devour. Cash Advance Corona

    March 25, 2018 at 9:11 AM
    Leo5 said...

    Your blog is filled with unique good articles! I was impressed how well you express your thoughts.
    Top 5 Free Keyboard Apps

    September 13, 2019 at 4:01 AM
    benton roy said...

    To get to the Amazon account, you should simply to enlist from your device and utilize the www.amazon.com/mytv enter code Wii that is of 5 to 6 character and it is arranged in the Amazon video application on the TV or the device.

    amazon.com/mytv

    April 9, 2021 at 8:32 AM
    selena gomez said...

    Install and activate your Xfinity gateway through [url=https://xfinity-comauthorize.com]xfinity.com/authorize[/url] to approve the Xfinity products and services.

    October 19, 2021 at 4:43 AM
    Avaebrahim28 said...

    Amazon Prime is the subscription service that offers its users access to a variety of Amazon perks. Benefits include access to exclusive deals on Amazon, 2-day shopping, and many others. Login to amazon.com/mytv and enjoy more entertaining videos. Discover how to connect your own devices to Prime with www.amazon.com/mytv and that means that you can certainly see and pay attention to exclusive Prime manhood articles out of anywhere.
    Amazon.com/mytv
    www.Amazon.com/mytv

    October 22, 2021 at 5:02 AM
    E-deals - About tweakvip said...

    Our Wooden Pallet all of your pallet and crate needs. We manufacture new and reconditioned pallets as per customer design along with heat treatment for export purposes.

    August 10, 2022 at 6:37 AM
    soniya sen said...

    occur Instagram Follower and like by My tools Town Visit Website: https://e-deals.tv/mytoolstown-com/

    August 24, 2022 at 10:59 AM
    soniya sen said...

    If you are searching for Jagran Party in Delhi then India's Only Jagran Party in Delhi
    which offers complete Jagran Party Delhi Package.In Order to Book Jagran Jagran Party. Ring +91-9810235505, +91-9213123120 or visit website https://www.jagrankiparty.com

    August 25, 2022 at 2:53 AM
    Amit said...

    Wooden Pallet garden frames are the latest trend in gardening. Buy pallet furniture in Delhi NCR. Find details about China Wood Pallet, Wooden Pallet from Wooden Pallet.

    September 19, 2022 at 1:06 AM
    SEO Services said...

    . I has been additionally pleased. Good perform! 4-point inspection

    September 28, 2022 at 3:09 AM
    Anonymous said...

    thanx for posting this amazing content, keep posting. home & Garden

    September 28, 2022 at 3:12 AM
    SEO Services said...

    Positive site, where did u come up with the information on this posting?I have read a few of the articles on your website now, and I really like your style. Thanks organic cotton clothing

    September 28, 2022 at 11:42 AM
    Unknown said...

    I have been examinating out many of your stories and i must say pretty good stuff. keep posting, Promotional Backpacks

    October 6, 2022 at 10:28 PM
    Unknown said...

    I have read all the comments and suggestions posted by the visitors for this article are very fine,We will wait for your next article so only.Thanks! private investigator
    private investigator

    October 7, 2022 at 4:29 AM
    Auto Mechanical Works said...

    Excellent knowledge and data may be found on this website. Auto mechanic in Ajman

    October 14, 2022 at 7:30 PM
    Online Reports said...

    hank you for any other informative site. keep posting, online book shopping website

    October 21, 2022 at 12:52 AM
    signageguide said...

    Great information and inspiration, Also like to admire the time and effort you put into your post. I would like to see more posts like this Led Sign Company In Chicago

    October 21, 2022 at 4:49 AM
    Transportationguidelines said...

    Your article is really good. It's clear that you have a thorough comprehension of this topic. Greetings and appreciation for your enlightening posts. Doha car hire with driver

    October 24, 2022 at 3:07 AM
    petsrise said...

    Derby racing has always that triumph factor when it comes to wining. There is something great about watching your wining horse crosing that fisninh line...........................

    Pet Care Tips and Guides

    October 26, 2022 at 3:51 AM
    cheacarhiring said...

    This was a really great contest and hopefully I can attend the next one. It was alot of fun and I really enjoyed myself airport pick up dubai

    October 28, 2022 at 5:38 AM
    bestmoversguide said...

    Howdy! I could have sworn I've visited your blog before, but after reading a few of the posts, I discovered I've never been there. I'm still glad I found it, though, and I'll be bookmarking it and coming back often. Local Packer and Movers in Dubai

    October 28, 2022 at 11:16 PM
    ChauffeuredLimoDubai said...

    Thank you and please keep sending out such helpful updates. You may also go to rent a car with driver in dubai

    November 1, 2022 at 4:11 AM
    James Carter said...

    Visit this website frequently if you want the best stuff, like I do, as it offers high-quality content, thanks Cheap Chauffeur Service in Dubai

    November 1, 2022 at 6:00 AM
    Waseem said...

    Fantastic post, you've highlighted some great things, and I agree that this is a really great website. I'll return to the site for more high-quality stuff and will also tell everyone about it. Thanks. chauffeur service dubai

    November 3, 2022 at 3:07 AM
    Localseo said...

    I had some thoughts about it and today I wanted to read it again because it is very well written. Tips For Better Sex

    November 5, 2022 at 4:23 AM
    Anonymous said...

    VEGUS168S vegus168

    January 16, 2023 at 11:56 PM
    Health Care Improvements said...

    You have provided a very wonderful article here. Your art is excellent, and I truly like it. I carefully read your essay, and the ideas you presented are helpful. Flu Test

    January 24, 2023 at 3:00 AM
    Waseem said...

    This article is actually quite helpful for new web users who want to start blogging.
    for more information visit our website Housemaid Uniform in Dubai

    April 11, 2023 at 1:44 AM
    bestuniformsdubai said...

    Excellent work on your article. You obviously understand this topic really well. Thanks for your enlightening posts, and greetings.
    Healthcare Uniforms Dubai

    April 11, 2023 at 2:23 AM
    Waseem said...

    Greetings! Excellent guidance in this essay! The biggest changes come from the smallest adjustments. Many thanks for sharing! google ads company

    May 27, 2023 at 11:39 PM
    The MoveMe said...

    professional movers and packers in Dubai

    June 28, 2023 at 12:08 PM
    pilotcar21 said...

    Awesome info thanks for sharing this by the way wining is also depends upon Pilot and Car.

    July 6, 2023 at 1:06 PM
    Services121 said...

    Teambuilding4U is one of the most experienced corporate team building firms in the UK, with over 25 years of expertise. Because of our warm and personal approach, we are able to collaborate directly with our customers to provide an exceptional experience.As a responsible and professional organisation, we only utilise the finest equipment for our Corporate Team Building Middlesex , Sussex, and Kent, and everyone’s safety is our main concern. We have many years of expertise delivering great events at locations and venues around the nation as a cooperation between the proprietors of Peach Entertainments and LD Events.

    July 27, 2023 at 9:06 AM
    Anonymous said...

    Movers in Dubai Intelligent Movers is a moving company that specializes in providing efficient and reliable moving services. They use advanced technology and strategies to ensure a smooth and hassle-free moving experience for their customers. Their team of professional movers is trained to handle all types of moves, whether it's residential or commercial Movers in Dubai . They offer services such as packing, loading, transportation, and unpacking, and they also provide storage solutions if needed. Intelligent Movers aims to make the moving process as easy and stress-free as possible for their customers.

    August 27, 2023 at 2:04 AM
    Anonymous said...

    Nice post i like it so much pls go to https://www.hinditimes.co.in

    September 12, 2023 at 2:21 AM
    PAWAN SINGH said...


    I have read your excellent post. This is a great job. I have enjoyed reading your post first time. I want to say thanks for this post. Thank you…


    VISIT: apsc coaching

    September 15, 2023 at 10:48 PM
    budget city said...

    Professional Movers in Ras Al Khaimah
    Professional movers in Ras Al Khaimah are the cornerstone of efficient and stress-free relocations in this picturesque emirate of the United Arab Emirates. Ras Al Khaimah, known for its stunning landscapes and burgeoning communities, attracts residents from various backgrounds. When it comes to relocating within or to Ras Al Khaimah, these experts are essential. They excel in expertly packing household items, ensuring their safe transportation to your new destination
    https://budgetcitymovers.ae/movers-and-packers-in-ras-al-khaimah/

    September 19, 2023 at 8:32 PM
    Anonymous said...

    Wow, what an exciting read! I had no idea that I'll Have Another had such an incredible journey to the Triple Crown. It makes me appreciate his achievements even more.

    September 26, 2023 at 2:59 AM
    vishal said...

    Thanks for this
    Cricket world cup news
    Latest tech news

    September 30, 2023 at 1:35 AM
    Anonymous said...

    Getting bored Click here 4 interesting news about your daily life

    October 1, 2023 at 4:49 AM
    adad said...

    Getting bored Click here for interesting news about your daily life

    October 1, 2023 at 4:50 AM
    Victor said...

    🚀📖 Discover more on this fascinating topic by checking out our latest blog article! 📖🚀

    This post provides valuable insights and practical tips that can make a real difference in your life. Whether you're looking to learn, be inspired, or simply stay informed, our blog has something for everyone.
    Win1000$

    October 2, 2023 at 11:24 AM
    Morgan Hill Dentistry said...

    This article brilliantly captures the tension and excitement of I'll Have Another's Triple Crown quest. As a racing enthusiast, I'm torn between wanting to witness history in Elmont, NY and the pragmatic urge for an upset. It's a classic "to be or not to be" situation for racing fans. Interestingly, historical data underscores the unpredictability of betting during these high-stakes races. Speaking of a different kind of thoroughbred care, if you're interested in maintaining your dental health, consider visiting morgan hill dentistry for top-notch services and expert advice.

    October 2, 2023 at 11:57 PM
    Anonymous said...

    Hey there! 🐎 Fascinating read! Did you know some horses have an unbeatable spirit? Check this out: [link to relevant content]. 🏇✨
    -shaksham foundation

    October 4, 2023 at 3:41 AM
    Waseem said...

    For your wonderful analysis, I wanted to thank you! There's no doubt that I enjoyed every last minute of it. Have you ever bookmarked your website chauffeur service dubai

    October 5, 2023 at 4:32 AM
    dwarkeshindustries said...

    "Awesome read! 🏇👑 Can't wait for the next Triple Crown winner! -cassia tora
    🎉"




    October 9, 2023 at 10:50 PM
    bentonitesuppliers said...

    Awesome read, [Connection's Name]! 📖🐎 What if we had another Triple Crown winner today? Exciting thought! 🏆👏-bentonitehttpsuppliers

    October 11, 2023 at 5:02 AM
    Waseem said...

    Hi there! I have read the most of your posts. I think the most helpful information I found was on this post. high jewellery store online

    October 12, 2023 at 10:20 AM
    Social Media Marketing Dubai said...

    Hi thanks for sharing such a knowledgeable post I learned a lot from it.
    If you're interested in a career in social media marketing, or if you're simply looking to learn more about how to use social media to promote your business, a social media marketing course is a great option. There are many different Social Media Marketing Courses available in Dubai, but one of the best is the course offered by Learnovate Training Center. This course covers all aspects of social media marketing, from creating and managing social media accounts to developing and implementing social media marketing campaigns. It's a great investment in your future.

    October 12, 2023 at 10:30 AM
    Waseem said...

    You provide some pretty reasonable stuff, for my part. I used to be capable of deal with my hassle with it, at least. I significantly gain from your sharing of them. digital marketing agency melbourne

    October 15, 2023 at 10:04 AM
    Anonymous said...

    Great read! Your insights on every topic are eye-opening.
    Thanks the author again for their work and invite them to respond to your thoughts.

    Platypus Finance Recovers 90% of Assets Lost in Exploit: The Kangaroo Times: Crypto News

    October 17, 2023 at 11:08 PM
    Waseem said...

    We are grateful for the insightful and useful information you have shared here. pet health tips

    October 18, 2023 at 5:33 AM
    Anonymous said...

    Thanks the author again for their work and invite them to respond to your thoughts.

    The Kangaroo Times: Crypto News

    October 18, 2023 at 5:57 AM
    Global Corporate Tour said...

    I'm eagerly awaiting Will's performance! The Triple Crown would be a fantastic achievement, and I'm rooting for "I'll Have Another" to make history on the racetrack. Go, Will! "Wow, the Srinagar Leh Ladakh Manali Bike Trip Package sounds incredible! The picturesque landscapes, adventurous roads, and cultural experiences make it a dream journey for any biker. I can't wait to embark on this thrilling adventure!"

    October 19, 2023 at 5:00 AM
    Trend Movers|Dubai Movers Company|Movers and Packers said...

    Movers in Dubai and best house Movers in Dubai.

    October 21, 2023 at 1:03 AM
    Anonymous said...

    Dubai Movers Company provide complete Moving and packing services in Dubai.

    October 21, 2023 at 1:06 AM
    Waseem said...

    Ahaa, there may be a amazing conversation occurring regarding this paragraph in this web site. I've read it all, for this reason i'm commenting here now as properly.
    Party Outfits 2023

    October 22, 2023 at 9:08 AM
    Bitcoin is digital gold. Read more said...

    Great read! Your insights on every topic are eye-opening.
    In a Fox Business interview, Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, the largest asset manager in the world, compared Bitcoin is digital gold. Read more

    October 24, 2023 at 3:52 AM
    cassia tora said...

    "Great read, thanks for sharing! 🏇 Did you know that American Pharoah was the first Triple Crown winner after 37 years? 🏆 #HorseRacingHistory"-bentonite suppliers




    October 24, 2023 at 4:58 AM
    Creative Web Design in San Diego said...

    Hire the top Social Media Manager in San Diego to elevate your online presence.

    October 26, 2023 at 2:16 AM
    Wholesale crystals said...

    🏇👑 Did you know that I'll Have Another's jockey switched to a pink silks? 🌸 Fun fact! 😄"-Wholesale crystals

    October 31, 2023 at 11:53 PM
    Wholesale crystals said...

    great share! 🏇 Exciting read on the Triple Crown. Maybe we'll witness another historic win soon!-Wholesale crystals

    October 31, 2023 at 11:53 PM
    citizenship test quiz said...

    Canadian citizenship test practice is the key to success. Start today!

    November 4, 2023 at 3:08 AM
    citizenship test quiz said...
    This comment has been removed by the author.
    November 4, 2023 at 3:09 AM
    GJ AEDU said...

    "Wow, an exciting read! 🏇 Adding some horse racing vibes to your daily grind! 🤩" -jewellery design




    November 6, 2023 at 2:36 AM
    Arya Yadav said...

    Excellent Article George
    Celebrityhat

    November 10, 2023 at 3:07 AM
    Arya Yadav said...

    Excellent Article George
    Celebrityhat
    Celebrityhat

    November 10, 2023 at 3:08 AM
    adeptimize303 said...

    Adeptimize comes in top companies in the USAdeptimize

    November 14, 2023 at 12:22 AM
    cassia tora said...

    "Will Ill Have Another make history again? 🏇 Let's cheer for a thrilling encore! What if this time, the underdog steals the spotlight? 🌟"
    -fish shop





    November 20, 2023 at 1:00 AM
    US Staffing Agency said...

    Teema Staffing Agency recognizes the excitement surrounding I'll Have Another's Triple Crown bid, creating a Shakespearean dilemma for racing fans. While our hearts long for history, the astute bettor in us senses an upset in the making. As a premier vancouver recruiting agency, we appreciate the parallels between strategic horse betting and successful talent acquisition. In both cases, rational choices should prevail for long-term victories.

    November 27, 2023 at 2:10 AM
    cassia tora said...

    Nice post! 🏇 Exciting read about the Triple Crown. Do you think we'll see another winner soon, or is it a rare feat? 🤔 #horseracing #TripleCrown-PG in Ahmedabad





    November 29, 2023 at 1:12 AM
    APKMODEWEB said...
    This comment has been removed by the author.
    November 29, 2023 at 5:53 AM
    Girl Fuck With Animal said...

    Telenor Quiz Today

    December 3, 2023 at 6:44 AM

    Post a Comment

Newer Post Older Post Home

Welcome to the TwinSpires Blog. Our contributors will be continually updating posts to offer commentary, insight, advice and expert opinions on horse racing and wagering. The goal is to help you win more and become a better all around horse player.

Subscribe vis RSS

Contributors

Derek Simon

TwinSpires' horse racing author, handicapper, and podcast host, Derek Simon of Denver, Colo. offers his insightful, humorous and sometimes controversial take on the horse racing industry. He even publishes the ROI on the picks he gives out.

Frank Cotolo

TwinSpires' harness racing expert, Frank Cotolo follows all of the big North American circuits throughout the year, providing the best value picks and latest news from the sulky.

Ed DeRosa

The Director of Marketing for Bloodstock Research Information Services (BRIS) and a lifelong Thoroughbred racing enthusiast and astute handicapper, Ed joined Churchill Downs Inc. following nine years as a writer and editor with Thoroughbred Times.

Peter Thomas Fornatale

A writer and editor who has been following horse racing for fifteen years. Peter has written books for the Daily Racing Form Press; Crown; and Simon and Schuster; among other publishers, and regular features in The Horseplayer Magazine.

Jill Byrne

A television racing analyst for Churchill Downs, Jill has earned acclaim and a loyal audience throughout Thoroughbred racing.

Tags

Archives

  • September (1)
  • April (1)
  • March (1)
  • December (1)
  • November (1)
  • October (3)
  • September (6)
  • August (16)
  • July (19)
  • June (17)
  • May (16)
  • April (19)
  • March (17)
  • February (16)
  • January (16)
  • December (17)
  • November (17)
  • October (20)
  • September (20)
  • August (29)
  • July (30)
  • June (24)
  • May (30)
  • April (27)
  • March (30)
  • February (30)
  • January (32)
  • December (19)
  • November (28)
  • October (27)
  • September (23)
  • August (24)
  • July (23)
  • June (30)
  • May (34)
  • April (35)
  • March (36)
  • February (26)
  • January (28)
  • December (20)
  • November (23)
  • October (27)
  • September (24)
  • August (23)
  • July (19)
  • June (41)
  • May (18)
  • April (22)
  • March (43)
  • February (38)
  • January (21)